Tuesday, April 16, 2013

SPY, FAS and Many Stocks Form Bullish Harami in Bull Flag Setup...Euro Rises...VIX Plummets...


All nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLP, XLB and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector

Breadth strengthened…decliners led advancers 4.54 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.47 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliner led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up 2.29 at 155.12volume 147. 5 million shares
VIX down 3.31 at 13.9
TNX up .17 at 17.19
TLT down 1.01 at 121.98
XLF up .28 cents at 18.36volume 44.8 million shares                 

AAPL up 6.39 at 426.24volume 10.9 million shares
FB up .40 cents at 26.92volume 27.3 million shares


Technical Commentary:

SPY + 1.48%, QQQ + 1.33%, and DIA + 1.06%, and IWM + 1.73%...                            
SPY, DIA and QQQ formed a bullish harami on Tuesday and are now in a three-day bull flag pattern.  IWM also formed a bullish harami and closed back above horizontal support.  DIA, SPY and QQQ are above their 30 DMA while IWM closed below.  The short-term trend is neutral.

The Euro jumped +132 pips and closed at 1.3178.   The Euro broke out of its recent horizontal resistance of the last six weeks.

AAPL moved up +6.39 on 10.9 million shares below its 30 DMA bouncing at its recent 420 support area for the third time in six weeks.  AAPL is a potential MACD bullish divergence setup.  FB formed a bullish harami and formed a potential bull flag setup on volume of 27.4 million shares while closing above its 30 DMA.


EPS Gainers – KO, JNJ, INTC

EPS Losers – GS, USB, URI, YHOO

Key Earnings this week:
MondayC, LLTC
TuesdayKO, CSX, GS, INTC, JNJ, USB, URI, YHOO
Wednesday – AXP, BAC, EBAY, MAT, SNDK
Thursday – AMD, CMG, FCX, GOOG, ISRG, KEY, LDK, MSFT, MS, BTU, PEP, PM, UNP, UNH, VZ
Friday – BHI, GE, KMB, MCD, STT, STI, SLB, UA

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a bull flag setup.  Look for potential entry on Wednesday.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  CREE, ADBE, GILD, MNST, SPLK, BIDU, GRPN, LNKD, SBUX, TXN, WFM, CREE, RCL

Diagonal Breakout: STX, GMCR, TPX, COST, CMCSA, LVS, DTV, GOOG, SYMC, AMZN, BRCM, DELL, XLNX, SWI, ATVI

Bull Flag:  CMG, SPY, FAS, FB, CSCO, GRMN, AMAT,  CELG,  MAT, MSFT, MU,  NUAN, NVDA, ORCL, PCLN, QCOM, ROST, SBUX,  SNDK, WDC, WYNN, YHOO, AMGN, BBBY, FSLR, SSYS, TSLA, UNG, YELP, NTES, AKAM, EBAY, SIRI

Potential Bullish Divergence:  FFIV, FIVE, ZION, ADSK, ESRX, FAST

Gap Up:

Gap Down:  URI, YHOO

Bear Flag:

Break of Support:  MYL, SHLD, CTSH


Moves
New Highs: 

Gap Up:

Gap Down:  

Breakout: NTAP, UAL

Bounce:  Z, ALK, TSLA, INTC, GOOG, AAPL, C, BRCM

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag: 

Support Break:  ATI

______________________


91 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: REGN, VIAB, MU, NTAP, CTXS, NWSA, MXIM, EXPE, CERN, SND, ADSK, GILD, INTC, XRAY, EQIX

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SPLS, YHOO, CHRW, CTSH, VRSK

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included:  UAL, CREE, TSLA, FAS, GMCR, LNKD, C, DECK, URE, CRUS, CRM, ANF, BAC, SSYS, SOHU, TSL, VMW, ESI, VECO, V

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  FAZ, LDK, ZAGG


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 45
VMED, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, AMGN, MU, DISCA, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, MSFT, SRCL, VRTX, MDLZ, LBTYA, VIAB, REGN, SBUX, VOD, ALXN, BBBY, DTV, LIFE, CMCSA, NUAN, ROST, WDC, EBAY, MNST, WYNN, TXN, NVDA, CRTX, AMZN, BIDU, PCLN, WFM, DLTR, ISRG, NTAP

Moving Above 30 DMA = 15
AMAT, BMC, CERN, COST, FISV, HSIC, INTC, KLAC, MXIM, NWSA, STX, XRAY, PRGO, FB, EQIX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0

Staying Below 30 DMA
AKAM, ATVI, CHRW, CSCO, EXPE, GRMN, PCAR, QCOM, SHLD, SPLS, VRSK, AVGO, STSH, MCHP, ORLY, SIRI, ADSK, BRCM, DELL, SYMC, XLNX, FAST, GOLD, ESRX, GOOG, INTU, ALTR, CA LLTC, SIAL, ADI, AAPL, LINTA, MYL, ORCL, CTXS, FOSL, CHKP, FFIV, EXPD

Twenty One Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

No comments: