Thursday, April 18, 2013

SPY Lower on Decreasing Volume as AAPL Drops Again...GOOG, CRM, MSFT Up in After-hours...


Two of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLE, XLU, and XLP were the strongest sectors…XLV was the weakest sector

Breadth strengthenedhowever decliners still led advancers 1.25 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.41 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliner led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .97 at 154.14volume 167. million shares
VIX up 1.05 at 17.56
TNX down .19 at 16.85
TLT up .30 at 123.09
XLF down 18 cents at 17.83volume 61.7 million shares                 

AAPL down 10.75 at 392.05volume 23.7 million shares
FB down 94 cents at 25.69volume 39 million shares


Technical Commentary:

DIA – 0.53%, SPY – .63%, IWM -.55% and QQQ -1.39%. 
                          
SPY, QQQ and IWM closed lower at short-term support on decreasing volume on Thursday.   SPY, IWM and QQQ are now in a five-day similar low bull flag pattern.  DIA closed below its 30 DMA similar to SPY, QQQ and IWM.  The five-day short-term trend is down.

The Euro was up 15 pips and closed at 1.3049.   The Euro stayed above support for the seventh straight day.

AAPL moved down -10.75 on 23.8 million shares falling to 392 reaching its 261% Fib extension target. AAPL fell 28 in two days.  FB formed a large black candle making a in a potential flag setup on volume of 39 million shares closing below its 30 DMA.


EPS Gainers – CMG, GOOG, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ

EPS Losers – ISRG, KEY, MS, PM, UNH

Key Earnings this week:
MondayC, LLTC
TuesdayKO, CSX, GS, INTC, JNJ, USB, URI, YHOO
WednesdayAXP, BAC, EBAY, MAT, SNDK
Thursday – AMD, CMG, FCX, GOOG, ISRG, KEY, LDK, MSFT, MS, BTU, PEP, PM, UNP, UNH, VZ
Friday – BHI, GE, KMB, MCD, STT, STI, SLB, UA

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a bull flag setup.  Look for potential entry on Friday.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


The Market Forecast Green Line is below the upper zone and is pointed down.

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Setups
H Breakout:  RCL, INTC, NKE, ADBE, GILD, MNST, SPLK

Diagonal Breakout: TPX, COST, DTV, GOOG, SYMC, DELL, SWI, ATVI

Bull Flag:  CREE, BIIB, GRPN, GMCR, LNKD, BIDU, ROST, C, SBUX, WFM, HD, YELP, CMG, SPY, FAS, FB, CSCO, CELG, MSFT, MU,  NUAN, NVDA, ORCL, WYNN, YHOO, AMGN, FSLR, SSYS, NTES,

Potential Bullish Divergence:  BRCM, MYL, AMAT, GRMN, FFIV, FIVE, ZION, ADSK, ESRX, FAST

Gap Up:  CMG, GOOG, MSFT,

Gap Down:  ISRG, PM,

Bear Flag:

At Support:  TXN, WDC, STX, CMCSA, LVS, XLNX, AMZN, AKAM, SIRI, PCLN


Moves
New Highs:  ABC, JNJ, KO,

Gap Up:  PEP, UNP, VZ

Gap Down:  EBAY, UNH

Breakout: TSLA, UNG,  

Bounce:  BBBY, Z, INTC

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag: 

Support Break:  AAPL, SNDK, SHLD, CTSH, QCOM, ATI

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17 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: GOLD, VOD, INTC, SBAC, MDLZ, GRMN, SIAL, SPLS, CTRX, MAT, KLAC

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SNDK, EBAY, FB, AVGO, REGN, AMZN, ALXN, ISRG, NTAP, AAPL, BIIB, PCLN, WDC, CTXS, ADSK, BIDU, STX, SHLF, NUAN, VRTX

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included:  ESI, ANR, UCO, SOHU, TSLA, MCP, CDE, FAZ

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  SSYS, GRPN, CSTR, LNKD, CMG,  NFLX, HUM, BBRY, YELP, VMW, LDK, CIEN, SWKS, SWI, FAS, ZAGG, JDSU, BAC, UAL, VECO, JNPR, DECK, CRUS, TSL


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 28
VMED, STRZA, ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, AMGN, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, MSFT, SRCL, MDLZ, LBTYA, VIAB, REGN, VOD, BBBY, LIFE, NUAN, ROST, MNST, WYNN, CRTX, DLTR, INTC

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
KLAC

Moving Below 30 DMA = 15
AMZN, BIDU, COST, EBAY, FISV, ISRG, NTAP, NVDA, NWSA, PCLN, SBUX, SNDK, VRTX, WFM, WDC

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALXN, AMAT, BMC, CERN, CMCSA, DTV, HSIC, MU MXIM, STX, XRAY, TXN, PRGO, FB, DISCA, EQIX, AKAM, ATVI, CHRW, CSCO, EXPE, GRMN, PCAR, QCOM, SHLD, SPLS, VRSK, AVGO, CTSH, MCHP, ORLY, SIRI, ADSK, BRCM, DELL, SYMC, XLNX, FAST, GOLD, ESRX, GOOG, INTU, ALTR, CA, LLTC, SIAL, ADI, AAPL LINTA, MYL, ORCL, CTXS, FOSL, CHKP, FFIV, EXPD

Twenty One Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Down

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