Tuesday, April 30, 2013

AAPL Leads Tech Stocks Higher...XLK Breaks Out...FB Rises with EPS on Wednesday...


Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLK, XLE, and XLY were the strongest sectors…XLP Vas the weakest sector.

Breadth weakenedadvancers led decliners 2.00 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.53 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened/strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancer led


SPY up 38 cents at 159.68volume 116.0 million shares
VIX down .19 at 13.52
TNX up .07 at 16.75
TLT up 7 cents at 123.01...
XLF up 5 cents at 18.70volume 41.1 million shares                 

AAPL up 12.66 at 442.78volume 24.7 million shares
FB up 79 cents at 26.98volume 36.2 million shares


Technical Commentary:


QQQ + 0.73%, IWM + 0.57%, SPY + 0.24% and DIA + 0.11%.  While many companies have earnings to report this week and next, the majority of earnings are complete.  Some companies that had a negative earnings reaction like IBM are beginning to rebound.

QQQ, broke out of horizontal resistance on the strength of a rising AAPL.  SPY, DIA and IWM at resistance are poised to breakout

The Euro rose 76 pips to short-term resistance and closed at 1.3166.   Look for a potential horizontal breakout on the Euro.

AAPL moved up 12.66 on 24.7 million shares.  AAPL broke out of short-term resistance from early April which a possible reversal point of its down trend since last September.
 
FB gained 79 cents and closed above its 30 DMA for the third on volume of 36.2 million shares.  Raymond James analyst on Friday upgraded FB to Strong Buy with a price target of $37FB reports earnings after the close on Wednesday.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a horizontal resistance breakout setup.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.

EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers – DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C

EPS Losers – AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
Monday – HLF, RVBD,
Tuesday – DDD, AVP, MTW, X, VRSK, VRTX
Wednesday – AMT, ADM, CAR, CHK, FB, GRMN, ICE, JRCC, JDSU, LVS, MA, MRK, STX, TWX, VIAB, V, WLT, YELP
Thursday – ANR, AIG, BZH, CTRX, GM, LNKD, MDC, MYL, TPX, ZAGG
Friday – ADP, CBOE, REGN, UPL


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: X, UNG, DOW, FB, CRUS, ESRX, SPY, FAS, LCC, PHM, PM, SPLK, TPX, VECO, ATVI, XLNX, HD, DTV, ADBE, MNST

Diagonal Breakout: YELP, ZION, AMGN, NTAP

Bull Flag:  JCP, GRPN, PHM, ANGI, ESI, BA, C, COST, UNP, GRMN, MYL, YHOO, STX, KO, PEP, CMG, TRV, VRTX, GILD, CELG

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up:

Gap Down:  SWI

Bear Flag:  CTSH, DELL, X, GE, IBM

At Support: FIVE, BIDU, JNPR, VMW,


Moves
New Highs:  ILMN, ROST, LNKD, SBUX, AKAM, FSLR, BIIB, INTC, TXN, MSFT, AMAT, COH, DD, GLW, JNJ, NKE, NVDA, VZ, WYNN

Gap Up:  OIS, BBY, NFLX

Gap Down: NUAN, EXPE, MXIM, QCOM

H&D Breakout: DDD, AAPL, SSYS, BRCM, GOOG, NTES, ESRX, DAL, TSLA, CMCSA, TPX, SYMC, DTV

Bounce:  Z, WDC, HSY, ORCL, LVS, SHLD, IBM, LRCX, DECK, MMM, JNPR, CTSH, AMZN, RCL, ABC, FFIV, BIDU, KLAC, CSCO, MU, UNH, GMCR

MACD Divergence Bounce: EXPD, FFIV, ADSK, FAST

Bear Flag:  SNDK, EBAY,

Support Break:  ATI

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65 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  SIRI, ADSK, CTSH, FOSL, AAPL, FB, SHLD, SPLS, CHKP, KLAC

Lagging NDX stocks included:  NUAN, SNDK, AMGN, INTU, BIIB, VRTX, AVGO, FAST, LBTYA, SYMC

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: SSYS, MCP, BBRY, AKS, JNPR, CDE, HLF, SINA, CLF, URE, VECO

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  UCO, GRPN, LDK, YELP

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 66
STRZA, ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, MSFT, SRCL, MDLZ, REGN, VOD, BBBY, LIFE, ROST, MNST, WYNN, CTRX, DLTR, INTC, DTV, FISV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, ATVI, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NTAP, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, BMC, BRCM, CA, GOLD, GRMN, SYMC, ALXN, ESRX, MYL, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, PRGO, CERN, CMCSA, FB, AAPL, CHRW, CSCO, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, MCHP, XRAY VRSK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 8
ADSK, CHKP, EQIX, LLTC, ORCL, SHLD, SPLS, VIAB

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
AMGN, DISCA, FAST, LBTYA, NUAN, VMED

Staying Below 30 DMA
AMZN, BIDU, EXPE, MXIM, PCLN, QCOM, HSIC, EBAY, ISRG, SNDK, MU, AVGO, CTSH, DELL, INTU, ADI, ALTR, CTXS, FFIV, EXPD

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks Dave I follow your blog daily for market insights and signals.