Friday, April 12, 2013

Gold Falls...JPM, WFC Earnings Lead to Weakness in Financials and SPY...NTAP, CMG Rise...


Four of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLY, XLU and XLP were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector

Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers 1.53 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.39 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, mixed
Monday - strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 39 cents at 158.80volume 116.3 million shares
VIX down .18 at 12.06
TNX down .70 at 17.21
TLT up 1.79 at 121.93
XLF down 8 cents at 18.47volume 46.2 million shares

AAPL down 4.35 at 429.80volume 8.5 million shares
FB down 62 cents at 27.40volume 28.7 million shares


Technical Commentary:

DIA +0.01%, QQQ -0.07%, SPY -0.24% and IWM -0.40% began bull flag patterns on a one day pullback.  All four index ETFs closed above their 30 DMA.  The short-term trend remains up.

AAPL moved down -4.53 on a lighter 8.5 million shares staying below its 30 DMA and above its recent 420 support area.  AAPL formed a bearish engulfing pattern.  FB reversed Thursday’s gains on a lighter volume of 28.7 million shares while also forming a bearish engulfing pattern.

NTAP +1.98, +5.93% led the NDX on volume of 20.9 million shares that was 229% above its 30 day average volume.  Heavy buying and no news releases.

RALY +27.2%, +3.41, a cloud-based software applications company went public selling 6 million shares at $14 on Friday.

This week earnings season started with reports from AA, FAST, BBBY, JPM and WFC and will continue on Monday.

BBBY +4.31% gained 2.76 on Friday after falling -1.50 on Thursday…reported EPS after the close on Wednesday.

Key Earnings next week:
Monday – C, LLTC
Tuesday – KO, CSX, GS, INTC, JNJ, USB, URI, YHOO
Wednesday – AXP, BAC, EBAY, MAT, SNDK
Thursday – AMD, CMG, FCX, GOOG, ISRG, KEY, LDK, MSFT, MS, BTU, PEP, PM, UNP, UNH, VZ
Friday – BHI, GE, KMB, MCD, STT, STI, SLB, UA

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The trend continues to be up and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.  As always look for re-entry according to your rules.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper zone.

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Setups
H Breakout:  BIDU, CMCSA, CSCO, GRMN, MU, NUAN, SBUX, TXN, WFM, CREE, LVS, RCL

Diagonal Breakout:  GOOG, NTAP, FB, Z, ZION, GMCR, ATI, SYMC, ADSK, AMZN, BRCM, COST, DELL, XLNX, SWI

Bull Flag:  FSLR, NTES, AKAM, QCOM, STX, WDC, CMG, SSYS, SHLD, ATVI, INTC, MSFT, ORCL, ADBE, EBAY, SPY, FAS, SNDK, MAT, AMAT, SIRI

Potential Bullish Divergence:  ESRX, FAST

Gap Up:

Gap Down:

Bear Flag:  FFIV, MYL, GOOG

Break of Support:  ESRX


Moves
New Highs:  AMGN, BBBY, CELG, GILD, MNST, PCLN, WYNN, YHOO, YELP, SPLK

Gap Up:

Gap Down:

Breakout:  NTAP, NVDA, ROST, GRPN, LNKD, UNG

Bounce:  TLT

MACD Divergence Bounce:  NTAP

Bear Flag:  ESRX, ADSK

Support Break:

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44 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NTAP, BBBY, REGN, BIIB, AMGN, NVDA, BIDU, CTXS, LIFE, VRTX

Lagging NDX stocks included:  GOLD, CTRX, CTSH, CHRW, SIRI, ESRX, FB, AVGO, EQIX, ADSK

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included:  CMG, LNKD, SINA, YELP, A, UNG

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  UCO, MCP, CLF, CDE, TBT, ANR, FCX, AKS, LDK, HLF, MOS, ZION


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 69
VMED, NWSA, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, DELL, SYMC, GILD, HSIC, CERN, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, DLTR, AMGN, MU, DISCA, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, FISV, MSFT, SRCL, VRTX, MDLZ, LBTYZ, VIAB, REGN, SBUX, BMC, VOD, ALXN, BBBY, SHLD, DTV, LIFE, STX, COST, CMCSA, NUAN, ROST, ATVI, CHRW, WDC, EBAY, MNST, SPLS, WYNN, TXN, VRSK, INTC, MXIM, NVDA, CTRX, AKAM, AMAT, AMZN, BIDU, CSCO, EXPE, GRMN, KLAC, PCAR, PCLN, QCOM, WFM, XRAY, FB, EQIX, DLTR, ISRG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
NTAP

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
AVGO, CTSH, MCHP, ORLY, SIRI

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, BRCM, DELL, SYMC, XLNX, FAST, GOLD, NTAP, ESRX, GOOG, INTU, ALTR, CA, LLTC, SIAL, ADI, AAPL, LINTA, MYL, ORCL, CTXS, FOSL, CHKP, FFIV, EXPD

Twenty One Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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