Tuesday, November 27, 2012

MNST Up 13%, GMCR Gaps Up After Hours As Euro, SPY, Financials Drift Lower...


Only one sector moved higher on TuesdayXLU, XLP, and XLI were the strongest sectors. 

Breadth
strengthened on Tuesday as advancers led decliners1.20 to 1 on the NYSE and weakened 1.25 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

SPY down .72 at 140.33...volume 128.6 million shares…
VIX up .42 at 15920
TNX down .19 at 16.45…
TLT up .49 cents at 125.29…
XLF
down .14 cents at 15.64…volume 49.8 million shares

AAPL down 4.75 at 584.78volume 19 million shares
FB up .21 cents at`26.15…on volume of 85.7 million shares…

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Technical Commentary:
The SPY continued to hold just below its dma.  Vix moved up and did confirm the SPY moving down.

The ES closed at 1,397.50 price level.   NQ futures closed at 2,641.74.

The weight of the evidence continues to suggest recent support is the near-term low and this bounce is likely to continue even if it does pull back.

The Euro closed down 27 pips at 1.2943 on Tuesday.

TNX, interest rates pulled back again and TLT, bonds moved up 49 cents.  XLF was down 14 cents to 15.64.

SPY –  BO pause at 30 dma
AAPL holds S1, closed at 30 dma
FB – spinning top, BO continuation
FAS – closes below low of high day 
AMZN – doji, BO continuation
EXPE – doji, BO setup 61.24
STX –  bearish engulging, support break
VIAB – potential shooting star above DBO line
RIMM – bearish engulfing
CRUS – spinning top, flag
F – potential tomestone dohi
PHM – doji, above 30 dma
SWK – bearish engulfing
SWI – potential tomestone doji
RAX – spinning top, BO setup 67.18
URI – bearish engulfing
YELP – white candle, resistant BO
XHB – doji
XRT – white candle holds above 30 dma

BO = breakout, DBO = diagonal breakout, CT = counter-trend, IT = intermediate term

The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above the lower reversal zone.

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Chart Targets:
SPY = 141.68, 143.52 short-term resistance
ES =
1,402, 1,414 fib extension
EUR/USD = 1.3020 short-term resistance

Short-term support at
1.2930, 1.2833 = Euro
139.57 = SPY
83.20 = SPXL
1,386.50 = ES
2,596 = NQ



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28 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MNST, KRFT, ESRX, GOOG, APOL, NFLX, GMCR, SRCL, EA, YHOO, BMC, ORCL, NUAN, MYL, WYNN, VIAB, VRSN

Lagging NDX stocks included: RIMM, STX, AKAM, CTXS, DLTR, SIRI, FLEX, GOLD, SHLD, DELL, ISRG, SYMC, WCRX, CHKP, SBUX, SNDK

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included:  CROX, GLW, YELP, LVS, LDK, GRPN, CREE, DECK, ESI, SOHU, FAZ

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: TSL, CDE, ZION, CMG, WDC, HUM, HLF, MCP, CRM, FAS GES, ANR, CLF, GS


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA
YHOO, MYL, ORLY, CERN, NFLX, RIMM, XRAY, PCLN, SBUX, QCOM HSIC, GILD, SPLS, NTAP, CSCO, EXPE, GMCR, VMED, ATVI, CHKP, EA, EXPD, LLTC, MXIM,  PCAR, XLNX, TXN, AMGN, BIIB, CELG, DLTR, EBAY, LIFE, SIAL, AMZN, BBBY, FISV, ADSK, ALTR, AVGO, CHRW, DELL, FFIV, MAT, MRVL, MU, ORCL, BRCM INFY, SRCL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
AAPL, BMC, COST, MNST, KRFT

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
ADBE, CMCSA, GRMN, ISRG, LRCS, SYMC
 

Staying Below 30 DMA
FOSL, NWSA, PAYX, WFM, WYNN, SIRI, LINTA, KLAC, SHLD, FLEX, STX, MSFT, INTU, AMAT, NVDA, MCHP, SNDK, AKAM, PNRA, GOLD, INTC, ADP, FAST, BIDU, CTSH, IAB, GOOG, ESRS, VRXN, ALXN, MNST, APOL, VRTX, WCRX, BMC, VOD, DTV, NUAN, AAPL, CA, CTXS, ROST


Fourteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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