Monday, November 19, 2012

AAPL, Euro, SPY. XLF Big Bounce on Broad Rally, VIX Falls...

All nine sectors moved higher on MondayXLB, XLK and XLE were the strongest sectors.

Breadth
strengthened on Monday as advancers led decliners …7.53 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.72 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

SPY up $2.76 at 139.13...volume 151.4 million shares
VIX -1.17 at 15.24
TNX +0.37 at 16.11…
TLT down 71 cents at 125.66…
XLF
up 29 cents at 15.57…volume 52.2 million shares

AAPL up 38.05 at 565.73volume 29.4 million shares
FB down 64 cents at`22.92…volume 85 million shares…

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Technical Commentary:
Chart Signals' ES price target in Friday’s post was 1,386.  On Monday the ES rose to 1,385.75 before pulling back to close at 1,381.

The SPY gapped open and traded within 22 cents of our 139.37 target forming a gap large white candle.  The VIX moved down and did confirm the SPY move up.

Stocks bounced and moved higher with a broad and strong rally.  GMCR, CRUS, DECK, YELP, AAPL, ANF, ANR, JRCC and X were among the largest gainers.

The Euro up 82 pips at 1.2812 resumed bounce after Friday’s pause.  TNX, interest rates rose and TLT, bonds moved down 71 cents and confirmed its shooting star candle.

XLF was up 29 cents and confirmed its hammer at IT support.

SPY – confirmed hammer, CT rally bounce
AAPL confirmed long tailed hammer, gap large white candle CT rally bounce
FB – pulled back to Friday’s S1, near ST resistance, BO setup
FAS – confirmed hammer, bounce at IT support
EXPE - flag bounce pause
STX – spinning top, higher high and low,  IT support
VIAB – gap white candle, DBO
RIMM – Horizontal BO
SWK – gap white candle bounce
URI – confirmed bullish harami, DBO setup
CRUS – confirmed hammer, gap white candle bounce
YELP – confirmed inverted hammer, large white candle
F – confirmed hammer, flag bounce
XRT – confirmed hammer at IT support, bounce and horizontal BO

BO = breakout, DBO = diagonal breakout, CT = counter-trend, IT = intermediate term

The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up in the lower reversal zone.

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Chart Targets:
SPY = 139.37, 140.39 short-term resistance
ES =
1,386, 1,393 short-term resistance
EUR/USD = 1.2876, 1.3020 short-term resistance

Short-term support at
1.2659 = Euro
134.70 = SPY
73.26 = SPXL
1,342.50 = ES
2,513 = NQ


Setups:
Bull Flag:  QCOM, RCL, AOL, TXN, EXPD, JOE, ROVI, CIEN, JDSU, HNT, CELG, CHRW

Diagonal Setup:  MCO

Confirmed MACD Divergence:  DIA, QQQ, GOOG, CTSH, IBM


Moves:
Gap Up: TSN, AAPL, SPY,

Gap Down:  
 
Bounce: ISIL, AGQ, HCA, F, CREE, LLTC, TER, NTAP, WHR, SBUX, VAR, PCLN, AAN, DDS, WDC, BTU, AVY, PCAR, INGR, SMH, SPY, DIA, QQQ, GOOG, CTSH, IBM, IWM, THC, LNKD, GILD, ISRG, WDC, V, VMED, DV, VMW, CHL, CERN, SIRO, BKD, FLO

Pause: FB, EXPE, TRIP, ADSK, FL, SHLD, PENN

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90 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: GMCR, AAPL, NUAN, EA, GOLD, FLEX, RIMM, DLTR, SPLS, MRVL

Lagging NDX stocks included: VRSN, AKAM, INTU, MNST, ADSK, SNDK, VIDU, SRCL, KLAC, STX

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: CRUS, DECK, YELP, MCP, SINA, ANF, ANR, X, FAS, A, CROX, UCO, RVBD, SWKS, GRPN, BAC, FCX, NKE, COH, STI, CDE, SWK, SLB, URI, TSL, GES, LDK, MOS, TSLA, HLF, C, F, CREEE, CMG, LVS, AKS, LNKD, TIF, JDSU, HUM NTES, GS, CRM, RCL, V

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FAZ, ZAGG, FB


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 19
YHOO, MYL, ORLY, CERN, NFLX, RIMM, XRAY, PCLN, SBUX, QCOM, HSIC, GILD,
SPLS, CSCO, NTAP, EXPE, GMCR, ISRG, VMED    

Moving Above 30 DMA = 10
ATVI, CHKP, EA, EXPD, LLTC, MXIM, PCAR, SYMC, TXN, XLNX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
 

Staying Below 30 DMA
DELL, LRCX, CHRW, MU, SIRI, KLAC, LINTA, SHLD, SRCL, FLEX, STX, WYNN, ADBE, AVGO, CMCSA, INTU, MAT, NWSA, SYMC, ADSK, AKAM, AMAT, AMGN, COST, EBAY, FISV, GOLD, LIFE, MCHP, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, PAYX, PNRA, SNDK, WFM, FOSL, ADP, FAST, INTC, BIDU, CTSH, PCAR, SIAL, VIAB, ALXN, CELG, ESRX, MNST, TXN, VRSN, BIIB, GOOG, MYL, APOL, INFY, ORLY, VRTX, AMZN, BMC, FFIV, GRMN, VOD, WCRX, DLTR, DTV, NUAN, AAPL, BRCM, CA, CTXS, SYMC, ALTR, BBBY, KLAC, ROST, MRVL, KRFT


Six Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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