Breadth weakened on Friday as decliners led advancers…2.32 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.68 to 1 on the NASDAQ…
SPY -1.27 at 141.56...volume 137.7 million shares
VIX +0.90 at 17.59…
TNX +0.11 at 17.26…
TNX +0.11 at 17.26…
TLT down 9 cents at 122.26…
XLF down 9 cents at 16.00…volume 58.6 million shares
XLF down 9 cents at 16.00…volume 58.6 million shares
AAPL down -19.74
at 576.80…volume 21.4 million shares …lowest close since July 26
FB down 3 cents at`21.18… volume 28.3 million shares…
Technical
Commentary:
SBUX and PCLN gapped and closed higher following earnings AMC on Thursday; SWKS and VRTX gapped lower and closed lower also reporting Thursday AMC while LIFE opened higher reversed and closed lower.
SBUX and PCLN gapped and closed higher following earnings AMC on Thursday; SWKS and VRTX gapped lower and closed lower also reporting Thursday AMC while LIFE opened higher reversed and closed lower.
AAPL which
had been relatively resilient to missed earnings and lower guidance a week ago
collapsed on Friday making its lowest close since July 26.
ADP which
had a positive earnings reaction on Thursday reversed and closed lower on Friday. Stocks that had negative earnings reactions
during the past two weeks FFIV, VRSN, ALXN
and ALTR bounced down from resistance in bear flag type action.
The Euro sold
off 118 pips closed near six-week support of 1.2800. Eight week
support is at 1.2750. Its bull
flag pattern has changed to a sideways channel. TNX, interest rates rose, TLT, bonds closed near
unchanged.
XLF was down 9 cents and along with XLI and XLY
are the strongest sectors in the intermediate term with price near resistance
in a channel. Relative strength among
these sectors suggest potential broad market strength.
The SPY was down -1.27 closing at 141.56 above its 141 support level.
The VIX moved higher confirming the SPY pull back.
ES pull back holds
above its 1,400 support level. NQ still
showing confirmed MACD histogram bullish divergence.
The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed
up in the lower reversal zone.
Chart Signals
has continually focused on technical trading with the Trend. With the broad indexes moving sideways
to down and the winding down of earnings season, trading with the up trend on stocks with positive
earnings reactions and the down trend on stocks with negative
earnings reactions allows traders to trade with the trend of the
individual stock.
Earnings
Watch:
Positive
Reactions – PCLN,
SBUX, DNDN, JOE, TRMB, ROVI, DWA, XEC, WPO, SIRI, EA, EXPE, CERN,
AMZN, MXIM, CMCSA, ACI, OSTK, VAR, AAN, EMN, APKT, PCAR, WYNN, AKAM, SYMC, MYL, RCL, GDI,
CRR, GTI, ISIL, TER, INGR, LSI, FB, SLAB,
PLCM, TUP, AVY, REGN, GILD, PNRA, TMO, DOW, VMW, COH, VMED, VECO, WHR, HOG, R,
RSH, CSL, LXK, BTU, YHOO, CAT, RVBD, SNDK, WCC, EBAY,
MAN, COF, RHI, LRCX, STT, MAT, ISRG, GS, C, PII, DPZ
Negative
Reactions – SWKS, VRTX, LIFE, FSLR, WBMD, PBI, FLR, RKT, WMS, NEM, IT, BIDU, VRSN, CA, DECK, VPRT, GT, LPNT, ESI, FFIV, CLF, CROX, SWI, SHW, TPX, NFLX, ALTR, CPWR, EAT, GLW, JNPR,
ALXN, SRCL, CHRW, RF, WDC, DD, CIT, RF, ALV, BMRN, STI, GOOG, IBM, APOL, CHKP,
INTC, INFY, CHKP, AXP, XLNX, MSFT, CMG, MS, FLEX, AMD, ETFC, PH, APD, ALGN,
MLNX
Chart Targets:
SPY = 146.52 channel high, 147.88 2.61 Fib
ES = 1,466.00 2.61 Fib on ESZ2
EUR/USD = 1.3095 1.60 Fib, 1.3345 S&R Measuring
ES = 1,466.00 2.61 Fib on ESZ2
EUR/USD = 1.3095 1.60 Fib, 1.3345 S&R Measuring
Short-term support at
1.2800, 1.2750 = Euro
1.2800, 1.2750 = Euro
141, 139.40 =
SPY
82.19, 81.04 =
SPXL
1,400, 1,390 = ES
2,626, 2,604 = NQ
1,400, 1,390 = ES
2,626, 2,604 = NQ
Holding Above 30 DMA = 37
VMED, CMCSA, LINTA, SIRI, SHLD, FISV, AMGN, ISRG, ADBE, LRCX, MAT, YHOO, MYL, ORLY, PCAR, SRCL, SYMC, TXN, WYNN, CERN, CHRW, EXPD, EXPE, MXIM, NFLX, RIMM, AKAM, AVGO, EBAY, FOSL, GMCR, INTU, KLAC, LLTC, MSFT, PAYX, XRAY
VMED, CMCSA, LINTA, SIRI, SHLD, FISV, AMGN, ISRG, ADBE, LRCX, MAT, YHOO, MYL, ORLY, PCAR, SRCL, SYMC, TXN, WYNN, CERN, CHRW, EXPD, EXPE, MXIM, NFLX, RIMM, AKAM, AVGO, EBAY, FOSL, GMCR, INTU, KLAC, LLTC, MSFT, PAYX, XRAY
Moving Above
30 DMA = 3
EA, PCLN, SBUX
Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
ADP, ADSK, FAST, INTC, LIFE, ORCL, SNDK, SPLS
Staying Below 30 DMA
BIDU, PNRA, GILD, EXPD, CTSH, GOLD, NWSA, PCAR, SIAL, VIAB, ALXN,
CELG, ESRX, MNST, TXN, VRSN, WFM, BIIB, FLEX, GOOG, MYL, CHKP, APOL, INFY,
ORLY, VRTX, COST, AMZN, BMC, FFIV, GRMN, HSIC, VOD, WCRX, DLTR, DTV, NUAN,
QCOM, AAPL, ATVI, BRCM, CA, NTAP, XLNX, CTXS, SYMC, CSCO, MU, ALTR, BBBY, AMAT,
KLAC, MCHP, ROST, STX, NVDA, DELL, MRVL, KRFT
Twelve Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
2 comments:
Dave, thanks for the update!
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