Friday, July 10, 2015

Stocks Rally as Greece Continues to Negotiate Payment Resolution...

All nine sectors moved higher on Friday…the strongest sectors were XLK…XLY…and XLB…the weakest sector was XLU.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.99 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.68 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led on NYSE
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 2.58 at 207.48 on 129.4 million shares
VIX down 3.14 at 16.83…
TNX up 1.16 at 24.17…
TLT down 1.87 at 116.05…
XLF up .29 at 24.64 on 29.3 million shares

AAPL up 3.21 at 123.28 on 61.3 million shares
FB up 2.07 at 87.95 on 23.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ +1.52%, IWM +1.39%, SPY +1.26%, DIA +1.23%.

The NDX led a strong and broad rally on Friday with large point gains in AMZN, FB, AAPL, GOOG, CMCSA, AMGN, CSCO, REGN, COST, ESRX, QCOM, AVGO, INTC and TXN which accounted for just 26 of the 68 point NDX gain.

Earnings unofficially kicked off with AA and a positive earnings reaction on Thursday.  CUDA had a negative earnings reaction on Friday in reaction to guidance.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Earnings Week of July 13
Tuesday – CSX, FAST, JNJ, JPM, WFC, YUM
Wednesday – BAC, DAL, INTC, NFLX, USB
Thursday – C, EBAY, GOOGL, GS, KEY, MAT, SCHW, SLB, UNH
Friday – GE, HON, STI

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – NKE, AA


More than 10% -

Negative Reactions – CUDA, MU


More than -10% - MU

Reversal in progress 

Reversal of Initial Reaction – 


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 208.02, 209.16, 209.96...
QQQ = 108.01, 108.86, 109.66
IWM = 124.51, 125.63…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.76, 204.22...
QQQ = 106.55, 105.75…
IWM = 122.82, 121.53...


The SPX Market Forecast turned up and is at 21.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, QQQ, AIG, CCL, CTRP, FEYE, JNPR, NKE, NTES, SCHW, STI, SUNE, TASR, UA, UBNT,
Diagonal Breakout: AMBA, SVXY, W,  
Bull Flag: ASNA, JCP,
Potential Bullish Divergence: AXTA, CIEN, SUM
Bear Flag: ATI, BABA, BAC, BX, C, CSIQ, CYBR, ETFC, GLNG, GOGO, GPRO, HPQ, TSL

Moves
New Highs: GME, MBLY, NCLH, TPX,
H Breakout: CCL, CRM, DAL, IBM, NCLH, PANW, RCL, SPLK, V,
D Breakout: IWM, AIG, KKD, RCL, SCHW
Bull Flag Bounce: JUNO,
MACD Divergence Bounce: EXPE, FAS, MS, SCTY,
Bounce: SEDG, SWKS, VSLR, ZION,
Gap Up: TBT, UNG,
Gap Down: TLT

Support Break: Z

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SEDG, SWKS, RCL, XONE, DAL, UAL, SPLK, SUNE, FAS, VSLR, PANW, JUNO, QIHU, EXPE, SSYS, AMBA, CTRP, CIEN, UBNT, LOCO, UA, V, ZION, SCHW
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: Z, VXX, YOKU, UPL, SINA, SLCA, MTW, SOHU


92 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AVGO, WBA, AAL, LBTYA, KHC, REGN, VOD, TRIP, AAPL, NXPI, MU, MAR , FB

Lagging NDX stocks included: BIIB, MAT, WYNN, GMCR, SNDK, WDC


NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 10
AAL, ATVI, CA, CHRW, ESRX, FOXA, INTU, REGN, TSCO, TSLA
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
BIIB

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

No comments: