Monday, July 27, 2015

Fifth Straight Day Of Decline In Stocks...Bulls Flags...Gap Downs...Support Breaks Dominate Technicals...MYL Closes Down 14.51%...BIDU Posts Earnings After Close...Trading Down 12.48%...

Seven sectors moved lower on Monday…the strongest sectors were XLU, XLY and XLK…the strongest sector was XLP…the weakest sector was XLE.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.73 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.44 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led


SPY down 1.21 at 206.79 on 132.1 million shares
VIX up 1.86 at 15.60…
TNX down .43 at 22.28…
TLT up .65 at 122.04…
XLF down .18 at 24.94 on 28.2 million shares

AAPL down 1.73 at 122.77 on 44.4 million shares
FB down 2.78 at 94.17 on 38.5 million shares

Technical Commentary:
SPY – 0.58%, DIA – 0.73%, IWM -0.83%, QQQ -0.83%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Earnings Week of July 27
Monday – BIDU, NCLH, SOHU,
Tuesday – AKAM, TWTR, ESRX, FISV, CTRP, SLCA, SPWR, YELP,
Wednesday – FB, GILD, GRMN, LRCX, MAR, WFM, WYNN, SKX, SCTY
Thursday – EXPE, STX, LNKD, FEYE, OCN, SHOP, ESI, SSYS, YNDX,
Friday – RCL,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AMZN, P, MXIM, JNPR, V, SBUX, LUV, SNDK, TXN, UA, WHR, GM, VRSN, CHKP, FFIV, FTNT, LVS, PKG, TMO, TSCO, VMW, ACE, APH, OC, BA, CHKP, IPG, CLI, CMG, LVS, MANH, TRV, VMW, LAD, HOG, WWW, ZION, HAS, HAL, GOOG, HTZ, HON, GE, NFLX, SCHW, EBAY, C, USB, DAL, BAC, WFC, JPM, NKE, AA

More than 10% - P, FTNT, SNDK, GOOG, GOOGL, HTZ, NFLX,

Negative Reactions – BIIB, TRIP, STT, AAL, FSL, KLAC, MCD, UNP, SAVE, CELG, CA, CMCSA, ETFC, CAT, DOW, FCX, MMM, OSTK, IBM, KO, QCOM, AXP, AAPL, IBKR, ILMN, XLNX, VZ, BEAV, BHI, LLTC, MSFT, YHOO, EXAS, STI, UNH, MAT, KEY, YUM, FAST, CUDA, MU


More than -10% - BIIB, TRIP, GIMO, SCSS, BEAV, SWI, CUDA, MU

Reversal in progress – LAD,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – HTZ, HON, GE, AA,

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 210.37, 211.65...
QQQ = 113.00, 114.41
IWM = 123.71, 124.30…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.60, 206.05...
QQQ = 111.13, 110.00…
IWM = 121.28, 119.73...


The SPX Market Forecast is moving down at 60: Defensive

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout
Diagonal Breakout
Bull Flag: AIG, AMBA, C, CCL, GME, GPRO, HOG, LNKD, MBLY, MS, NCLH, NKE, OCN, RCL, SCHW, TPX, ZION, UAL, CELG, EA, EBAY, ESRX, FB, ROST, WBA,
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up
Gap Down: 
Bear Flag:  
At Support: CSIQ, EXPE, FEYE, SUM, YELP, MAR, TSLA, WDC,
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs
H Breakout:
D Breakout:
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce
MACD Divergence Bounce: TSL, X, XONE, INTC,
Bounce: GIMO, CREE, EMC, GMCR,
Gap Up: VXX,
Gap Down: BABA, BAC, CTRP, FAS, JD, NTES, QIHU, SVXY, SWKS, YOKU, KNDI, MTW, SFUN, TAN, AAPL, AVGO, BIDU, MYL, YHOO,  
C- Pattern:                                                          
Bear Flag:
Support Break: IWM, BX, ETFC, GLNG, JCP, JUNO, LVS, SINA, SOHU, BBY, GOGO, RAX, GILD,

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: VXX, GIMO, TSL,
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JD, NTES, SHAK, SINA, W, PANW, GLNG, CTRP, SVXY, CYBR, SEDG, JUNO, SPLK, SOHU, SWKS


16 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and three were unchanged on Monday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AMGN, BIIB, GMCR

Lagging NDX stocks included: MYL, TSLA, BIDU, VIP, WYNN, AVGO, FB, NFLX, YHOO, NXPI,


NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0


Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
BIDU, CMCSA, FISV, MSFT, SBAC, SIAL, TSCO, VIP, VOD, VRSK

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down



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