Wednesday, July 22, 2015

MSFT, AAPL, ILMN EPS Weigh on NDX...Financials Make New High...

Five sectors moved higher on Wednesday…the strongest sectors were XLF, XLY and XLU…the weakest sector was XLK.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.38 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.07 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .38 at 211.37 on 88.5 million shares
VIX down .10 at 12.12…
TNX down .18 at 23.22…
TLT up .74 at 119.60…
XLF up .19 at 25.58 on 29.4 million shares

AAPL down 5.53 at 125.22 on 115.3 million shares, above average volume
FB down 1.35 at 97.04 on 28.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ -1.13%, DIA -0.37%, SPY -0.18%, IWM +0.37%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Earnings Week of July 13
Monday – EXAS, HAL, HAS, IBM, MS, ZION
Tuesday – BHI, CMG, GPRO, HOG, ILMN, IBKR, LLTC, MSFT, SKX, TRV, VZ, VMW, YHOO,
Wednesday – ALTR, AXP, AAPL, BA, CHKP, KO, FFIV, FTNT, LVS, QCOM, RCL, SNDK, TSCO, XLNX,
Thursday – MMM, AMZN, CA, CMCSA, DOW, ETFC, FCX, FSL, GM, GIMO, JNPR, KLAC, MCD, NDAQ, OSTK, P,  PHM, LUV, SBUX, TRIP, UA, UNP, UAL, VRSN, V,
Friday – AAL, BIIB, SAVE, STT,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – WHR, CHKP, PKG, TMO, VMW, ACE, APH, OC, BA, IPG, CLI, MANH, LAD, WWW, HAS, HAL, GOOG, HTZ, HON, GE, NFLX, SCHW, EBAY, C, USB, DAL, BAC, WFC, JPM, NKE, AA

More than 10% - GOOG, GOOGL, HTZ, NFLX,

Negative Reactions – AAPL, ILMN, BEAV, LLTC, MSFT, YHOO, EXAS, STI, UNH, MAT, KEY, YUM, FAST, CUDA, MU



More than -10% - BEAV, CUDA, MU

Reversal in progress 

Reversal of Initial Reaction – 



Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.59, 214.90...
QQQ = 114.41, 116.43
IWM = 125.63, 128.55…

Support Levels
SPY = 210.78, 208.94...
QQQ = 111.13, 110.00…
IWM = 124.75, 123.37...


The SPX Market Forecast is moving up and is at 89.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AMBA, CCL, ETFC, EXPE, GME, HPQ, SVXY, UA, UNG, ROST (long term),
Diagonal Breakout: CYBR, AAL,
Bull Flag: SPY, STI, TPX, V, W, EA

Moves
New Highs: AIG, BAC, C, FAS, NKE, SCHW, CELG, ESRX, MNST, SBUX, WBA,
H Breakout: BABA, DAL, GLNG, SONC, ZION, HOG, UAL,
D Breakout: HABT, EMC
MACD Divergence Bounce: SLCA, BBY, CAR, EMC, LOCO,
Bounce: IWM, JUNO, MS, MYL, NTAP,
Gap Up: CMG, WHR, CHKP, PKG, TMO, ACE, MANH,

Gap Down: QQQ, SWKS, UBNT, ANGI, AAPL, AVGO, BRCM, ILMN, TXN, LLTC
Support Break: IBM, SUNE, TSL, XLNX,

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: GLNG, AMBA, JUNO, FOGO, JCP, OCN, SONC, C, BAC
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SUNE, ATI, SWKS, TSL, DGLY, SOHU, SHOP, YELP, SEDG, X, FIT, SFUN, W


45 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ISRG, CHKP, MNST, STX, DISCA, BIDU, CELG, TSCO, GMCR, AAL

Lagging NDX stocks included: ILMN, LLTC, ADI, MU, BIIB, AAPL, MSFT, AVGO, SNDK, NXPI


NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
CHKP, CTSH, VRSK

Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
AAPL, ADBE, BIIB, CA, GILD, MSFT, QCOM, ILMN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral





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