Tuesday, June 30, 2015

SPX, NDX Modest Rally Following Monday's Selloff...SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA Form Bullish Harami...

Seven of nine sectors moved higher on TuesdayXLE, XLY and XLF were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest sector.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.54 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.64 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – mixed, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .43 at 205.85 on 182.9 million shares, 79% above average volume
VIX down .62 at 18.23…
TNX up .04 at 23.35…
TLT down .82 at 117.46…
XLF up .09 at 24.38 on 62.8 million shares, 101% above average volume

AAPL up .90 at 125.42 on 44.3 million shares, 10% above average volume
FB down .04 at 85.77 on 23.2 million shares, 6% above average volume
  
Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.47%, QQQ +0.36%, SPY +0.21%, DIA +0.10%.

Buyers returned to stocks on Tuesday after the strong selloff on Monday following news that Greek debt talks had broken down creating a high level of uncertainty in financial markets.  AAPL, TWTR, TASR, FEYE, SPLK, SWKS and AMBA bounced to upside on the last day of  June.  TASR, FEYE, SPLK and AMBA closed higher for the month of June.

SPY, QQQ, IWM and DIA each formed a bullish harami candle pattern.
                   (click image to enlarge)

SPY, QQQ and DIA finished lower for the month of June and IWM closed higher for the month.  Six months June 30, YTD return:  IWM +4.7%, QQQ +4.17%, SPY +1.09%, DIA +0.04%
                   (click image to enlarge)

Sectors XLB, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLV and XLY also formed a bullish harami candle pattern.
                   (click image to enlarge)


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 206.72, 208.02, 209.16...
QQQ = 108.01, 108.86
IWM = 126.60, 127.50…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.76, 204.22...
QQQ = 106.55, 105.75…
IWM = 123.94, 122.52... 


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed down at 32.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: TWTR
Diagonal Breakout: SBUX, WBA, AXTA, BAC, C, CIEN, CYBR, ETFC, GPRO, JASO, JD, KNDI, MS, NTES, OCN, SEDG, SFUN, SHAK, SLCA, SOHU, STI,  
Bull Flag: IWM, ADBE, AMZN, CELG, CMCSA, DTV, EA, ESRX, FB, GILD, ILMN, MNST, TRIP, AIG, AMBA, ASNA, CCL, FEYE, GIMO, GLNG, GME, KKD, MBLY, NCLH, NKE, PANW, QIHU, RCL, SHOP, SINA, SPLK, SWKS, TASR, TPX, UA, UBNT, W,
Potential Bullish Divergence: QQQ, AAPL, AKAM, COST, EBAY, INTC, TXN, YHOO, BABA, BX, CTRP, HABT, SCTY, SUM, SUNE, TBT, VSLR, YELP
At Support: SONC, X, ZION

Moves
D Breakout: NFLX,
Bull Flag Bounce: TSLA
Bounce: PCLN, WYNN, YOKU, YY, TWTR
Gap Up: JUNO 

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: JUNO, SHOP, KNDI, TWTR, TASR, JD, SFUN, GOGO, NTES, CTRP, YOKU, YY, KWEB, GIMO, FEYE, RCL, W, SPLK, EXPE, ETFC, SWKS
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ATI


61 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Tuesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: WYNN, PCLN, TSLA, ILMN, BIIB, NFLX, CHKP, ALXN, TRIP, EBAY

Lagging NDX stocks included: WDC, SNDK, STX, ATVI, ADP, MAT, BIDU, ADSK, MSFT, WFM, COST


NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
AMZN, BIIB, GILD
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
KRFT, TSCO


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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