Friday, June 19, 2015

Indexes Lower on Friday, Close Higher for the Week...AMBA Comments Possible Hidden Code?

All nine sectors moved lower on Friday…XLV, XLY and XLP were the strongest sectors and XLF was the weakest. 
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.43 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.16 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, mixed
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 0.93 at 210.81 on 130.5 million shares, 36% above average
VIX up .77 at 13.96…
TNX down .84 at 22.67…
TLT up 1.51 at 119.08…
XLF down .53 at 24.74 on 38.2 million shares, 30% above average volume

AAPL down 1.28 at 126.60 on 54.7 million shares, 33% above average volume
FB down .40 at 82.51 on 23.3 million shares, 18% above average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.05%, SPY -0.44%, DIA -0.60%, QQQ -0.72%.

The SPY declared 1.03007, DIA declared 0.48025 and QQQ declared 0.25416 cash dividends on Friday.

                    (click image to enlarge)

IWM, SPY, QQQ and DIA closed lower on Friday and higher for the weekIWM which made a new high on Thursday breaking out of horizontal resistance, closed near unchanged and held above the S1 level of Thursday’s large white candle.  This is a bullish indication that trend continuation is most probable.

                    (click image to enlarge)

SEDG, SPLK, CYBR, CCL were among weekly gainers that rose on Friday.  
                    (click image to enlarge)

Other weekly gainers included: W, Z, SWKS, SCTY, PANW, RCL, MBLY, NKE, QIHU, UBNT and AMBA.

AMBA -7.35, -5.80% moved lower following “ridiculous” comments from a short-seller. 
In a Sep 23, 2012 comment this same source used the same “ridiculous” word describing Z (Zillow) at 45.28.  In Sep 2013, Z reached 100 and by July 2014 Z hit 158Is it possible that “ridiculous” is code for the stock will more than triple within 22 months?


Similar shock and awe tactics were used on TSLA in 2013 after the stock exceeded 100 for the first time in May of 2013.  Following swift pullbacks on negative comments, TSLA rose to more than 190 within four months in Sep 2013.  TSLA later reached 260 in Feb 2014 less than 10 months after exceeding 100 for the first time.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.67, 213.78...
QQQ = 110.81, 111.16
IWM = 127.13, 128.15…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 108.63, 106.80…
IWM = 123.94, 122.52...


The SPX Market Forecast is turned up at 51.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: RCL, SUNE, SWKS, TASR, AMZN, CELG, CMCSA, FB, GOOGL, INTC, LRCX, TXN,
Diagonal Breakout: CTRP, IBM, JD, SFUN, SVXY, Z, ZNGA, SHAK
Bull Flag: AIG, BAC, C, CYBR, ETFC, FAS, FEYE, GPRO, MBLY, NTES, OCN, QIHU, SHOP, SINA, STI, TPX, TSL

Moves
New Highs: CCL, PANW, SPLK, W, EA, TRIP, TSLA,
H Breakout: SEDG
Bounce: SUM, HABT

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SEDG, Z, SUM, SONC, JCP, UBNT
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: YY, SFUN, AMBA, CTRP, KNDI, DGLY, SPWR, JD, CSIQ, SOHU, TBT, FAS, QIHU, KWEB, JNPR


29 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AAL, FISV, BIIB, EA, WBA, EBAY, ROST, GRMN, TXN

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, WYNN, SNDK, DISH, XLNX, SYMC, WDC, STX, AKAM, MSFT


NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
NTAP
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
BBBY, CSCO, INTU, ISRG, MYL, SPLS, SYMC, XLNX


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

1 comment:

John D. said...

Happy Father's Day Dave! Thank you for all you do for your extended trading family.