Tuesday, June 16, 2015

IWM Leads as Markets Await FOMC Meeting Announcement on Wednesday...MNST Mash Leads NDX...

All nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLP, XLE and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLI was the weakest. 
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.77 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.40 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up 1.14 at 210.25 on 85.3 million shares, 7% below average volume
VIX down 0.58 at 14.81…
TNX down .40 at 23.18…
TLT up .93 at 119.07…
XLF up .14 at 25.07 on 32.9 million shares

AAPL up .68 at 127.60 on 31 million shares
FB up .35 at 81.06 on 13.6 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.71%, DIA +0.62%, SPY +0.55%, QQQ +0.55%

IWM bounced in its bull flag and closed just 13 cents below its all-time closing high on April 15.  IWM is now a horizontal breakout setup.

SPY, QQQ and DIA bounce off of support on Tuesday as the FOMC held the first day of its two-day meeting.  Tomorrow at 2 pm is the FOMC meeting announcement.  Expectations are for no change as many observers suggest the Fed will raise rates in September.

MNST +5.27, +4.15% leads NDX and second strongest SPX gainer as C adds to Focus List and maintains 155 price target.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.67, 213.78...
QQQ = 110.81, 111.16
IWM = 127.13, 128.15…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 108.63, 106.80…
IWM = 123.94, 122.52...


The SPX Market Forecast is turned up at 44.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, CCL, CSIQ, CYBR, GLNG, JASO, MBLY, NKE, NTES, OCN, SONC, SPLK, SPWR, STI, SUNE, SWKS, TSL, UNG, ZION,  
Diagonal Breakout: ATI, BX, CTRP, EXPE, GME, IBM, KKD, LC, NCLH, QQQ, SHAK, SPY, VSLR, YNDX, ZNGA
Bull Flag: AIG, AMBA, BAC, C, ETFC, GPRO, JD, JUNO, KNDI, KWEB, MS, QIHU, SCHW, SFUN, SINA, SOHU, SVXY, TASR, TBT, YOKU, YY
Bear Flag: YELP,
At Support: BABA, JCP, X

Moves
New Highs: ASNA, FEYE, GIMO, TPX,
H Breakout: UA,
D Breakout: CRM, SUM,
Breakout Test: CIEN,  
Bull Flag Bounce: FAS, IWM, MBLY, NKE, RCL, SEDG, ZION
Bounce: JNPR, QQQ, SCTY, SPY, SUNE

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Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: SUM, SEDG, SCTY, MBLY, SUNE
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SFUN, YY, JCP, SINA, JUNO, DGLY


69 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and three were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MNST, GRMN, ALXN, EA, MAT, NFLX, WBA, SFM, LRCX

Lagging NDX stocks included: MYL, GMCR, AAL, VIP, BRCM, AVGO, WDC

NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
CHRW, DISCA, EA, FISV, MAT, MNST, VIAB, VOD, WBA
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
MYL

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down

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