Friday, June 12, 2015

Broad Market Retraces in Triangle Pattern...Leading Stocks Continue Strong...AMBA All-time High...

All nine sectors moved lower on Friday…XLP, XLF and XLY were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest. 
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.81 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.38 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led

SPY down 1.62 at 210.01 on 135.3 million shares, 49% above average volume
VIX up .97 at 13.78…
TNX up .02 at 23.85…
TLT unchanged at 117.95…
XLF down .11 at 25.04 on 34.2 million shares, 25% above average volume

AAPL down 1.42 at 127.17 on 36.8 million shares, 15% below average volume
FB down .30 at 81.53 on 11.4 million shares, 43% below average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.30%, SPY -0.77%, QQQ -0.82%, DIA -0.84%.

SPY, QQQ and DIA form evening star candle pattern in sideways triangle channel on Friday.  IWM forms a dragonfly doji in a bull flag pattern.
                     (click image to enlarge)

IWM, SPY and DIA closed higher for the week and QQQ closed lower.
                     (click image to enlarge)

Financials paused on Friday while continuing to among the leading stocks.  

AMBA +6.66, +5.97% continued to rise on 128% above average volume, a new all-time closing high of 118.16.  SFUN +0.80, +8.74%, SINA +2.30, +8.74%, MBLY +1.09, +2.16% closed higher for the week.
                     (click image to enlarge)

WING (Wingstop) closed at 30.59 after completing its IPO at 19 on Friday.  WING joins SHAK, HABT and BOJA as recent restaurant IPOs.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.67, 213.78...
QQQ = 110.81, 111.16
IWM = 125.93, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 108.63, 106.80…
IWM = 123.03, 122.52...


The SPX Market Forecast is turned up as 37.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CCL, CSIQ, JASO, JNPR, NTES, SCHW, SONC, TSL, UA, UBNT, YOKU,
Diagonal Breakout: SPWR, ZNGA
Bull Flag: IWM, BAC, C, ETFC, FAS, GPRO, JUNO, MS, NKE, RCL, SEDG, STI, SUNE, SVXY, TASR, ZION
Bear Flag: BX, TLT,
At Support: HPQ, X

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, CIEN, FEYE, JD, MBLY, NTES, PANW, QIHU, SFUN, SINA, SOHU, TPX, YY,
H Breakout: CIEN, SOHU,
D Breakout: GOGO
Bull Flag Bounce: CYBR  
Bear Flag: IBM

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SFUN, YY, CYBR, AMBA, SINA, JD, QIHU, GPRO, SOHU, MBLY
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SEDG, SLCA, Z, TASR, DGLY, CHAK, JUNO, UNG


19 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CTXS, AAL, MNST, SIAL, MU

Lagging NDX stocks included: NVDA, GRMN, REGN, MAT, INTC, WYNN, VRTX, WDC, VIAB, LLTC


NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
SIAL
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 15
BIIB, CHRW, CTSH, DISCA, GRMN, ISRG, MAT, NVDA, NXPI, PCAR, REGN, SPLS, SRCL, VIAB, VRTX


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up