Monday, April 13, 2015

Stocks End Weaker...Concerns Over Earnings Cited...

Only one out of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLF, XLK and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.62 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.07 to 1 on the NASDAQ. 

Monday – weakened, decliners led                                                                                                                                          
Friday - strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .95 at 209.09 on 72.8 million shares
VIX up 1.36 at 13.94…
TNX down .12 at 19.39…
TLT up .18 at 129.80…
XLF up .09 at 24.33 on 30.7 million shares

AAPL down .25 at 126.85 on 35.9 million shares
FB up .97 at 83.01…on 26.7 million shares


Technical Commentary:
SPY -0.45%, DIA – 0.40%, QQQ – 0.25%, IWM +0.06%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.11, 212.71...
QQQ = 109.07
IWM = 125.94, 127.14…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.61, 206.44...
QQQ = 106.82…
IWM = 123.77...


Earnings Week of April 6 – AA, BBBY, WBA, STZ
Earnings Week of April 13 JNJ, JPM, FAST, WFC, INTC, BAC, CSX, DAL, LLTC, SNDK, NFLX, GS, C, AXP, MAT



Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – WBA, STZ, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, 

More than 10% - DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - YOKU, 

Reversal in progress 

Reversal of Initial Reaction – GME, MU, YOKU, XONE


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 62.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, IWM, BBRY, CSIQ, EXPE, FSLR, IBM, MBLY, SCHW, VSLR, ZION, TBT, AAPL, AMZN, GILD, ILMN,
Diagonal Breakout: SSYS, HPQ, TRIP, WFM,  
Bull Flag: BABA, CCL, CRM, CTRP, DGLY, LOCO, NTES, SWKS, TWTR, CYBR, LVS, SFUN, YY, MYL, YHOO,  
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:          
Gap Down: 
Bear Flag:
At Support:
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: AIG, BX, JD, TAN,  
H Breakout: BRCM, PCLN,  
D Breakout: UBNT,  
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce: WLT, FB,    
Bounce: CMGE, TSL, EMC,
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
Gap Up: JASO, NFLX,  
Gap Down: SINA,
C- Pattern:   
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: RCL,
______________________


29 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NFLX, ISRG, VIP, FB, ILMN, SBAC, PCLN, WFM, ROST, TRIP

Lagging NDX stocks included: SYMC, SPLS, MYL, CHKP, CHRW, DISH, WYNN, EA, CMCSA,  CTSH

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: TSL, SOHU, CMGE, JD, VXX, JASO, UPL

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: VJET, SINA, Z, XONE, YOKU, FEYE, SCTY, GPRO,





Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 56
MNST, LVNTA, SRCL, CERN, FB, SIAL, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, EA, EQIX, VRSK, XLNX, CTRX, ESRX, FISV, ISRG, MDLZ, CHTR, VIP, CTXS, DISCA, HSIC, TSLA, AKAM, MYL, REGN, ADSK, AMGN, AMZN, ATVI, BIDU, CMCSA, DLTR, DTV, INTU,  NFLX, PCLN, SBUX, VRTX, YHOO, AAPL, GILD, NVDA, PCAR, SIRI, SYMC, VIAB, WYNN, ALXN, BRCM, INTC, STX, TSCO, VOD

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
ILMN            

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
ADBE, BIIB, CHKP, CTSH, LMCA, NXPI, SPLS

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADP, TXN, BBBY, CA, COST, AVGO, AAL, EXPD, ROST, FAST, PAYX, GOOG, CELG, CHRW, EBAY, FOXA, MAR, MSFT, SBAC, SNDK, TRIP, KLAC, LBTYA, LLTC,AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, CSCO, DISH, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, WDC, MU, GRMN, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up/Neutral