Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Stocks End Lower...Again...Private Jobs Sector & US Manufacturers Pace Slow...JCP Advances Again...JCP Up Another 5.83%...

Three out of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLB, XLP and XLU were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest again today.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.14 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.13 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led


SPY down .73 at 205.70 on 135.8 million shares, above average volume
VIX down .18 at 15.11…
TNX down .66 at 18.68…
TLT up 1.44 at 132.13…
XLF down .02 at 24.09 on 26.6 million shares

AAPL down .18 at 124.25 on 40.3 million shares
FB down .55 at 81.67…on 22 million shares


Technical Commentary:
QQQ – 0.52%, DIA – 0.47%, SPY – 0.35%, IWM + 0.04%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.24...
QQQ = 108.94
IWM = 126.22…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.86, 203.49...
QQQ = 105.38, 104.44…
IWM = 122.77, 121.22, 119.83...

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – YOKU, XONE, JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, WFC,

More than -10% - YOKU, LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AXP, BIDU, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JCP, JDSU, JNJ, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, RCL, SOHU, STX, YHOO

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AAL, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, CHRW, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, IBM, JDSU, JPM, KSU, MCD, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, STT, TPX, TSLA, WDC, WYNN, VRTX, WFC, XLNX, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is down at 33.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BX, JCP, RCL, SWI, MTW, NCLH, QCOM,   
Diagonal Breakout: CSIQ, UPL, DDD, MU,     
Bull Flag: JD, PANW, EA, YHOO
Bear Flag: EMC,  
At Support: BBY, CIEN, FEYE, RAX, GLW, EBAY, MSFT, TRIP, WFM

Moves
New Highs: SUNE
D Breakout: AA
Bull Flag Bounce: GLD,   
Bounce: CMGE, CTRP, JASO, SSYS, TSL, TAN, YNDX, YY, DTV, SNDK,   
MACD Divergence Bounce: WDC 
Gap Down: DAL, TPX, UAL, AAL, MYL
Support Break: IBM, LOCO, MBLY, UBNT, V, KKD, CELG, GILD, GOOGL, SBUX,   
______________________


30 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: KRFT, SNDK, SBAC, ADBE, WDC, BIDU, CMCSA, MAT, LBTYA, GMCR

Lagging NDX stocks included: AAL, ESRX, EA, MYL, REGN, ALXN, BIIB, PCAR, ILMN, SBUX

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: JCP, SUNE, TSL, CMGE, JASO

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: GPRO, UBNT, YELP, DAL, MBLY, MFRM, PANW, Z, LC, FEYE, DGLY, UA, SPLK, AMBA, X, ZNGA


Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 29
MNST, NXPI, DLTR, COST, AVGO, LVNTA, SRCL, REGN, CERN, FB, SIAL, YHOO, CTXS, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, BBBY, EA, EQIX, VRSK, XLNX, BIDU, CTRX, ESRX, FISV, ISRG, MDLZ, CHTR

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
INTU, SPLS                  

Moving Below 30 DMA = 9
AAL, AKAM, AMGN, BIIB, CA, EXPD, MYL, ROST, SBUX                   

Staying Below 30 DMA

ATVI, CHKP, CTSH, FAST, HSIC, PAYX, PCAR, VIP, GOOG, ALXN, CELG, CHRW,DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, LMCA, MAR, MSFT, SBAC, SIRI, SNDK, TRIP, TSCO, TSLA, TXN, VRTX, AAPL, BRCM, CMCSA, KLAC, LBTYA, LLTC, NVDA, PCLN, VIAB, ADBE, ADP, AMZN, GILD, ILMN, ADSK, AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, CSCO, DISH, DTV, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, NFLX, WDC, MU,STX, SYMC,VOD, WYNN, GRMN, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down