Monday, April 6, 2015

Energy Leads Market Bounce...MSFT, AMZN, AAPL, FB, TSLA, PCLN, INTC Lead NDX Rally...

All nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLE, XLU and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 2.67 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.19 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday - Holiday
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 1.40 at 207.83 on 114.1 million shares
VIX up .07 at 14.74…
TNX unchanged…
TLT down .73 at 130.00…
XLF up .04 at 24.25 on 15.7 million shares

AAPL up 2.03 at 127.35 on 37.1 million shares
FB up .88 at 82.44…on 19 million shares, below average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM + 0.44%, SPY + 0.68%, DIA + 0.71%, QQQ + 0.82%.

Oil gained 2.44 on Monday and the SPX was lead by large gains in a large number of oil & gas stocks including:  RIG, ESV, NE, DO, APAP, HP, HES, HAL, NFX, XEC, CHK, COP, MUR, NOV, MRO, BHI and FTI.

Gains in MSFT, AMZN, AAPL, FB, TSLA, PCLN and INTC led the 34 point rally in the NDX.

The DJIA was led by gains in MSFT, MMM, AAPL, CAT, CVX, KO and BA. 

Earnings season unoffically begins Wednesday with AA earnings after the close.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 208.61, 211.11...
QQQ = 106.82, 109.07
IWM = 125.94…

Support Levels
SPY = 204.12, 203.49...
QQQ = 104.24…
IWM = 122.90, 121.54...

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, 

More than 10% - DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – MU, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - YOKU, 

Reversal in progress 

Reversal of Initial Reaction – 


The SPX Market Forecast is rising up at 40.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, FAS, FSLR, GOGO, GPRO, QIHU, UPL, MTW, SFUN, TAN, YNDX, COST, DTV,  
Diagonal Breakout: ATI, BBRY, JASO, SPLK, TPX, YELP, XONE, ADSK, AKAM, AMZN, CMCSA, NTAP, SBUX,
Bull Flag: AMBA, ETFC, MFRM, PANW, SCSS, ZNGA, VRSN, ADI, EA, FB

Moves
New Highs: CTRP, 
H Breakout: CTRP, JCP, SCTY, SWI, DDD,  
D Breakout: SPY, AA, DAVE, HOG, LVS, TBT, AAPL, PCLN, WYNN
Bull Flag Bounce: JUNO, TWTR,   
Bounce: IBM, RAX, EMC, KKD, VJET, AVGO, BRCM, GOOGL, LRCX, MAR, MNST, MU, TXN,   
MACD Divergence Bounce: CIEN, CREE, FEYE, LNKD, UBNT, GLW, HPQ, JDSU, GRMN, MSFT, NFLX, STX, TRIP,  
Gap Up: TSLA,   
Gap Down: DAL, UAL, AAL, BIDU
Support Break: EBAY,  
______________________


73 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: VIP, TSLA, MAT, SNDK, MSFT, NVDA, MU, LRCX, PCLN, BRCM

Lagging NDX stocks included: ALTR, BIDU, AAL, CELG, YHOO, EA, SPLS, INTU, GILD, AMAT

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: GPRO, BBRY, CTRP, UBNT, ATI

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: DGLY, Z, VXX


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 27
MNST, NXPI, DLTR, COST, LVNTA, SRCL, CERN, FB, SIAL, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, BBBY, EA, EQIX, VRSK, XLNX, CTRX, ESRX, FISV, ISRG, MDLZ, CHTR, LMCA, SIRI, VIP,

Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
AAPL, AMZN, CA, CTXS, DISCA, DTV, HSIC, SBUX, TSLA               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
BIDU, CTSH, INTU, YHOO,  

Staying Below 30 DMA
AVGO, REGN, SPLS, AAL, AKAM, AMGN, BIIB, EXPD, MYL, ROST, ATVI, CHKP,FAST, PAYX, PCAR, GOOG, ALXN, CELG, CHRW, EBAY, FOXA, MAR, MSFT, SBAC, SNDK, TRIP, TSCO, TXN, VRTX, BRCM, CMCSA, KLAC, LBTYA, LLTC,NVDA, PCLN, VIAB, ADBE, ADP, GILD, ILMN, ADSK, AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, CSCO, DISH, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, NFLX, WDC, MU, STX, SYMC, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, INTC, MAT


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up