Friday, April 24, 2015

QQQ's Take Off Leading the Pack On Friday...Followed By SPY...Both Making New All Time Highs...IWM Lags...AMZN...MSFT...Powers Up...Many Stocks In A Breakout Setup...

Five out of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLY, XLU and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.03 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led advancers 1.15 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – mixed, mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, mixed
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
                                                                                                                                        

SPY up .49 at 211.65 on 61.3 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .19 at 12.29…
TNX down .30 at 19.17…
TLT up .80 at 129.07…
XLF down .04 at 24.28 on 18.7 million shares, below average volume

AAPL up .61 at 130.28 on 44.5 million shares
FB down .88 at 81.53…on 29.6 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM – 0.33%, DIA +0.09%, SPY +0.23%, QQQ +1.36%.


The NDX moved higher on the positive earnings reactions of AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL which accounted for 59 points of the 59.71 points the NDX moved.  The other 97 issue netted each other out on Friday.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 210.33, 210.70, 211.40...
QQQ = 108.38, 109.17
IWM = 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.01, 205.39...
QQQ = 105.55, 104.50…
IWM = 123.77, 122.90...


Earnings Week of April 6 – AA, BBBY, WBA, STZ
Earnings Week of April 13 – JNJ, JPM, FAST, WFC, INTC, BAC, CSX, DAL, LLTC, SNDK, NFLX, GS, C, AMD, AXP, CE, MAT, NOW
Earnings Week of April 20 – CHKP, HAL, HAS, MS, RCL, STI, IBM, LRCX, ZION, ARMH, ATI, BHI, DD, HOG, LMT, PCAR, TRV, UA, VZ, AMGN, BRCM, CMG, CREE, ILMN, ISRG, URI, UTX, YHOO, YUM, ABT, BA, EMC, KO, MCD, CTXS, EBAY, FB, FFIV, ORLY, QCOM, T, TSCO, TXN, XLNX, ABBV, ALXN, BAX, CAM, CAT, DHR, DOW, DPS, FCX, HP, HSY, LLY, LUV, MMM, MO, NDAQ, PEP, PG, SWK, UNP, ALTR, AMZN, ETFC, GOOGL, HBI, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT, SBUX, SRCL, SWN, AAL, BIIB, STT
Earnings Week of April 27AAPL, CHRW, AET, COH, F, GLW, PFE, UPS, VLO, AKAM, ESRX, VRSK, WDC, WHR, WYNN, GRMN, MDLZ, BIDU, MAR, NXPI, TRIP, VRTX, CAH, LLL, XOM, ADP, CELG, VIAB, AIG, CME, EXPE, FSLR, SWKS, V, GILD, MYL, CVX, MCO, WY




Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AA, GS,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – FCX, GME, MU, YOKU, XONE


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 86.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, DAL, FEYE, MS, NKE, QIHU, SINA, SPLK, X, CYBR, HPQ, YY, AAL, AAPL, ADBE, ADSK, BIDU, CMCSA, EA, MNST, PCLN, ROST, TSLA,   
Diagonal Breakout: CCL, CRM, FAS, GME, LNKD, CAR, KKD, COST, GMCR, NTAP,   
Bull Flag: ETFC, GOGO, ZION, EMC, BRCM, NFLX,    
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:     
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: STI, SWKS, TWTR, WBA,  
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: SPY, JD, NTES, RAX, MYL, SBUX,    
H Breakout: P, CELG,    
D Breakout: AIG, BABA,      
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce: DGLY,     
Bounce: BX, YHOO,   
MACD Divergence Bounce: WFM,   
Gap Up: JNPR, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, PCLN,   
Gap Down: BBY, DDD, VRSN,   
C- Pattern:   
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: AMBA, SSYS, VJET, AVGO, GRMN, XLNX,   
______________________


49 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AMZN, MSFT, SBUX, MAT, GOOG, MYL, WFM, AAL, CELG, BIDU

Lagging NDX stocks included: BIIB, AVGO, NXPI, ALTR, LLTC, DISCA, VIP, SBAC, SRCL, ALXN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SINA, JD, RAX, SOHU, DGLY, BABA, NTES, SCSS, CIEN 

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: DDD, SSYS, SLCA, SUNE, LC, GPRO, XONE, SWKS, SPWR, JASO, BBY, FSLR, TSL

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 63
LVNTA, SIAL, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, VRSK, XLNX, CTRX, ESRX, MDLZ, VIP, CTXS, DISCA, TSLA, MYL, AMGN, CMCSA, DTV, NFLX, PCLN, SBUX, VRTX, GILD, PCAR, VIAB, STX, TSCO, VOD, MAT, AKAM, CSCO, INTC, MU, WDC, SYMC, AAPL, ADSK, AMZN, ATVI, BIDU, CHKP, EA, HSIC, MNST, REGN, SBAC, SIRI, AAL, BRCM, LRCS, FAST, INTU, NTAP, ADBE, CA, CERN, EBAY, FISV, FOXA, GOOG, LBTYA, MAR

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CELG, LMCA, SPLS, WYNN                                                                                           

Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
ALXN, BIIB, FB, ILMN, KLAC, LLTC, NVDA, SRCL,                                                              

Staying Below 30 DMA
AVGO, ISRG, NXPI, QCOM, TXN, YHOO, WBA, CHTR, CTSH, SPLS, LMCA, DLTR, ADP, BBBY, COST, EXPD, ROST, PAYS, CELG, CHRW, SNDK, TRIP, AMAT, GMCR, DISH, WFM, GRMN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up