Wednesday, May 14, 2014

SPY, DIA Bull Flag Pullback on Light Volume Following Record High...

Four of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday… XLU, XLV and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLY was the weakest sector again.

Sector Posture 
Positive trend: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLB, XLI, XLK
Neutral trend near resistance: XLF, XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near support:

Breadth weakenedas decliners led advancers 1.61 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.86 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .90 at 189.06 on 72.2 million shares
VIX up .04 at 12.17…
TNX down .75 at 25.43…
TLT up 1.21 at 112.96...
XLF down .16 at 21.97 on 25.5 million shares, below average volume

AAPL up .11 at 593.87 on 5.9 million shares
FB down .60 at 59.23…on 47.3 million shares, below average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM – 1.62%, DIA – 0.56%, QQQ – 0.52%, SPY – 0.47%.

SPY and DIA bull flag pullback on light volume following record high
XLB moves one cent to an all-time high close
XLI, XLK, XLP and XLY in bull flag pullback
VIX remains low
TLT rallies to horizontal resistance
Euro holds support at 1.37
QQQ, XLF and XLV horizontal resistance setups

Z pulls back from lower high
18 of 24 bear flag setups fail to follow through by the close
WDC, NFLX reversal breakout

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70, 191.07, 192.27…
QQQ = 89.77, 90.77…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…

Support Levels
SPY = 189.14, 188.21, 186.01
QQQ = 88.21, 87.07, 85.53
IWM = 111.22, 110.09, 108.28


Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AAPL, AET, ALL, ALXN, ANGI, ANR, APA, ATVI, BA, BHI, BIDU, BTU, BWLD, BX, C, CHRW, CNX, COG, CTRP, CTRX, CTXS,  DAL, DAVE, DECK, DHI, DNB, DO, DTV, DV, EA, ENR, ETFC, ESI, FCX, FISV, FNMA, FOXA, GE, GILD, GMCR, GME, GRMN, HAL, HAS, HOG, HUM, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, LVLT, MA, MAR, MGM, MNST, MRK, MS, NOK, NXPI, PBI, POT, PRU, RF, S, SCHW, SCTY, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TMUS, TPX, TRIP, TRV, TSO, TWX, UNP, URI, UTHR, VRSK, WFC, WLP, WYNN, XRX, YELP, YHOO, Z

Negative Reactions – ACI, ADM,  AEIS, AIG, AKAM, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BBRY, BIIB, BMY, BRCM, CAR, CBOE, CELG, CHKP, CLF, CLX, COF, CREE, CTSH, DDD, DIS, DISCA, DISH, DVA, EBAY, ESRX, EXPE, F, FAST, FEYE, FFIV, FXCM, GOOG, GRPN, IBM, JAZZ, JCI, JDSU, JPM, K,  KLAC, KMB, KRFT, LLTC, LLY, LNKD, LVS, LXK, MCP, MMM, MOS, MTW, MU, MXIM, NSC, NUE, NVDA, P, PCAR, PFE, PG, PNRA, PRGO, QCOM, REGN, SAVE, SEE, SFUN, SIRI, SOHU, SSYS, STLD, STT, STX, SUNE, SWI, T, TSLA, TSN, TWTR, UA, UBNT, UNH, UPS, V, VECO, VIAB, VMW, VRTX, VZ, WDC, WFM, XLNX, YNDX, YY, ZION, ZNGA, 

Reversal in progress – AKAM, BRCM, CHKP, CTSH, EXPE, GRPN, KMB, LLTC, LXK, MOS, NUE, STLD, SUNE, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – ADM, AIG, AKS, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BMY, CAR, CELG, COF, DDD, DIS, F, IBM, K, KRFT, LLY, LVS, MMM, MU, NSC, NUE, NVDA, PG, SIRI, T, UPS, VZ, YNDX, ANGI, BIDU, NFLX, RF, INTC


The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed up at 87.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CTRP, RCL, GOGO, NTES, YNDX, AAPL, EBAY, QCOM,  
Diagonal Breakout: GLD, ANR, P, QIHU, SCTY, SFUN, BIDU, MSFT, NTAP, PCLN,
Bull Flag: ATI, COST, FFIV, TRIP,        
Potential Bullish Divergence:
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag: C, CREE, JDSU, MS, QIHU, SFUN, SSYS, SWI, TSL, TWTR, UBNT, WLT, ADBE, EBAY, ESRX, NTAP, STX, TSLA,  
At Support: IBM, MFRM, SCSS, UPL, ZION, ANGI, LVS, GRMN, WFM,
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs: SBAC, XLB,  
Gap Up: TLT, WDC,  
Gap Down:  
H Breakout: WDC, NFLX
Diagonal Breakout: ADBE, NFLX,
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce:  
Bounce:
MACD Divergence Bounce: WDC,
Bear Flag: ETFC, GME, MTW, PANW, YELP, PCLN,
Support Break: ETFC, FSLR,  

______________________


28 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: WDC, ISRG, SBAC, VRTX, AKAM, REGN, NFLX, CELG, AMGN, STX

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, ILMN, MU, GMCR, LMCA, WYNN, AMZN, TRIP, PCAR

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: CTRP, GOGO, QIHU, XONE,

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: MFRM, GME, ETFC, Z, PANW, ZION, SPWR, FAS, RAX, LVS, TBT, ESI


Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 48
MAR, CHRW, SPLS, EXPD, SIAL, MDLZ, MU, SNDK, GILD, CHTR, AAPL, CTXS, SRCL, VOD, DTV, ADP, CELG, FISV, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, MAT, VRSK, LBTYA, SBAC, QCOM, ATVI, DLTR, KRFT, COST, FOXA, GMCR, ALXN, MNST, ORLY, PAYX, SYMC, CTRX, DISH, ILMN, ADSK, BIDU, BIIB, SIRI, VRTX, NFLX, TRIP, MSFT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
AKAM

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
HSIC, INTC, INTU, SBUX, TXN, FB, LMCA

Staying Below 30 DMA
AMAT, CMCSA, CSCO, GRMN, NVDA, ROST, VIAB, YHOO, CTSH, EXPE, LINTA, MYL, SYNN, REGN, TSLA, BRCM, FST, MXIM, CHKP, PCAR, ADI, WDC, FFIV, VIP, STX, ISRG, KLAC, LLTC,NTAP,XLNX, BBBY, ALTR, AMGN, DISCA, TSCO, EBAY, ESRX, WFM, ADBE, AMZN, CERN, PCLN, CA

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

3 comments:

TraderBobb said...

Dave:
Thank you.
Robert
CANI_212

traders gurukul said...

A website dedicated to provide guidance through a journey of learning and making your trade journal look completely different.
http://www.tradersgurukul.com/

traders gurukul said...

A website dedicated to provide guidance through a journey of learning and making your trade journal look completely different.

http://www.tradersgurukul.com/