Thursday, May 1, 2014

SPX, DJIA Near Resistance...QQQ Rallies on FB, AMZN, DTV, BIDU, GOOG, AAPL and PCLN...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLU, XLY and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLB was the weakest sector.     

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.33 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Thursday – weakened, mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, mixed
Friday - weakened, decliners led


SPY up 01 at 188.32 on 90.2 million shares
VIX down .16 at 13.25…
TNX down .42 at 26.06…
TLT up 1.19 at 112.02...
XLF up .04 at 22.00 on 27.1 million shares

AAPL up 1.39 at 591.48 on 8.6 million shares
FB up 1.37 at 61.15…on 82.2 million shares


Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.30%, SPY + 0.01%, IWM – 0.04%, DIA – 0.13%.

Both SPY and DIA closed just below all-time highs again.  QQQ leads as FB, AMZN, DTV, BIDU, GOOG, AAPL, and PCLN bounce. 

FB is a reversal breakout setup following its divergence bounce this week.  AMZN, GOOG and PCLN are bear flag setups.  DTV is a bullish gap.  BIDU is a potential bullish divergence setup. AAPL is a bull flag pattern. 

SPWR +0.44, +1.32%, Wednesday’s bull flag setup, gave an entry signal today.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…

Support Levels
SPY = 183.37, 181.38
QQQ = 85.09, 84.16, 83.15, 82.03
IWM = 110.12, 108.91, 106.99


Earnings This Week:
Monday: BWLD, GLW, SOHU
Tuesday:  DDD, ADM, BMY, CHRW, CHKP, COH, CNX, EBAY, ESRX, FISV, MAR, MRK, MGM, NOK, PCAR, PNRA, STX, SWI, SAVE, S, GT, TWTR, X, VLO, VRSK
Wednesday: GRMN, JDSU, MET, TSO, TWX, WDC, YELP
Thursday:  AKAM, ANR, CTRX, CLX, DVA, EXPE, XOM, ESI, K, KRFT, LNKD, MDC, MA, TMUS, TPX, VRTX, VIAB, WYNN
Friday:  LNG

Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – YELP, MA, TMUS, CTRX, TSO, ANR, GRMN, ENR, LVLT, PBI, TWX, CHRW, CNX, DNB, FISV, MAR, VRSK, WLP, MGM, MRK, NOK, S, UTHR, BWLD, AAPL, AET, ALXN, ANGI, BA, BHI, BIDU, BTU, BX, C,COG, CTXS,  DAL, DAVE, DECK, DHI, DO, DV, ETFC, FCX, GE, GILD, GME, HOG, HAL, HAS, HOG, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, MS, NXPI, POT, RF, SCHW, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TRV, UNP, URI, WFC, XRX, YHOO

Negative Reactions – VIAB, CLX, JDSU, WDC, EBAY, ESRX, SEE, PNRA, STX, SWI, TWTR, ADM, BMY, CHKP, COH, DDD, GT, PCAR, SAVE, SOHU, ACI, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ATI, BAC, BBRY, BIIB, BRCM, CELG, CLF, CREE, F, FAST, FFIV, GOOG, IBM, JCI, JPM, KLAC, KMB, LLTC, LLY, LVS, LXK, MMM, MU, MXIM, NSC, NUE, P, PG, QCOM, SIRI, STLD, STT, T, UA, UNH, UPS, V, VMW, VZ, XLNX, YNDX, ZION, ZNGA, 

Reversal in progress – BRCM, LLTC, NUE, STLD, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AKS, ATI, BAC, CELG, F, IBM, KMB, LVS, MMM, MU, PG, SIRI, T, UPS, YNDX, ANGI, BIDU, NFLX, RF, INTC


The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed up at 74.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: ATI, KKD, MS, MTW, RCL, SPWR, SPY, SWKS, TPX, XONE, ADSK, AKAM, CMCSA, MU,
Diagonal Breakout: C, CTRP, ETFC, FAS, GLW, IBM, IWM, JNPR, NKE, SCHW, BBRY, DDD, LVS, SSYS, UBNT, V, ADBE, CTSH, INTC, MNST, NTAP, PCLN, TSLA, WFM, WYNN,
Bull Flag:  
One Day:
Potential Bullish Divergence:
Gap Up:  WYNN
Gap Down:  LNKD,
Bear Flag: 
At Support: GLD, GME, ZION, BX, CIEN, GOGO,   
C- Pattern:   

Moves
New Highs:    
Gap Up: TMUS, YELP, DTV, FB, CTRX,
Gap Down: JDSU,   
H Breakout: TLT, ANR, CELG,      
Diagonal Breakout: AAL, TRIP, YHOO,  
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Bounce: PANW, SCSS, CSIQ, NTES, QIHU, SFUN, VRSN, CTSH, SBUX,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: SCTY, SWI,  
Bear Flag:
Support Break: TBT, WDC,    

______________________


55 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CTRX, DISH, NFLX, EXPE, DTV, TRIP, BIDU, ILMN, AKAM, LBTYA, FB

Lagging NDX stocks included: WDC, STX, MYL

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: AAL, KKD, PANW, YELP, SFUN, P, ANR, LNKD, DDD, QIHU, BBRY, UBNT

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JDSU, WLT, ESI, CIEN

Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 37
MAR, KRFT, INTC, CSCO, CHRW, SPLS, COST, EXPD, SIAL,MDLZ,MU, SNDK, CMCSA, ORLY, GILD, CHTR, MYL, AAPL, CTXS, SRCL, VOD, DTV, ADP, ALXN, CELG, FISV, SYMC, YHOO, EQIX, NXPI, ATVI, AVGO, GRMN, MAT, SIRI, VRSK, LMCA

Moving Above 30 DMA = 12
ADSK, BIDU, EXPE, LINTA, NVDA, VRTX, FB, CTRX, LBTYA, SBAC, FOXA, DISH

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
BRCM, DLTR, FAST, MSFT, MXIM, PAYX, VIAB

Staying Below 30 DMA
CHKP, PCAR, TXN, ADI, WDC, ILMN, FFIV, QCOM, VIP, STX, REGN, TSLA, ISRG, AMAT, KLAC, LLTC, NTAP,XLNX,BBBY, ROST, ALTR, AMGN, CTSH, HSIC, DISCA, SBUX, TSCO, INTU, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, WFM TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, GMCR, CERN, PCLN, WYNN, MNST, NFLX, CA, GOOG

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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