Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…surprise, surprise XLI, XLK and XLB
were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector for the second
straight day.
Sector Posture
Positive trend: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLB, XLI,
XLK
Neutral trend near
resistance: XLF, XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near
support:
Breadth strengthened…as advancers led decliners 3.84 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.95 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Monday – strengthened, advancers
Friday – strengthened,
advancers led
Thursday – weakened,
decliners led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened,
decliners led
SPY up 1.28 at 189.78 on 86.9 million shares
VIX down .69 at 12.23…
TNX up .33 at 26.56…
TLT down .45 at 110.79...
XLF up .22 at 22.15 on 20.8 million shares, below average volume
AAPL up 7.29 at 592.83 on 7.6 million shares
FB up 2.59 at 59.83…on 48.2 million shares, below average volume
Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.92%,
QQQ +0.37%, DIA +0.65%, SPY +0.97%.
DIA all-time closing high
at 166.80
SPY all-time closing
high at 189.78
XLP all-time closing high
at 44.55
XLB all-time closing high
at 48.36
XLI all-time closing high
at 53.80
XLK all-time closing high
at 36.82
VIX at lowest level since
Jan 10
IWM +2.27% massive rally following Friday’s bullish
engulfing pattern
Just when everyone capitulates and goes over to the “down side” because
the IWM was weaker what happens? The IWM
+2.27% has a massive rally to
the upside. So much for hanging a broad
market view on one piece data…let’s hope they never learn.
By the way IWM is down just -1.08% YTD after Monday’s rally.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart
Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…
Support Levels
SPY = 184.96, 183.37,
181.38
QQQ = 85.98, 85.09, 84.16
IWM = 110.12, 108.91,
106.99
Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – APA, CTRP, FNMA, MNST,
FOXA, GMCR, PRU, SCTY, Z, ATVI, ALL, DTV, EA, HUM, TRIP, WYNN, ESI, MA,
TMUS, TPX, YELP, CTRX, TSO, ANR, GRMN, ENR, LVLT, PBI, TWX, CHRW, CNX, DNB,
FISV, MAR, VRSK, WLP, MGM, MRK, NOK, S, UTHR, BWLD, AAPL, AET, ALXN, ANGI, BA,
BHI, BIDU, BTU, BX, C,COG, CTXS, DAL, DAVE,
DECK, DHI, DO, DV, ETFC, FCX, GE, GILD, GME, HOG, HAL, HAS, HOG, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, MS,
NXPI, POT, RF, SCHW, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TRV, UNP, URI, WFC, XRX,
YHOO
Negative Reactions – AEIS, AIG, ARWR,
CAR, CBOE, CTSH, DIS, DISCA, DISH, FEYE, FXCM, GRPN, JAZZ, MCP, MOS, MRO, NVDA,
PFE, PRGO, REGN, SFUN, SUNE, SSYS, TSLA, TSN, UBNT, VECO, WFM, YY, MTW, AKAM, DVA, EXPE, KRFT, LNKD, K,
VIAB, VRTX, CLX, JDSU, WDC, EBAY, ESRX, SEE, PNRA, STX, SWI, TWTR, ADM, BMY,
CHKP, COH, DDD, GT, PCAR, SAVE, SOHU, ACI, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ATI, BAC, BBRY, BIIB, BRCM, CELG, CLF, CREE, F, FAST,
FFIV, GOOG, IBM, JCI, JPM, KLAC, KMB, LLTC, LLY, LVS, LXK, MMM, MU, MXIM, NSC,
NUE, P, PG, QCOM, SIRI, STLD, STT, T, UA, UNH, UPS, V, VMW, VZ, XLNX, YNDX,
ZION, ZNGA,
Reversal in progress – BRCM,
LLTC, NUE, STLD, ZION
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – AKS, ATI, BAC, CELG, F, IBM, KMB, LVS, MMM, MU, PG, SIRI, T, UPS,
YNDX, ANGI, BIDU, NFLX, RF, INTC
The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed up at 79.
____________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CTRP,
IWM, KKD, NKE, SPWR, UAL, ZION, CRM, YNDX, ADSK, FFIV, GMCR, NFLX, ROST, SBUX,
Diagonal Breakout: C,
HOG, IBM, JNPR, MFRM, RCL, SCSS, CSIQ, SCTY, SFUN, TWTR, ADBE, BIDU, CTSH, PCLN,
Bull Flag: TLT,
Potential Bullish
Divergence:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support:
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: ATI, SPY, SWKS,
MU, SNDK,
Gap Up: TPX, ANR, GOGO,
BIDU,
Gap Down: UNG,
H Breakout: AAL, FAS,
GLW, NTES, V, CELG, COST, MNST, TRIP,
Diagonal Breakout: HOG,
IWM, SCHW, LNKD, P, SOHU, TBT, VRSN, WLT, ADSK, AMZN,
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Bounce: ETFC, MS,
MTW, RCL, UAL, ANGI, CRM, CSIQ, ESI, QIHU, SPLK, SWI, WLT, AAPL, FB, YHOO,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
PANW, STI, X, BAC, BX, CIEN, NTES, P, RAX, TSL, STX,
Bear Flag:
Support Break:
______________________
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 44
MAR, INTC,
CHRW, SPLS, EXPD, SIAL, MDLZ, MU, SNDK, CMCSA, GILD, CHTR, AAPL, CTXS, SRCL,
VOD, DTV, CELG, FISV, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, MAT, VRSK, LMCA, LBTYA,
SBAC, QCOM, ATVI, DLTR, KRFT, COST,
CSCO, FOXA, GMCR, ALXN, CTRX, DISH,
HSIC, ILMN, MNST, ORLY, PAYX, SYMC
Moving Above 30 DMA = 16
ADSK, AMAT, BIDU, BIIB, FB, GRMN, INTU,
NFLX, NVDA, ROST, SBUX, SIRI, TRIP, TXN, VIAB, VRTX
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
YHOO,
CTSH, EXPE, LINTA, MYL, WYNN, REGN, TSLA, BRCM, FAST, MSFT, MXIM, CHKP, PCAR,
ADI, WDC, FFIV, VIP, STX, ISRG, KLAC, LLTC, NTAP, XLNX, BBBY, ALTR, AMGN,
DISCA, TSCO, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, WFM, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, CERN, PCLN, CA, GOOG
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
1 comment:
Dave, your trading room last night was a real JOY to listen to. Complete with "one of kind" tech analysis, "oldies" songs (which I remember well, being a musician)and just the right amount of humor. Wow.
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