Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Monday XLV,
XLE and XLK were the strongest
sectors…XLU was the weakest sector
again.
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.63 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.54 to
1 on the NASDAQ.
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday - Holiday
Thursday – weakened,
advancers led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened,
mixed
Monday – strengthened,
advancers led
SPY up .65 at 187.04 on 67.9 million shares, almost 50% of normal volume
VIX down .11 at 13.25…
TNX up at 27.21…
TLT down .09 at 119.96...
XLF down .02 at 21.84 on 30.6 million shares
AAPL up 6.23 at 531.17 on 6.5 million shares
FB up 2.30 at 61.24…on 59.7 million shares, Credit Suisse upgrades FB from neutral to
Outperform and raises price target from 65 to 87.
Technical
Commentary:
QQQ +
0.74%, IWM + 0.47%, SPY + 0.35%, DIA + 0.17%.
The SPX closed higher for the fifth
straight day up +3.1% from April 11 and +1.27% since Dec 31. The broad indexes were led by the NDX +25.42, +0.72%.
NDX point leaders included AAPL, FB, AMZN, GILD,
BIIB, CMCSA, MU, AMGN and BIDU which combined for +20.4 points offset by GOOG -1.9 NDX points.
MU +1.41,
+5.90% led the NDX
after an analyst price target of $50.
HAL +2.02,
+3.32%, HAS +1.05, +1.92% and STI +0.56, +1.48% gained after reporting earnings before the
open on Monday.
NFLX +23.71,
+6.80% after reporting earnings after the close on Monday.
Charts are poised for a horizontal resistance
breakout with
earning reports increasing on Tuesday through Thursday.
Trade with the trend of the chart
you are trading and continue
to move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…
Support Levels
SPY = 183.37, 181.38
QQQ = 85.09, 84.16,
83.15, 82.03
IWM = 110.12, 108.91,
106.99
Earnings This Week:
Monday: NFLX, HAL,
HAS, KMB, STI, ZION
Tuesday: AMGN, GILD, MCD, TRV, UTX, AKS,
ATI, T, ACI, CREE, HOG, HNPR, RF, SPG, SWKS, VMW, XRX
Wednesday: AAPL, BIIB, CTXS, FFIV, FB, NXPI,
ORLY, QCOM, TSCO, XLNX, BA, PG, ANGI, BA, CLF, DAL, ETFC, DAVE, JCI, NSC,
Thursday: ALXN, ALTR, AMZN, BIDU, BRCM,
CELG, KLAC, MXIM, MSFT, SIRI, SRCL, WYNN, MMM, LLY, V, VZ, AET, CNX, DECK, FCX,
ESI, LVS, NUE, P, BTU, POT, RCL, LUV, SWK, SPWR, NDAQ, UA, UPS, YNDX
Friday:
Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – NFLX,
HAL, HAS, STI, BHI, BX, C, GE, GME, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, MS, SCHW, SNDK, UNP, URI, WFC,
YHOO
Negative Reactions – KMB,
BAC, BBRY, FAST, GOOG, IBM, JPM, LLTC, MU, STLD, UNH
Reversal in progress –
IBM, LLTC
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – MU
The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed up at 48.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: CREE, ETFC, MFRM, MS, MTW, NKE, PANW,
CRM, QIHU, SCTY, SFUN, SOHU, SSYS, UBNT, YNDX, YOKU, AAPL, AKAM, AMZN, BIDU,
CELG, COST, FFIV, GRMN, NFLX,
Diagonal Breakout: AAL, C, CTRP, HOG, SCHW, SWKS, ZION, BAC,
DDD, ESI, EBAY, GILD, GMCR, MSFT, PCLN, SBUX, TRIP, TXN, XLNX,
Bull Flag:
One Day:
Potential Bullish
Divergence:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: X, WLT, ESRX, ROST,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: UPL, Z,
Gap Up: STI, MU,
Gap Down:
H Breakout: SCSS, TPX, NTES, SWI, WDC,
Diagonal Breakout: JDSU, LNKD, P, XONE, FB, TSLA,
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Bounce: IBM, SPWR, WFM,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Bear Flag:
Support Break:
______________________
71 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Monday
and one was unchanged.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, CHTR, ILMN, FB,
NXPI, TSLA, MYL, VIP, BIDU
Lagging NDX stocks included: WYNN, GOOG, ESRX, CTSH,
TRIP, DLTR, CTRX, FISV
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday
included: SCSS, Z, MFRM, TPX, FSLR, SWKS, GOGO, P, XONE, NTES, SPWR,
ESI, YELP, SFUN
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: PANW, WLT, QIHU, SPLK
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 26
MAR, GRMN,
KRFT, FAST, INTC, QCOM, STX, WDC, CSCO, CHRW, SPLS, NVDA, SYMC, LINTA, MSFT, COST,
EXPD, MDLZ, SIAL, YHOO, ADI, FISV, MU, NXPI, SNDK, VIP
Moving Above 30 DMA =
8
AAPL, BIDU, CHKP, CMCSA, FFIV, FOXA,
ORLY, SBAC
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
ISRG,
AMAT, BRCM, DTV, KLAC, NTAP, TXN, LLTC, MAT, MXIM, PCAR, XLNX, BBBY, ALTR, AMGN,
ATVI, CTSH, PAYX, ROST, DISH, AVGO, EXPE, HSIC, SBUX, VIAB, DISCA, TSCO, ADP,
CHTR, CTXS, INTU, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, TRIP, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, MYL, WFM, LMCA,
TSLA, GMCR, ADBE, ALXN, FB, REGN, CERN, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA, MNST, NFLX, ILMN,
SRCL, EQIX, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, CELG, GILD, VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, GOOG
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
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