Five of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLK, XLU and XLY were the
strongest sectors…XLB was the weakest sector again.
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.05 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led advancers 1.37 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened,
decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened,
advancers led
Friday - Holiday
SPY up .38 at 187.83 on 87.8 million shares
VIX up .05 at 13.32…
TNX up .02 at 26.88…
TLT up .21 at 111.17...
XLF down .01 at 22.03 on 29.9 million shares, lower than average
volume
AAPL up 43.02 at 567.77 on 26.9 million shares, above average volume
FB down .49 at 60.87…on 138 million share, above average volume
Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.96%,
SPY + 0.20%, DIA + 0.03%, IWM – 0.25%.
The NDX +33.99 led the broad indexes on Thursday.
AAPL, AMZN, TXN and MSFT combined for +42.9 NDX points while QCOM, BIIB, CELG and XLNX combined
for -9.2 NDX points.
AAPL +43.02, +8.2% gapped up after earnings closing near its one-year
horizontal resistance. TXN gapped up
following earnings on Wednesday. XLNX -4.76, -9.08%, QCOM and CELG gapped down after releasing earnings. The DJIA finished unchanged for the first time in 12 years.
After the close BIDU, ALTR, MSFT, DECK, NUE, SPWR, gapped
higher following earnings and AMZN, CLF, KLAC, V, P, gapped lower. Watch these stocks for potential bullish and bearish gaps on
Friday.
Based on the weight of the technical
evidence we continue to look for the uptrend to continue higher, while understanding that many individual
stocks will continue to experience negative earning reactions.
Charts are poised for a
horizontal resistance breakout with earning reports increasing on
Tuesday through Thursday.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart
Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…
Support Levels
SPY = 183.37, 181.38
QQQ = 85.09, 84.16,
83.15, 82.03
IWM = 110.12, 108.91,
106.99
Earnings This Week:
Monday: NFLX, HAL, HAS, KMB, STI, ZION
Tuesday: AMGN, GILD, MCD, TRV, UTX, AKS, ATI, T, ACI, CREE, HOG, JNPR, LXK, RF, SPG, SWKS, VMW, XRX
Wednesday: AAPL, BIIB, CTXS, FFIV, FB, LRCX, NXPI, ORLY, QCOM, TSCO, XLNX, PG, ANGI, BA, DAL, ETFC, ZNGA, DAVE, JCI, NSC,
Thursday: ALXN, COG, DHI, DO, TKR, ALTR, AMZN, BIDU, BRCM, CELG, CLF, KLAC, MXIM, MSFT, SIRI, SRCL,
WYNN, MMM, LLY, V, VZ, AET, CNX, DECK, FCX, ESI,
LVS, NUE, P, BTU, POT, RCL, LUV, SWK, SPWR, NDAQ, UA, UPS, YNDX
Friday: F
Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AAPL,
CTXS, LRCX, COG, DHI, DO, TKR, ALXN, NXPI, AET, ANGI, ETFC, DAVE, SWKS, BA,
DAL, GILD, NFLX, HOG, RF, XRX, HAL, HAS, STI, BHI, BX, C, GE, GME, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, MS,
SCHW, SNDK, UNP, URI, WFC, YHOO
Negative Reactions – BIIB,
CELG, FFIV, QCOM, UA, XLNX, YNDX, ZNGA, PG, AMGN, CREE, JCI, JNPR, NSC, T, VMW,
TRV, LXK, KMB, ZION, AKS, ATI, ACI, BAC, BBRY, FAST, GOOG, IBM, JPM, LLTC, MU, STLD, UNH
Reversal in progress – ATI,
IBM, LLTC, PG, STLD, ZION
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – AKS, BAC, MU
The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed up at 71.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: AAL, ATI,
C, ETFC, FAS, GLW, IWM, MTW, SCHW, SPY, STI, TLT, BAC, SWI, TSL, TWTR, AMZN, COST,
EBAY, MNST, PCLN, WFM,
Diagonal Breakout: JDSU,
ZION, BX, GOGO, LVS, P, QIHU, SPWR, WLT, DTV, MSFT, WYNN,
Bull Flag: HOS, SCSS,
INTC,
One Day:
Potential Bullish
Divergence: SINA,
Gap Up: BIDU, ALTR,
MSFT, DECK, NUE, SPWR,
Gap Down: AMZN, CLF,
KLAC, V, P,
Bear Flag:
At Support: RAX, SOHU,
SPLK, TBT, VRSN, YNDX, YOKU, NTAP,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: SWKS, SNDK,
Gap Up: CIEN, AAPL, TXN,
Gap Down: UAL, SINA, CELG,
XLNX, QCOM
H Breakout: CSIQ,
Diagonal Breakout:
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Bounce: ANR,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
GLD, ESRX,
Bear Flag:
Support Break: CTRP,
______________________
51 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AAPL, CTXS, TXN, AMZN, WYNN, ALXN, NXPI, WFM,
BRCM, CHTR, SPLS
Lagging NDX stocks included: XLNX, BIIB, QCOM, REGN, NFLX, CELG, FFIV
Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: ETFC, CSIQ,
ANR, CIEN, TSL, XONE
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
UAL, CTRP, KKD, ZION, YNDX, YOKU, SPLK, SFUN,SINA, YELP, TWTR, LNKD
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 33
MAR, GRMN, KRFT, FAST, INTC, WDC, CSCO, CHRW, SPLS, NVDA, SYMC, LINTA,
COST, EXPD, SIAL,MDLZ, MU, SNDK, ADI, NXPI, BIDU, CHKP,CMCSA, ORLY, FOXA, AVGO,
DTV, GILD, MXIM, TXN, CHTR, MYL, ILMN
Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
AAPL, ADP, ALXN, BRCM, CTXS, EQIX, MSFT, PCAR, SRCL
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
CELG, FFIV, QCOM, VIP
Staying Below 30 DMA
EXPE, FISV, STX, YHOO,
FB, REGN, SBAC TSLA, ISRG, AMAT, KLAC, LLTC, MAT, NTAP, XLNX, BBBY, ROST, DISH,
ALTR, AMGN, ATVI, CTSH, HSIC, PAYX, VIAB, DISCA, SBUX, TSCO, UINTU, AKAM, EBAY,
ESRX, WFM, LMCA, TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, GMCR, CERN, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA,
MNST, NFLX, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, GOOG
Sixteen Week Intermediate
Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up/Neutral
1 comment:
Markets were choppy and maybe it's just me but I have seen before that at market tops and bottoms they tend to act weird, and/or the indicies don't match as much. So I should act on it right? no, but I'll act after the charts do. thanks for that understanding as I used not to do that.
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