Tuesday, April 1, 2014

SPX, SPY, DIA Make New All-time New High Close...Buyers Return to PCLN, BIDU, FB, NFLX, AMZN and GOOG...

Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday and one was unchanged…XLY, XLK and XLI were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.    

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 2.54 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.11 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday - mixed
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 1.24 at 188.25 on 89.1 million shares
VIX down .78 at 13.10…
TNX up .36 at 27.59…
TLT down .93 at 107.89...
XLF up .04 at 22.38 on 42.0 million shares

AAPL up 4.91 at 541.65 on 7.2 million shares
FB up 2.38 at 62.62…on 59.2 million shares, average volume


Technical Commentary: 
QQQ +1.76%, IWM +1.32%, SPY +0.66%, DIA +0.43%.

The QQQ led the broad indexes on Tuesday as recently lagging stocks including PCLN, BIDU, FB, NFLX, AMZN and GOOG had above market average moves today as buyers became more aggressive in bidding these stocks up.  The VIX fell to its lowest close since Jan 22.  Interest rates TNX rose as bonds and gold fell. 

The SPY rose to a new all-time closing high following its MACD bullish divergence bounce entry on Monday. 

The NDX 100 climbed 66.26 points with GOOG, FB, CSCO, AAPL, GILD, MSFT, PCLN, AMZN, CELG, AMGN, ISRG, QCOM, BIDU, FOXA, EBAY and TSLA contributed 42.8  NDX points.

While many bounce entries occurred on Monday and Tuesday…continue to look for an opportunity to enter bounce trades according to your rules.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Short-term up trend Chart Targets:

SPY = 187.15, 189.25, 190.55…
QQQ = 89.39, 90.96, 92.25
IWM = 118.31, 120.25…

Support Levels
SPY = 183.90, 182.60
QQQ = 86.40, 85.88
IWM = 113.69, 111.35


Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – GME, KKD, MFRM, KKD, BIG, FL, JOY, DRYS, TSL, DDD, MNST, ROST, YOKU, CRM, SHLD, ANF, TGT, DLTR, LOW, HD, M, SCTY, ZU, PCLN, DISH, INTU, AEE, MDRX, ALEX, DTV, TSLA, GRMN, SWY, KRFT, AMAT, CTRP, NVDA, SPWR, TRIP, REGN, CBOE, MCO, ATVI, AKAM, EXPE, GMCR, NXPI, ONNN, ORLY, SCSS, SWI, TWX, DIS, YELP, AGNC, KORS, KEYW, IDXX, XYL, YUM, NOV, SPG, TSN, ZNGA, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CMG, GOOG, JDSU, MTW, PHM, RYL, UA, VIAB, V, BA, DOW, FB, LVS, QCOM, VLO, AKS, AAL, CHKP, EA, F, ILMN, LXK, CAT, RCL, JNPR, MSFT, KMB, PG, MXIM, SBUX, NFLX, FFIV, URI, UNP, EBAY, MCD, CREE, TXN, UTX, NUAN, XLNX, BHI, DAL, RF, MS, SLB, STI, AXP, SWKS, BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL

Negative Reactions – GOGO, CIEN, COST, CSIQ, HOV, MCP, SSYS, ADSK, CRM, FSLR, SINA, ESRX, GRPN, YNDX, KO, A, GNC, WTW, VFC, WFM, ANGI, CSCO, DISCA, NTAP, RAX, CI, LNKD, TPX, VRSN, ADP, CTSH, HUM, MDC, P, TSO, TWTR, ADM, BWLD, CERN, CHRW, DDD, SFLY, GILD, CVX, MA, MAT, PCAR, AMZN, MMM, CELG, CL, XOM, ESI, HOG, OSTK, POT, SHW, WHR, BA, CTXS, EMC, TSCO, CRUS, GLW, DD, F, VMW, YHOO, AAPL, STX, ZION, HON, KSU, SWK, STT, ALTR, ISRG, KLAC, KEY, JCI, LMT, WDC, ABT, BAX, ATI, COH, FCX, AMD, IBM, HAL, JNJ, TRV, VZ, GE, COF, INTC, UNH, C, GS, CSX, FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN (104)

Reversal in progress –ADSK, A, GS, GOGO, JCI, LNKD, MA, RAX, STX, WFM (10, 10%)

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AAPL, ABT, ADP, ADM, ALTR, ATI, BAX, BWLD, DISCA, CELG, CERN, CL, COF, CSCO, CSX, CTSH, CTXS, CRUS, CVX, DD, DDD, EMC, ESRX, FAST, FDO, FSLR, GILD, GLW, HAL, HOG, HON, HUM, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KEY, KLAC, KO, LMT, MDC, MMM, P, PCAR, POT, SFLY, SHW, SINA, SWK, TPX, TSCO, TSO, UNH, VZ,  VFC, VMW, VRSN, WDC, WHR,  XOM, YHOO, ZION (62, 60%)


The Market Forecast green line is pointed up and is at 66.
____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  BX, HOG, IBM, JNPR, SCSS, X, SCTY, YNDX, CELG, GILD, MNST, MU, TXN, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout:  ESRX, WYNN,
Bull Flag:  SCHW, X, TLT, GRMN, MFRM,
One Day:
Potential Bullish Divergence: SPWR, CERN, COST,
Gap Up
Gap Down:     
Bear Flag: NKE, TBT, ANGI, P, QIHU, SINA, SOHU, SPLK, TWTR, VRSN, XONE, CMCSA, EBAY,
At Support: C, PANW, RAX, UNG,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: GLW, GMR, RCL, SPY, MSFT, QCOM, SNDK, STX, WDC,
Gap Up:  UAL, LVS,
Gap Down:
H Breakout: SFUN, CTSH, PCLN,
Diagonal Breakout:  
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce: ATI, BAC, FSLR, IBM, Z, AAPL, XLNX, STI, SWKS, AAPL,
Bounce: CREE, ETFC, GOGO, IWM, JDSU, TSL, ZION, FB, GOOG, ROST, TRIP, WFM,
MACD Divergence Bounce: AAL, JNPR, SWI, SOHU, SSYS, YELP, YOKU, ADSK, AKAM, ALTR, BIDU, CELG, EXPE, FFIV, GILD, GMCR, ILMN, NTAP, CIEN, CTRP, CRM, CSIQ, YNDX,
Bear Flag
Support Break:

______________________


93 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ISRG, TRIP, CELG, PCLN, ILMN, EXPE, BIDU, NVDA, TSLA, GMCR

Lagging NDX stocks included: CHRW, VRSK, LBTYA, CMCSA, VOD, MXIM, KRFT

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: SFUN, TSL, UAL, Z, GOGO, SPLK,P, SSYS, SSYS, YNDX, YELP, SCTY, NTES, QIHU, YOKU, CSIQ, CRM, AAL, GMCE, PANW, CIEN, ETFC, RCL, CREE, JNPR, JDSU, HOG, SWI, ANGI, LVS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: MTW, UNG


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 36
AVGO, PCAR, ATVI, MSFT, MAR, XLNX, AMAT, KLAC, TXN, GRMN, LLTC, KRFT, FAST, MAT, ADI, BRCM, INTC, QCOM, SNDK, STX, WDC, AAPL, CSCO, NXPI, DISH, MDLZ, PAYX, ROST, BBBY, MXIM, ALTR, CHKP, CHRW, DTV, HSIC, ISRG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 13
ADP, AMGN, CTSH, DISCA, EXPD, EXPE, FOXA, LINTA, MU, NVDA, SBUX, SIAL, TSC0

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0


Staying Below 30 DMA
CTXS, INTU, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, FFIV, FISV, MYL, WFM, VIAB, LMCA, TSLA, TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, SYMC, GMCR, ALXN, CERN, YHOO, FB, REGN, GOOG, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA, SBAC, COST, BIDU, MNST, ORLY, SRCL, EQIX, NFLX, ILMN, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, CELG, GILD, SPLS, VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, CMCSA, NTAP, CHTR, VIP


Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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