All nine sectors moved lower on Thursday… however…XLU, XLP and XLE were
the strongest sectors…XLV was the
weakest sector on weakness in biotech stocks.
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 3.58 to 1 on
the NYSE and 6.58 to
1 on the NASDAQ.
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
Friday – weakened,
decliners led
SPY down 3.94 at 183.16 on 170.9 million shares
VIX up 2.07 at 15.89…
TNX down .56 at 26.28…
TLT up 1.01 at 109.84...
XLF down .51 at 21.54 on 76.6 million shares
AAPL down 6.84 at 523.48 on 8.5 million shares
FB down 3.25 at 59.16…on 114.7
million shares, almost double the volume
Technical
Commentary:
QQQ – 3.10%,
IWM – 2.86%, SPY –
2.10%, DIA – 1.60%.
Broad market ETFs fell to or broke short-term support on Thursday as the NDX -112.68
led stocks
lower with large drops in MSFT, GILD, AMZN, FB, GOOG, AAPL, AMGN,
BIIB, QCOM, CELG, PCLN, CMCSA, INTC, CSCO, ALXN, EBAY, BIDU, TXN, ESRX, SBUX,
TSLA, YHOO, ILMN, REGN, VIA, AMAT, CTSH and NFLX. High profile tech and biotech were hard
hit on Thursday.
ALXN, GILD, TRIP, MNST, ABBV and
BBBY were the
weakest stocks in the SPX.
BBBY -4.19,
-6.17% gapped lower after reporting earnings Wednesday after the close.
JPM, WFC and FAST report earning
Friday morning. JPM and WFC seldom have big reactions look for
their reports to set the tone for financial stocks in general.
Trade bear flags and break of support entries until the market finds support.
Trade bear flags and break of support entries until the market finds support.
Trade with the trend of the chart
you are trading and continue
to move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 185.30, 188.02…
QQQ = 86.36, 88.04…
IWM = 113.25, 116.23, 118.31, 120.25…
Support Levels
SPY = 182.94
QQQ = 84.95,
84.37
IWM = 111.35
Q1 Earnings Reactions
AA will reported today after the close, the traditional
unofficial start of Q1 earnings season.
Positive Reactions –
GME,
Negative Reactions – BBRY,
MU
Reversal in progress –
Reversal of Initial
Reaction –
The SPX Market Forecast
green line is pointed down at 31.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: CTRP, KKD, TLT, Z, UNG, CELG, COST, DTV, FB,
Diagonal Breakout: CREE, GOGO, MTW, NKE, PANW, LNDK, NTES, SCTY,
SFUN, SOHU, YOKU, BIDU, EBAY, PCLN, WYNN, YHOO, ADBE,
Bull Flag:
One Day: INTC,
Potential Bullish
Divergence:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: FB, AAPL, BIIB, CELG, BIDU, REGN,
At Support: BX, C, CIEN, MS, SCSS, SWI, TBT, V, ZION,
P, SINA, SPLK, VRSN, YELP, YNDX, AMZN, CMCSA, CSCO, CTSH, FFIV, ILMN, MSFT, MU,
NFLX, QCOM, SBUX, TRIP, TSLA, WFM,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
H Breakout:
Diagonal Breakout:
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Bounce:
TLT, GLD,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Bear Flag: AMZN, GOOGL, AMGN, PCLN, CMCSA, ALXN,
EBAY, ESRX, SBUX, ILMN, VIAB, NFLX
Support Break: BAC, BBRY, ESI, FAS, GLW, GME, IWM, JDSU,
MFRM, SCHW, SPWR, SPY, STI, TSL, UAL, UBNT, CSIQ, DDD, SSYS, XONE, ADSK, AKAM, AMAT,
AMGN, CTSH, GILD, GMCR, GRMN, MNST, ROST, SNDK, STX, TXN, WDC, XLNX,
______________________
WOW! Only 1 of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher on Thursday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHRW
Lagging NDX stocks included: ALXN, GILD, TRIP,
MNST, ILMN, BBBY, VRTX, CTRX, TSLA, FB, ADSK
Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: GOGO, NTES
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: TSL,
UBNT, SPWR, FAS, YELP, DDD, CSIQ, P, SPLK
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 17
MSFT, MAR,
GRMN, KRFT, FAST, INTC, QCOM, STX, ADI, WDC, CSCO, CHRW, ISRG, SPLS, SYMC, NVDA,
MDLZ,
Moving Above 30 DMA =
0
I
Moving Below 30 DMA = 18
AMAT, BRCM, CHKP, DTV, EXPD, KLAC,
LINTA, LLTC, MAT, MXIM, NTAP, PCAR, SIAL, SNDK, XLNX, TXN, FOXA, NXPI
Staying Below 30 DMA
BBBY, ROST, DISH, AAPL, ALTR, AMGN, ATVI, AVGO, CMCSA, CTSH, FISV, HSIC,
PAYX, VIAB, DISCA, ADP, EXPE, MU, SBUX, CHTR, TSCO, CTXS, INTU, AKAM, EBAY,
ESRX, FFIV, MYL , WFM, LMCA, TSLA,TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, GMCR, ALXN,
CERN, YHOO, FB, REGN, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA,SBAC, COST, BIDU, MNST, ORLY, SRCL,
EQIX, NFLX, ILMN, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, CELG,GILD,VRTX,SIRI, CTRX, VIP, GOOG
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Down
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