Monday, November 11, 2013

SPY...DOW...Hits New High...DDD Up 8.10%...SSYS Up 6.78%...

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLV, XLE and XLY were the strongest sectors…XLP was the weakest sector. 
 
Breadth weakened slightly…however advancers still led decliners…1.08 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.03 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.
 
Monday - mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday - mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
 
 
SPY up .03 at 177.32…volume 66.2 million shares
VIX down .37 at 12.53…
TNX up .05 at 27.51…
TLT down .39 at 103.02...
XLF unchanged at 20.86 volume 23.3 million shares
 
AAPL down 1.51 at 519.05…volume 8.1 million shares
FB down 1.33 at 46.20…volume 80.7 million shares…
 
Technical Commentary: 
IWM + 0.14%, DIA + 0.08%, SPY + 0.02%, QQQ - 0.16%.
 
Trading volume was light today with many stocks trading below average volume.  Even though volume on average was lower than normal the DOW closed at a record high gaining 21.32 to close at 15,783.10.  The SPY also closed at a record high up only .03 or 0.01% to close at 177.32 on 62.3 million shares.
 
Also making new record highs was DDD up 5.70 or 8.10% to close at 76.10 on 9.4 million shares.  FSLR gained 4.36% breaking recent horizontal resistance and was up 2.64 to close at 63.14 on 5.7 million shares.
 
SSYS also closed with a record high of 127.11 gaining 8.06 up 6.78% on 2.1 million shares.
 
IWM is near a diagonal breakout and both DIA and SPY are at horizontal breakouts.
 
 
Continue to trade with trend of the individual stock that you are trading and be vigilant in protecting profits from the last three weeks.  Chart Signals has been alerting readers to, “Move profit protection stops according to your rules,” since Monday.
 
 
Chart Targets:
QQQ = 83.17
IWM = 110.96, 112.83
SPY = 177.85, 180.99
 
Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville once wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
 
Short-term SPY posture is neutral.
Support Levels
ES = 1,741, 1,726
SPY = 174.44, 172.76
QQQ = 81.87, 80.76, 79.76
IWM = 107.83
 
 
Earnings this week: RAX, NTES, SINA, CSCO, NTAP, XONE, YOKU,
 
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – SLXP,PCLN, NVDA, GRPN, AWAY, PRU, TPX, TSO, CTSH, FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI, ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT, EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, JCI, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN, MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL, ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI, GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC, JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA
 
Negative Reactions – MNST, QCOM, SCTY, IPGP, AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, Z, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, GRMN, JDSU, OSK, CNW, ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS, VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, SOHU, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP, EW, MRK,  RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL, ESRX, EMN, FIO, SIRI, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY, CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS, UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line is above 80.   
 
____________________
 
Setups 
H Breakout: CTSH, ESRX, MU, NVDA, PCLN, ROST, SHLD, SNDK, DD, ALK, ANR, CRM, ESI, FAS, LCC, PWRD, TSL, WLT, ZION,
 
Diagonal Breakout: AAPL, AMAT, AMZN, CELG, GILD, NTAP, WYNN, YHOO, C, F, GLW, GRPN, QIHU, UNG, YOKU,
 
Bull Flag: MSFT, SPLK, TPX,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
 
Gap Up:
 
Gap Down:
 
Bear Flag:   
 
At Support: FB, GRMN, SWI,
 
Moves
New Highs: ADBE, DDD, FSLR, SSYS,  
 
Gap Up: YHOO,   
 
Gap Down:
 
H Breakout: ADBE, ADSK, MYL, YHOO, TIF,
 
D Breakout: IBM, A,   
 
Breakout Test:
 
Bounce: BBBY, SIRI, TSLA, SCTY, SOHU,
 
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break:  
 
 
______________________
 
 
47 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: SHLD, TSLA, ADBE, EXPE, PCLN, YHOO, ADSK, MYL, SIRI, ISRG, LINTA, SNDK, AMZN, MNST
 
Lagging NDX stocks included: KLAC, FB, VIP, CMCSA, ALTR, REGN, WFM, XLNX, LBTYA, GOLD, CERN, FOXA, ALXN, MDLZ
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: DDD, TSL, SCTY, SSYS, XONE, SOHU, QIHU, FSLR, JCP, YOKU, BX, FIVE, TIF, SINA
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SWI
 
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 46
CTSH, VOD, ROST, ADBE, SNDK, SBUX, STX, CERN, CMCSA, MSFT, XRAY, AAPL, HSIC, SPLS, FISV, FOSL, INTC, INTU, KLAC, LINTA, PAYX, SBAC, WDC, CHKP, DTV, VIP, GOOG, ADP, AMZN, MAT, CA, COST, ADI, LLTC, TXN, MCHP, MU, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, GOLD, CSCO, ESRX, LBTYA, ISRG
 
Moving Above 30 DMA =
 
Moving Below 30 DMA =
 
 
Staying Below 30 DMA
AMAT, AVGO, BRCM, CHRW, CTRX, DLTR, FOXA, GRMN, KRFT, MDLZ, PCAR, QCOM, SIAL, VIAB, WFM, WYNN, AMGN, BBBY, BIIB, SHLD, REGN, LMCA, TSLA, VRSK, CHTR, EXPD, FAST,BIDU, SRCL, YHOO, CELG, VRTX, FB, MXIM, EQIX, AKAM, ORLY, SIRI, FFIV, SYMC, ALTR, XLNX, EBAY, NTAP, CTXS, GMCR, NUAN
 
 
Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
5-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks as always.