Thursday, November 14, 2013

DOW And S&P Hit Record High Second Day In A Row After FED Chair Nominee Yellen Comments...CSCO Down 10.96% After Weak Outlook Earnings Report...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLF, XLU and XLB were the strongest sectors…XLK was the weakest sector. 
 
Breadth weakened slightly…advancers led decliners…1.97 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.06 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.
 
Thursday – weakened slightly, mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday - mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
 
 
 
SPY up .89 at 179.27…volume 103.3 million shares
VIX down .15 at 12.37…
TNX down .23 at 27.02…
TLT up .64 at 104.52...
XLF up .18 at 21.03 volume 34.9 million shares
 
AAPL up 7.53 at 528.16…volume 10 million shares
FB up .28 at 48.99…volume 75 million shares…
 
Technical Commentary: 
SPY + 0.50%, DIA + 0.42%, QQQ + 0.31%, IWM – 0.10%.
 
The financial sector was the strongest on Thursday with the XLF gaining .18 or 0.89% and is currently at the horizontal resistance. 
 
Both the DJIA and the S&P hit an all-time new close for the second day in a row following comments made by the FED’s chair nominee Yellen. The DOW gained 54.59 to close at 15,876.26 up 0.4% and the S&P gained 0.5% up 8.62 to close at 1,790.60.  DIA was not far behind with a gain of 0.42% up .67. 
 
CSCO gapped down after their earnings report…indicating a weak outlook according to analysts…CSCO closed down 2.63 or 10.96% on volume of 243.2 million shares.
 
CIEN likewise gapped down and broke support to close down 1.68 or 7.14% on 7.7 million share in volume.  ANGI is closed down near support of late October…ANGI closed down .94 or 6.38% with volume of 1.9 million shares. 
 
 
 
 
Continue to trade with trend of the individual stock that you are trading and be vigilant in protecting profits from the last three weeks.  Chart Signals has been alerting readers to, “Move profit protection stops according to your rules,” since Monday.
 
 
Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville once wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
 
Earnings this week: RAX, NTES, SINA, CSCO, NTAP, XONE, YOKU,
 
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – SLXP,PCLN, NVDA, GRPN, AWAY, PRU, TPX, TSO, CTSH, FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI, ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT, EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, JCI, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN, MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL, ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI, GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC, JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA
 
Negative Reactions – MNST, QCOM, SCTY, IPGP, AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, Z, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, GRMN, JDSU, OSK, CNW, ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS, VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, SOHU, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP, EW, MRK,  RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL, ESRX, EMN, FIO, SIRI, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY, CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS, UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line is above 80.   
 
____________________
 
Setups 
H Breakout: AMZN, COST, ESRX, GOOG, MNST, MSFT, NFLX, QCOM, SBUX, SHLD, SNDK, STX, ATI, BAC, BX, CMG, ESI, FAS, FIVE, KKD, LVS, QIHU, SPWR, SWKS, YNDX,
 
Diagonal Breakout: AMAT, BRCM, CMCSA, EBAY, FB, C, DNKN, GLW, GRPN, YELP,
 
Bull Flag: 
 
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
 
Gap Up:
 
Gap Down:
 
Bear Flag:  
 
At Support: ANGI, NTES,   
 
Moves
New Highs: ADSK, CTSH, MU, MYL, NVDA, PCLN, QCOM, ROST, TXN, WDC, YHOO, ALK, NKE, SPY, TRIP, VRSN,
 
Gap Up: GLD,     
 
Gap Down: CSCO, CIEN,
 
H Breakout: MAT, NVDA, WDC, YHOO, MFRM, RCL, STI, TPX, TRIP,
 
D Breakout: AAPL, AXP, LNKD,       
 
Breakout Test:
 
Bounce:  
 
MACD Divergence Bounce: GLD,
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break: XLNX,  
 
 
______________________
 
 
66 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: WDC, REGN, BIDU, AMZN, ALXN, EQIX, STX, MDLZ, GOLD, ATVI, NFLX
 
Lagging NDX stocks included: CSCO, AVGO, CTXS, XLNX, VIAB, BRCM, ALTR, KLAC
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: SPWR, SCTY, YNDX, GRPN, XONE, FIVE, SOHU, TPX, FAS, BX
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: CIEN, ANGI, WLT, NTES, MCP, YOKU, ANR, TSL, RAX
 
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 63
CTSH, VOD, ROST, ADBE, SNDK, SBUX, STX, CERN, CMCSA, MSFT, XRAY, AAPL, HSIC, SPLS, FISV, FOSL, INTC, INTU, LINTA, PAYX, SBAC, WDC, CHKP, DTV,  GOOG, ADP, AMZN, MAT, DISCA, CA, COST, LLTC, TXN, ADI, MCHP, MU, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, ESRX, LBTYA, ISRG, ALXN, GILD, MYL, NVDA, PCAR, PCLN, MDLZ, DLTR, MNST, SHLD, WYNN, YHOO, ATVI, BRCM, QCOM, AMGN, BBBY, CHRW, EBAY, NTAP, SRCL
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
BIDU, GOLD, SIAL, FOXA
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
AVGO, CSCO, KLAC, VIAB
 
Staying Below 30 DMA
CTXS, AMAT, VIP, GRMN, WFM, VIAB, CTRX, KRFT, BIIB, REGN, VRSK, LMCA, TSLA, EXPD, FAST, CHTR, CELG, VRTX, FB, MXIM, EQIX, AKAM, ORLY, SIRI, FFIV, SYMC, ALTR, XLNX, NUAN, GMCR
 
 
Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
5-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up
 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for you excellent analysis and comments.