Thursday, January 31, 2013

IWM Leads Stocks...FB Gaps Down, Rallies...


Two sectors moved higher on Thursday… XLU, XLK and XLF were the strongest sectors.   XLB was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners…1.09 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.61 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led on NYSE and advancers led on NASDAQ
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led


The chart continues to indicate that the uptrend is more likely to continue, stay prepared for a potential pullback.

SPY down 37 cents at 149.70...volume 108.9 million shares…
VIX down .04 at 14.28
TNX down .21 at 19.85…
TLT up 57 cents at 117.32…
XLF
down 1 cent at 17.38…volume 35.5 million shares

AAPL down 1.34 at 455.49…volume 11.4 million shares…
FB down 26 cents at`30.98on volume of 190.7 million shares…


Look for stocks with good earnings and guidance to likely rise and those with either weak earnings or guidance likely to fall in price

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BMC, CAT, STLD, VMW, YHOO, ZION, STX
Tuesday – AKS, AMZN, BRCM, DHR, GLW, HOG, IP, BTU
Wednesday – BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS
Thursday – AET, MO, CTRP, MA, PCAR, POT, PHM, UA, VIAB, WHR
Friday – CVX, XOM, MAT, MRK, PRGO



__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY formed a potential shooting star closing down 39 cents. IWM +0.69%, QQQ -0.22%, SPY -0.25% and DIA –0.34%, and AAPL shares moved down –1.34 forming a doji.  FB closed down 25 cents on better than expected earnings.

The Euro was up 12 pips to close at 1.3577 on Thursday in its strong uptrend.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

Disk storage stocks rose, WDC +0.32% and STX +0.27%.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC moved higher.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  COST, ADI

Diagonal Breakout:  BAC, SBAC

Bull Flag: CERN, MOS, MON, C, MGM, STI, CRM, FFIV, AVX, NIHD, XRX, TEX, SHLD, SINA, SWK, CHK, HES

Gap Up:  QCOM, CTXS, JDSU, SWKS

Gap Down:   FB


Moves
Gap Up:  FTNT, PBI, JDSU, WMS, MJN, SWKS, TSCO, CTXS, CLB, QCOM, LVS

Gap Down:  CBT, TWC, HAR, DOW, RMD,

Breakout:  VIAB, ZION, CLF, FAST, FIVE, TIF, GS
 
Bounce:  RSH, ZNGA, GMCR, JNPR, ESI, LIFE, BPOP, NUAN, STRZA, UNG,

____________________


45 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  CTXS, QCOM, CHKP, AVGO, VIAB, SNDK, FOSL, MAT, WYNN, SHLD, PRGO, PAYX, WFM

Lagging NDX stocks included:  BRCM, AMZN, YHOO, CMCSA, PCAR, DTV, CTRX, INTC, NTAP, CHRW, MSFT, ALXN, PCLN, ADI

Leading stocks> +2% on Thursday included: JDSU, SWKS, LDK, CIEN, LVS, ESI, GRPN, TSL, YELP, JNPR, ANR, CLF, GMCR, GES

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  RIMM, DLR, RCL, TPX, NTES, HLF

Stocks to Watch on Friday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 76
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CTXS, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, AMZN, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, VRTX, WYNN, FB, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, QCOM, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, DLTR, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, AMZN                                                            

Moving Above 30 DMA =3
AKAM, CTXS, QCOM                                  
               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
 CMCSA, DTV, FISV, INTC, YHOO                                                                                                                                         

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADBE, AMGN, VRTX, SBAC, BMC, BRCM, NVDA, ALTR, ALXN, ESRX, PRGO, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL, GOLD

Nine Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

Stock Futures Slightly Down In Pre-Market...CTXS +10.63%, JDSU + 13.71%...


BMO – ES - .25 and NQ - 6.75futures point to a lower open in pre- market
SPY is…down 16 cents…

XLF is down 3 cents…
Euro is down 17 pips…
TLT is up .13…


Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up:  CTXS, QCOM, MDLZ, GOLD, LVS, SWKS, JDSU, CIEN

Quoting Down:  PCLN, FB, GOOG, AAPL, AMZN, STX, ZION, RIMM

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

SPY Pauses...IWM Moves Lower...QCOM, CTXS, SWKS, JDSU Move Higher In After Hours...


Only one sector moved higher on Wednesday… XLU, XLY and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLI was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…1.97 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.28 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led on NYSE and advancers led on NASDAQ
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


The chart continues to indicate that the uptrend is more likely to continue, stay prepared for a potential pullback.

SPY down 59 cents at 150.07...volume 137.4 million shares…
VIX up 1.01 at 14.32
TNX up .18 at 20.06…
TLT down 20 cents at 116.75…
XLF
down 8 cents at 17.39…volume 32.3 million shares

AAPL down 1.44 at 458.27…volume 14.8 million shares…
FB up 45 cents at`31.24on volume of 87.6 million shares…


Look for stocks with good earnings and guidance to likely rise and those with either weak earnings or guidance likely to fall in price

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BMC, CAT, STLD, VMW, YHOO, ZION, STX
Tuesday – AKS, AMZN, BRCM, DHR, GLW, HOG, IP, BTU
Wednesday – BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS
Thursday – AET, MO, CTRP, MA, PCAR, POT, PHM, UA, VIAB, WHR
Friday – CVX, XOM, MAT, MRK, PRGO

AMZN gained 12.41 following Tuesday’s earnings release.  QCOM + 6.23%, CTXS
+ 11.12%, SWKS + 12.24% and JDSU + 14.84% in after hours trading following earnings on Wednesday. FB - 3.43% in after hours trading.


__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY formed a potential bearish harami closing down 59 cents. SPY  - .39%.  IWM
– 1.20%, QQQ – 0.21% and DIA – 0.34%, and AAPL shares moved down – 1.44 forming a doji.  FB closed higher before moving lower after the close on better than expected earnings.

The Euro was up 75 pips to close at 1.3565 on Wednesday in its strong uptrend.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

Disk storage stocks fell, WDC + 1.60% and STX -0.06% were mixed.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC moved lower.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  VIAB, COST, ADI, CERN

Diagonal Breakout:  BAC, SBAC

Bull Flag: MOS, MON, C, MGM, STI, CRM, FFIV, RSH, AVX, ZNGA, NIHD, XRX, TEX, SHLD, ESI, GMCR, TEP, SINA, SWK, JNPR

Gap Up:  QCOM, CTXS, JDSU, SWKS

Gap Down:   FB


Moves
Gap Up:  FSL, MAN, AVY, QGEN, CHK, HES

Gap Down: 

Breakout:  ZION, CLF, FAST, FIVE, TIF, GS
 
Bounce:  AMZN, LIFE, BPOP, NUAN, STRZA, UNG,

____________________


40 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  AMZN, LIFE, YHOO, MNST, NTAP, WDC, FB, AVGO, VIAB, DELL

Lagging NDX stocks included:  VRTX, CTXS, FOSL, CERN, SHLD, DLTR, STRZA, DTV, ADBE, AMGN, GRMN

Leading stocks> +2% on Wednesday included: ZION, GMCR

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  RIMM, LDK, ANR, JDSU, ESI, HLF, CIEN, X, CSTR, CROX, SSYS, MCP, DECK, GES, ZAGG

Stocks to Watch on Thursday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 87
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, SBAC, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, ADBE, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CTXS, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, AMZN, BRCM, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, VRTX, WYNN, FB, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, QCOM, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, BMC, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, YHOO, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, DLTR, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, AKAM, BBBY, FISV, BIIB                                                             

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AMGN, INTC, MAT, PAYX
               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
 AKAM, AMZN, BMC, BRCM, NVDA, YHOO                                                                                                                                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALTR, ALXN, ESTX, PRGO, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL, GOLD

Nine Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

Stock Futures Flat In Pre-Maraket...AMZN Up 21.50, 8.26% After Earnings Report...


BMO – ES - 1.50 and NQ + .25futures point to a mixed open in pre- market
SPY is…up 15 cents…

XLF is unchanged…
Euro is up 55 pips…
TLT is down .55…


Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up:  AMZN, FB, SBUX, YHOO, EBAY, WFM, UCO, RIMM CO, TBT

Quoting Down:  FOSL, AAPL, BRCM, RCL, SLB

Tuesday, January 29, 2013

SPY Makes New High Close...AMZN Gaps Higher After Hours...


Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday… XLE, XLV and XUI were the strongest sectors.   XLY was the weakest sector.. 

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners…1.41 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.21 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led on NYSE and advancers led on NASDAQ
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led


The chart continues to indicate that the uptrend is more likely to continue, stay prepared for a potential pullback.

SPY up 59 cents at 150.66...volume 105.6 million shares…
VIX down .26 at 13.31
TNX up .14 at 19.88…
TLT down 65 cents at 116.95…
XLF
up 7 cents at 17.47…volume 37.4 million shares

AAPL up 8.44 at 458.27…volume 20.3 million shares…
FB down 1.68 at`30.79on volume of 72.9 million shares…EPS Jan 30…bull flag bounce


Look for stocks with good earnings and guidance to likely rise and those with either weak earnings or guidance likely to fall in price

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BMC, CAT, STLD, VMW, YHOO, ZION, STX
Tuesday – AKS, AMZN, BRCM, DHR, GLW, HOG, IP, BTU
Wednesday – BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS
Thursday – AET, MO, CTRP, MA, PCAR, POT, PHM, UA, VIAB, WHR
Friday – CVX, XOM, MAT, MRK, PRGO

BTU rose 5.56% following earnings early this morning.  AMZN gapped up 23.15, 8.89% in after hours after releasing earnings.


__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY formed another white candle rising 59 cents to a new high close. SPY  +0.39%.  IWM +0.6%, QQQ +0.01% and DIA +0.42%, as AAPL shares bounced 8.44 forming a doji.  FB closed below the low of the high day..

The Euro was up 36 pips to close at 1.3490 on Tuesday in its strong uptrend.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  If it is breaking out of resistance take the trade or stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

Disk storage stocks fell, WDC - 5.20% and STX - 9.36% gapped lower.

BTU after releasing earnings lead coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, and JRCC higher after releasing earnings.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  VIAB, ZION, COST, ADI

Diagonal Breakout:  BAC, CLF, SBAC

Bull Flag:  C, MGM, STI, CRM, FFIV, RSH, AVX, ZNGA, NIHA, XRX

Gap Up:  AMZN

Gap Down:    


Moves
Gap Up:  HES, VLO, DHI, HFC, TUP, TSO

Gap Down:  BMC, STX, VMW, WDC, CTXS, LXK, FTNT, ASH 

Breakout:  CERN, FAST
 
Bounce:  TEX, BPOP, NUAN, STRZA, SHLD, ESI

____________________


44 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and three were unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  BIIB, REGN, SPLS, PAYX, AAPL, GOLD, DELL, CERN, AMGN, GILD, INTC, ADP, VRTX

Lagging NDX stocks included:  STX, BMC, AMZN, WDC, FB, CTXS, MU, YHOO, EQIX, NVDA, PRGO, BIDU, ROST

Leading stocks> +2% on Tuesday included: NFLX, ATI, ANR, ANF, CLF, UCO, GS, CHL

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  VMW, WDC, FB, RVBD, F, GMCR, JSDU, SWI,  UAL, CIEN, HLF, LVS, RIMM, DECK

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 86
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, SBAC, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, ADBE, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CTXS, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, AMZN, BRCM, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, VRTX, WYNN, FB, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, QCOM, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, BMC, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, YHOO, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, DLTR, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, AKAM, BBBY, FISV, NVDA

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
BIIB
               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
MAT                                                                           

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALTR, INTC, PAYX, ALXN, ESRX, PRGO, REGN, AMGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL, GOLD


Nine Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up