Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Stocks Take Step Back...But End The Month On A Positive Note...


Tuesday, July 31, 2012
One sector moved higher on Tuesday… XLK, XLU, and XLP were the strongest sectors.


FOMC meeting continues on Wednesday, ECB meeting Thursday and Jobs Report and the Unemployment report are released on Friday.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.41 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.43 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers     1,233        1,021
Decliners       1,749        1,466


Chart Patterns


Breakout:  X, FSLR

Gap Up:  CRUS

Gap Down:  COH, HUM, TIF, FISV




Breakout: CRUS, MCHP, DHR, V

Breakout Continuation: CIEN, SHW, EXPE, CL, KLAC, HAL, ETN, T, S, BRCM, VMED, AEM, AKAM, SWI, WDC, EXPE, KMB

Breakout Pullback: JNPR, JDSU, HLF, COH, SWK, GS, ALGN, COST, MTW, INFA, BIDU, ALTR, BIIB, LMT, PNRA, BA,

Breakout Setup: EBAY, VMW, AMZN, AVGO, FISV, ADSK, FAS, GES, C, CREE, ANF, SMH, URE, MOS, IBM, ICE, LLTC, NSC, WHR, CAT, POT, VECO, HSY





Earnings of Interest Week July 30 – Aug 3

Tuesday: ADM, BMC, COH, XRAY, DB, FMC, KLIC, LIFE, MDC, VLO,
Wednesday: ICE, MA, WTW, YELP,
Thursday: ATVI, AIG, AVD, APA, DTV, HSIC, KFT, LBTYA, LNKD, MELI, MCHP, UPL, ZAGG,
Friday: AGU, NYX, BID,


Technical Commentary:

SPY traded in a narrow range…on lighter than normal volume 120,500,000…closing down - 0.97…at 137.71

SBUX continues down trend after gap down on Friday…closes at 45.28
down - 1.60...Last time at this price level was Dec 2011/Jan 2012...Volume was double of the normal daily volume at 15,200,000…

SINA reversed to the down losing - 2.91 today or - 6.02%…on higher than normal volume at 3,500,000…

NKE moved away from its high to below its 30 DMA losing - 2.50 or
- 2.61%...

FB closed down - 1.44 continuing its downward trend after last Friday’s
Gap down…closing at an all time low of 21.71…

CRUS gapped up on earnings… + 6.93 closing at 36.77 or + 23.22 %... on
13,900,000 shares…3.5 X’s the daily average volume…

X broke out to up side after a double bottom and on positive earnings report… + 1.73…or 9.14%...volume very heavy…moving above 30 DMA

COH gapped down on earnings…down - 11.25 or - 18.57%...

HUM gapped down on earnings… - 8.95 or 12.69%...volume heavy…

FISV gapped down… below 30 DMA…

ANF broke short term support line… currently at 30 DMA…down - 1.59…





Tuesday Highlights:

The SPX moved down - 5.98 at 1,379.32 closing above its 30 DMA and above the 75% level of its April - July trading range of 1,422 – 1,266



The Market Forecast green line is pointed up.


30 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…



Leading NDX 100 stocks included FSLR, AAPL, AVGO, SMYC, MU, NVDA, EXPE, CMCSA

Lagging NDX stocks included FOSL, SBUX, PCLN, FISV, VRTS, EBAY, BBBY, GOLD, MNST, HSIC, XRAY



Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included CRUS, X, HLF AKS, SWKS, CLF, VECO

Losing stocks < -2.0% included COH, HUM, BD, SINA, ANF, UCO, TIF, GRPN

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday

Holding Above 30 DMA = 33
URE, MOS, CHL, SLB, TLT, WDC, UCO, TPX, SWK, TIF, DLR, GS, JNPR, RVBD, SWI, CIEN, CROX, CRUS, DHR, FAS, GES, HLF, IBM, SMH, SWKS, V, VECO, VMW, C, FCX, ZAGG, A, RCL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
X

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
NKE, DE, COH, ANF

Staying Below 30 DMA = CREE, ICE, JDSU, STI, FAZ, LNKD, ATI, CRM, TSLA CMG, DECK, ESI, X, ZION, BAC, UAL, FB, AKS, CSTR, LDK, MCP, CLF, GLW, INFA, NTES, TSL, CDE, SOHU, TBT, HUM, SINA, F, GRPN, ANR, LVS

Eight Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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