Friday, July 6, 2012

SPY, XLF, Broad Indexes in Bull Flag Price Pattern...

All nine sectors moved lower on Friday.  XLP, XLU, and XLY were the strongest sectors.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.08 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.48 to 1 on the NASDAQ.


Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers        967         712
Decliners       2,016       1,767

SPY moved down -1.30 to 135.49 on 151.1 million shares, below average volume of 164.7 million shares, closing above its 30 DMA for the seventh consecutive day.  The SPY gained 44 cents after the close on Friday.  The SPX moved down -12.90 at 1,354.68. 

The Market Forecast green line is in the upper reversal zone.

AAPL down -4.06 at 605.88, less than half of Thursday’s gain, on 15 million shares...

FB up 26 cents at 31.73 on volume of 10.9 million shares...

GRPN -0.38, -4.31%



Chart Patterns
Daily Bull Flags Setups: APOL, URE, SPG, HSY, AMZN, DIS, CSTR, POT,  QQQ, DIA, SPY, COF, COP, FISV, ZAGG, MOS, IWM, VECO, X, MU, PCLN, DE, GOOG, VMED, ADP, NVDA, FAS, ALGN, ALXN, FMC, LLTC, VRSN, AKAM, AVGO, INTU, MLNX, CIEN, JDSU, MTW, COST, ESRX, EBAY, C, TSLA, CRUS,

Flag Bounce:  ULTA

Breakout:

Breakout Pullback:  SHLD

Breakout Continuation: NFLX, VMI, TFM, GMCR, AAPL, LNG, CL, KMB, LEN,

Breakout Setup: AKS, SHW, MNST, EXPE, GOLD, ALTR, MCP, GLW,

At Support:  CTXS, ADSK, F, MCHP, AMAT, VMW, CROX,

Break of Support: MRVL, KLAC,


Technical Commentary:
The SPY, DIA and IWM gapped down on the open following a weaker that forecast jobs report for June and steady unemployment at 8.2%.  Jobs at 80,000 were up from 69,000 jobs in May.   NFLX inched higher while ROST and AAPL pulled back slightly. 

Many stocks formed bull flag setups.  Stay with the trend and watch for a potential bounce entry on Monday or Tuesday.   


Friday Highlights:
SPY closes down -1.30
The Euro moved down 102 pips, closed at 1.2287
TNX -0.53
VIX dropped -0.40 at 17.50
XLF down -12 cents at 14.47


9 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…


Leading NDX 100stocks included RIMM, GMCR, PNRA, APOL, DLTR, SPLS, SNDK, NFLX, ORLY, DTV

Lagging NDX stocks included CTXS, FFIV, ADSK, CHKP, KLAC, NTAP, CTSH, SYMC, LRCX, NUAN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included UAL, TPX, FAZ

Losing stocks < -2.0% included INFA, RVBD, VMW, ANR, UCO, SWI, CROX, DECK, GES, CRM, CDE, JDSU, GRPN, CIEN, SWKS, SOHU, COH, A, JNPR, ANF, CLF, PCX, CRUS, LVS, RCL, CREE, MCP, SMH, ATI, NTES, BAC, FAS, TSL

Stocks to Watch on Monday

Holding Above 30 DMA = 36
CIEN, ICE, GES, CSTR, BAC, DLR, HLF, URE, LNKD, MOS,  V, UAL, CHL, ESI, DE, FAS, RCL, STI, ZION, AKS, JDSU, CREE, X, ANF, ATI, FCX, GS, MCP, SLB, SMH, VECO, ZAGG, PCX, TSLA, LDK, TLT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
WDC

Moving Below 30 DMA = 13
CLF, CRM, CROX, CRUS, DHR, GLW, IBM, INFA, NTES, SWI, SWKS, TSL, UCO

Staying Below 30 DMA
A, C, CDE,
SOHU, SWK, TBT, HUM, CMG, SINA, F, RVBD, GRPN, FAZ, NKE, LDK, VMW, TIF, ANR, JNPR, LVS,  TPX, COH

Four Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Down

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