Monday, January 24, 2011

NDX Bounce Leads Market Higher...IBM & INDU a New High Close...

The SPX formed a large white candle to close up +7.49 at 1,290.84 on Monday.  IBM continued uptrend helped the INDU to a new high close at 11,980.
(click image to enlarge)
SPX large white candle bounce in bull flag
INDU large white candle, new high close
COMPQ bullish engulfing in bull flag
RUT bullish harami below 30 DMA

Breadth strengthened on Monday as advancers led decliners 2.37 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.83 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Exchange       NYSE          NASDAQ
Advancers      2,123             1,730
Decliners           895                 943
(click image to enlarge) 
Index              Chg.    Close    Direction      Confirmation
VIX                 -0.82       17.65    Down             Yes – SPX
SOX            +10.77     442.42    Up                  Yes – COMPQ

Leading stocks > 1% on Monday included LDK, MCP, SINA, TSL, NTES, MOS, LXK, PCX, CRUS, WLT, AKS, MA, V, DHR, SWN, NETL, X, SMH, GMCR, CAM, CAT, AMD, GES, NYX, CLF, A, UAL, BA, DOW, SNDK, VECO, FWLT, AIV, JEC, DLR, FDX, ESI, LVS, NDAQ, PCP, ATI 

Losing stocks < -1% included RVBD, CRM, VMW, UCO, ARUN, UNG, BAC, ZION, HANS, STI, CMF, HSY, HLF, ATW, WHR

Positives – INDU, SPX, NDX, SOX, IBM, AAPL, BIDU, NFLX, Euro, strengthening breadth and sector strength, bull flag price pattern

Negatives – RUT, AMZN, GOOG, PCLN

Interest rates closed slightly lower on Monday and bond ETF TLT closed up 4 cents.  The Euro moved up 20 pips to 1.3638 at 5 pm ET. 

Seven of nine sectors rose on Monday with Technology XLK +1.40% and Materials XLB +1.07% leading all sectors.

IBM continued uptrend helped the INDU to a new high close at 11,980.

Earnings
Mon –
AXP miss
MCD beats by 1 cent
VMW miss
ZION beats by 12 cents
Tue – ALTR, DD, AKS, JNJ, TRV, VZ, X
Wed – AMZN, MSFT, SNDK, KLAC, MMM, PG, T, F, RVBD, CRUS, GMCR, BMC, PCP, UAL
Thu – BA, CAT, CTXS, LRCX, NFLX, QCOM, SWK, UTX
Moves on Monday
Continuation - IBM, HPQ, MS
Resistance Breakout – NVDA, LDK, MYL, NDAQ
Bull Flag Bounce – DISH, DTV, SMH, SINA, MCP, GM, A, DE, NYX, INTC, XLNX, LLTC, FAS,
MACD Divergence Bounce – GME, HNZ

Setup Charts to Watch on Tuesday
Bull Flag Setups – HANS, F, UNP, HUM, UNG, PNC, BK, SID, FWLT, PCX, TIE, WLT, CLF, HSY, MHS, JOYG, AMD
Breakout –ACN, ESI
MACD Divergence – GES, HAS, NKE

SPX
Resistance: 1,300
Support: 1,281, 1,256, 1,241

The short term 3 day trend is neutral.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.
 
AAPL +10.73bullish engulfing close above 30 DMA
AMZN -0.57hammer below 30 DMA
NFLX +1.87piercing line candle close above 30 DMA
QCOM +0.25white spinning top near 30 DMA
GOOG -0.75hammer at 30 DMA
BIDU +1.26long tailed hammer in bull flag

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include NVDA, FSLR, LRCX, FLEX, AAPL, MXIM, ALTR, NIHD, KLAC, NWSA, BRCM, GRMN, AMAT, DTV and ADBE.

Stocks weaker than the NDX: FFIV, URBN, APOL, ADSK, CTXS, CEPH, CTRP, MRVL, WYNN, ORLY, PCLN, NTAP, TEVA, ORCL and GENZ.

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA

SINA, NDAQ, SMH, FWLT, PCX, CLF, CRUS, HOLX, A, DE, FAS, JEC,  ACN, BAC, NYX, ATI, URE, AGU, POT, UNP, BA, SWN, UNG, TBT, TSL, DLR, GMCR, HANS, HUM, HSY, LDK, MHS, NTES, CAM,  SLB, TIE, ATW, SKX, MA, SPG, CHL, ESI, IPI, STI
Moving Above 30 DMA = 11
CAT, DHR, DOW, FDX, LXK, MCP, MOS, NETL, PCP, V, VECO
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
CF, SWK, WHR, ZION         
Staying Below 30 DMA
PNC, SOHU, SWKS, WLT, ARUN, CMG, CRM, RVBD, SNDK, UCO, VMW, AIV, FCX, GS, LVS, UAL, DECK, AMD, HLF, CREE, X, AKS, GME, ICE, GES, TLT, HAS, CSTR, MCD, FAZ

Added: SWKS

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

2 comments:

Joe said...

Dave,
Thanks for your dedication. These posts are invaluable. Looking forward to the update on this one. We are watching, listening, learning and doing.
Joe

Rob (tradefish) said...

Dave,
Although many are saying it - it cannot be said enough! Thanks for your time and dedication to helping us become better knowledgeable traders!

Rob