The SPX formed a large tail hammer falling to 1,271 before bouncing to close down -1.66 at 1,280.26 on Thursday.
SPX long tailed hammer, bull flagSetup Charts to Watch on Friday
INDU long tailed doji, bull flag
COMPQ hammer, bull flag
RUT spinning top at support, potential morning star pattern, closed below 30 DMA
Breadth strengthened but remained negative on Thursday as decliners led advancers 1.64 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.60 to 1 on the NASDAQ…
Exchange NYSE NASDAQ
Advancers 1,131 741
Decliners 1,855 1,931
Index Chg. Close Direction Confirmation
VIX +0.68 17.99 Up Yes – SPX
SOX -4.56 434.77 Down Yes – COMPQ
Leading stocks > 1% on Thursday included ESI, X, GME, TBT, UNG, PCX, V, LDK, CAN, TSL, WLT, GES, HANS, NYX, MCP, BAC, AMD
Losing stocks < -1% included ARUN, CRM, NETL, UCO, MOS, RVBD, AGU, VMW, FCX, CLF, FWLT, CF, CRUS, SNDK, POT, DECK, CMG, IPI, SOHU, DOW, SWN, CREE, UNP, DLR, LVS, CAT, STI, DHR, JEC, SINA, TLT, PCP, PNC, GMCR, SLB, CSTR
Positives – IBM, INDU & SPX candle, TNX, weaker bonds, XLF, strengthening breadth and sector strength, bull flag price pattern
Negatives – XLU & XLP leading, NDX, RUT, SOX, AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOG, NFLX, PCLN, negative advancers/decliners
Interest rates moved higher on Thursday and bonds moved lower. The Euro moved down 4 pips to 1.3474 at 5 pm ET.
Five of nine sectors rose on Thursday with Utilities XLU +0.76% and Consumer Staples XLP +0.51% leading all sectors.
Dave’s Insight: Look for re-entry by indentifying the setup and wait for the entry signal according to your rule.
Earnings
Thu – GOOG, ISRG gap up after hours trading, FCX, MXIM, SBUX, UNP
Fri – BAC, GE
Bull Flag Setups – MYL, DISH, DTV, XLNX, LLTC, NVDA, SMH, SINA, INTC, F, GM, A, DE, FAS, NDAQ, NYX, PNC, BK, SID, FWLT, LDK, MCP, PCX, TIE, WLT, CLF, UNP, HUM, HSY, MHS, JOYG, AMD
Breakout – UNG, IBM, ACN, ESI, HANS, HPQ, MS
MACD Divergence – GES, GME, HAS, NKE, HNZ
SPX
Resistance: 1,281, 1,300
Support: 1,256, 1,241, 1,220
The short term 3 day trend is neutral.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.
Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.
Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.
Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.
AAPL -6.16 – black spinning top lower shadow bounce at 30 DMA
AMZN -4.91 – large black candle closes below 30 DMA
NFLX -5.87 – black spinning top close at 30 DMA
QCOM -0.81 – black candle
GOOG -4.98 – black candle in bull flag, stock up in after-hours following earnings
BIDU -1.65 – black spinning top in bull flag
NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include EBAY, SHLD, BIIB, NWSA, FSLR, APOL, MU, ORCL, MYL, CEPH, SPLS, KLAC, VRTX, LLTC and ORLY.
Stocks weaker than the NDX: FFIV, STX, MRVL, JOYG, CTXS, BRCM, NFLX, SNDK, ALTR, AMZN, NTAP, AKAM, AAPL, PCLN and GRMN.
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA
SINA, NDAQ, SMH, CAT, FWLT, PCX, CLF, CRUS, HOLX, A, PNC, DE, FAS, JEC, ACN, BAC, NYX, ATI, CF, URE, AGU, POT, UNP, BA, SWN, UNG, VECO, TBT, TSL, DLR, GMCR, HANS, HUM, HSY, LDK, MHS, NTES, CAM, SLB, SOHU, TIE, ATW, SKX, PCP, MA, SPG, CHL
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
ESI, WLT
Moving Below 30 DMA = 15
ARUN, CMG, CRM, DHR, DOW, FDX, IPI, MOS, NETL, RVBD, SNDK, STI, UCO, VMW, ZION
Staying Below 30 DMA
AIV, FCX, GS, LVS, LXK, MCP, SWK, UAL, DECK, WHR, AMD, HLF, CREE, X, AKS, GME, ICE, GES, TLT, HAS, V, CSTR, MCD, FAZ
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
Thursday, January 20, 2011
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2 comments:
Dave:
How do you do it? IT, Coaching, Trading Rooms, Blog, Workshops, etc? Thanks for being so giving.
Thanks you for all the ideas and especially the counseling and mentoring.
Have a Fantabulous Day!
Gratefully,
Robert
CANI_212
Dave,
Thank you for your response to my inexperienced observations, both in your blog and in the Thursday morning class. (I am curious as to why the MacD was slightly up when I was looking at it, and the next day when you addressed it in class, it was slightly down. My settings were the same, so perhaps it was a momentary type of anomaly, though I must admit, it was more likely my error--just wonder what it was....)
I find I am becoming a master novice checkers player, looking forward to the day I may begin chess! Thanks to your admonitions to be disciplined and follow rules, as well as your teaching of trading techniques, I am improving. :)
Thank you!
Kathy :)
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