Thursday, September 3, 2009
SPX Holds Support and Rises...
DJIA + 63.94, +0.69%
SP500 + 8.49, +0.85%
NASDAQ Comp. + 16.13, +0.82%
Russell 2000 + 6.66, +1.20%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,330 1,802
Declining 690 867
Oil $67.96 -0.09
Gold $995.80 +$19.20
SOX 301.65 +4.25
VIX 27.10 -1.80
The VIX moved down and did confirm the move up in the SPX on Thursday. The SOX confirmed the move up in the Nasdaq.
Strongest Sectors: XLF +1.96%...XLB +1.44%...XLI +1.31%
Weakest Sectors: XLV -0.46%...XLU -0.07%...XLP +0.20%
Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday. Financials, Materials, Industrials and Consumer Discretionary were stronger than the SPX +0.85%.
Financial stocks that were down but stronger than XLF +1.96%: F, IVZ, C, BAC, WFC, JPM, MET, KEY, MS, SCHW, GS and ETFs UYG and FAS.
Tech stocks stronger than XLK +0.46%: AMT, EMC, SYMC, ADBE, MA, AMAT, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL and GLW.
Sector Watch
Up Trending: XLK, XLB, XLY
Horizontal Breakout: XLV
Sideways: XLE, XLF, XLP, XLI, XLU
Down Trending:
SPX
Key resistance levels:
1,007 = Nov horizontal resistance
1,017 = August 21 S1 level
1,025 = 950 Breakout Chart target
1,044 = October horizontal
1,075 = 875 Breakout Chart target
Key support levels:
992 - 996 = Early August Support Low
980 = July 23 Resistance - August 17 Support
962 = July 23 S1, 30 DMA, 38.2% Fib extension
944 – 956 = old January/June/July resistance
The SPX traded higher after the open, pulled back to even and then moved up during the last hour of the day to close near its daily high. Volume on the DJIA was 168 million shares. AAPL, GOOG, MSFT and RIMM trading volume also dropped.
The SPX rose from the 995 area of support to its 30 DMA at 1,003 Advancing issues increased on both the NYSE and NASDAQ.
Gold rose another $19.20 and gold stocks soared: GDX +5.11%, AEM +6.33%, GG +3.80%, GOLD +7.10%, IAG +16.24% and NEM +4.50%.
Guidance: The intermediate term trend is still up and short term trend is neutral. lLook for volume to be generally lighter on Friday heading into the three day Labor Day weekend. With support holding on Wednesday and Thursday watch for a move to resistance at Tuesday’s R1 level of 1,009 and then the 1,017 – 1,020 area. Failure to break the R1 level would form a lower high.
Our two virtual trade orders on BDK and WHR from Monday’s night Advanced Technical webcast did NOT trigger their buy stops.
Potential Down Trend Setups: ADSK, AKAM, AMAT, AMZN, APOL, FAST, FSLR
Potential Lower Highs: DE, X, AGCO, DOW, JCI, JOYG, WYNN
Flag Setups and Bounces in Progress: FLS, FWLT, WLT, AXP, BAC, BDK, HOLX, INTC, JEC, JCG, MA, MRVL, TXN, XLNX, ZION, CAT, DD, AGU, STT, SPG, ADBE, BIDU, FAST, HANS, NWSA
Breakout in Progress: WHR
AAPL +1.37
QCOM -0.40
GOOG +4.51
BIDU +4.62
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
PSYS, MHS, BYI, CTSH, AAPL, PETS, USD, JOSB, CAM, EBAY, PCLN, SNHY, TDG, SNA, CBST, WAB, BLUD, CLB, PCP, WMT, RBN, VAR, BKC, GR, CLB, BIIB, GES, HDB, ESRX, BDX, DLTR, NTLS, MYGN, ICE, NIHD, K, DV, FLS, GXDX, PSYS, WCG
Moving Above 30 DMA = 15
APEI, BAP, ESI, FAS, FUQI, GME, HANS, JEC, PWR, PWRD, RCI, RIMM, WRC, MCD, UYG
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
AMED
Staying Below 30 DMA
EZPW, ORCL, AMX, HDB, ICE, JW.A, MON, EBAY, X, URE, CPLA, MUR, STRA, TRLG, AFAM, DECK, GPRO, JOYG, SLGN, ATW, BIDU, HLF, MOS, NFLX, SWN, CAN, VPRT, CHL, DLB, JCOM, SPWRA, AMZN, GMCR, PPD, ALGT, GILD, FSLR, SYNA, FAZ
Intermediate Term Market Trend: SPX, DJIA, RUT = Neutral, Nasdaq = Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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5 comments:
Dave, appreciate your Dedication and willingness to share your experience and insights.... you are our Lighthouse shining though the dark!
Thanks from Vancouver Canada!
Francis
Dave,
You are awesome, and worth waiting for. Just got home from the Seahawks game (yeah Hawks!!)
and yours is the first site I go to.
Thanks for all you do!
One of your biggest, and devoted fans,
Peggy
Aloha Dave
Only 8:22pm by me
John
By the way Dave, my RGLD trade worked out fantastic; made all the more satisfying when you reviewed it on Wed morning VC and confirmed that I had the set up just as you taught us you said.
Thanks for everything!
Francis
Vancouver BC
Francis, Peggy and John,
Francis congratulations on the great trade
Peggy Go Seahawks!
John you're the only one who should be up that late! He's in Hawaii everyone...
Dave
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