Friday, September 25, 2009
SPX Closes at 1,044 Support...
The SPX closes slightly lower...Airlines XAL rise in support bounce...
DJIA -42.25 -0.44%
SPX -6.40 -0.61%
COMPQ -16.69 -0.79%
RUT -2.81 -0.47%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 1,362 1,153
Declining 1,633 1,538
Oil 66.02 +0.13 – Nov contract
Gold 990.30 -7.30
SOX 321.05 -1.99
VIX 25.61 +0.66
The VIX moved up and did confirm the move down in the SPX on Friday. The SOX moved down and did confirm the move down in the COMPQ.
Strongest Sectors: XLV +0.07%...XLP +0.00%...XLE -0.13%
Weakest Sectors: XLI -1.40%...XLB -0.97%...XLF -0.95%
Seven of nine sectors moved lower on Friday. Healthcare, Consumer Staples, Energy, Utilities and Consumer Discretionary were stronger than the SPX -0.61%.
Financial stocks stronger than XLF -0.95%: SPG, PNC, USB, TRV, STT, ZION, CB, ALL, RF, MS, MMC, MET, SCHW, PRU, WFC, BK and NTRS.
Tech stocks stronger than XLK -0.63%: SYMC, YHOO, AMAT, HPQ, IBM, QCOM, AMT, CSCO, T, EBAY and GLW.
Sector Watch
Up Trending: XLK, XLB, XLY, XLV
Horizontal Breakout: XLF
Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLI, XLU
Down Trending:
Key Resistance Levels:
1,056 = Sep 25 R1 level
1,061 = Sep 16 S1 Level
1,075 = 875 Breakout Chart Target
1,100 = September 2008 Old Support
Key Support Levels
1,044 = October Horizontal Old Resistance
1,025 = 950 Breakout Chart Target
1,017 = Aug 27 Support Low
The SPX was down for the third straight day on Friday. As I said in my webcast Thursday, there are several times since the March low where the SPX pulled back three to four days without turning the intermediate term trend down. The last four day pull back ended on Sept. 2. Will Monday be a fourth down day for the SPX?
RIMM gapped lower and closed down $14.15 with a third quarter outlook lower than expected on Thursday after the close. Our real time virtual trades on RIMM, the Oct 85 Straddle was up $5.70 or 52% and our Oct 90/80 Strangle was up $5.08 or 75.8%.
ISRG broke out on with an almost 200% volume surge.
With the SPX at 1,044 the next support level is the 1,025 level. Short term traders should have exited their trades this week and be looking for a support bounce to re-enter this trend. Intermediate term traders see this pull back as still at a higher low.
On Friday advancing stocks increased and declining stocks decreased from Thursday. Friday did see downward momentum slow in the SPX and all sectors. Airline stocks had a support bounce with UAUA, CAL and AMR showing strong gains.
Guidance: The intermediate term trend is up with the short term trend pulling back in a bull flag pattern. The SPX held at the 1,044 support level for the second day. Many of the stocks in our lists below had a support bounce or formed an inside day on Friday. Trade the stock chart and watch support at 1,044 and resistance at 1,056 and 1,061 on the SPX.
Stocks that had a bounce on Friday: HANS, AKAM, FLS, ADSK, STT, SPG, FSLR, WYNN, HOLX
Potential Breakout Setups: HANS, AKAM
Breakout: ISRG, CAT, JOYG, FAST, FLS, FLIR
Pulling Back: BIDU, DD, X, DOW, XLNX, AMZN, NWSA, FWLT, JCG, APOL
Potential C Patterns:
C Pattern Breakout: ADSK
Flag Setups and Bounces in Progress: DE, STT, BDK, SPG, WHR, FSLR, ZION, WYNN, BUCY, MRVL, AXP, AMAT, JEC, JCI, TXN, ADBE, HOLX, BAC, INTC
Potential Down Trend Setups: RIMM, AGI, WLT, MA, V, AGCO, AMX, MON, MYGN, ORCL
AAPL -1.45
QCOM +0.04
GOOG -4.29
BIDU -2.67
NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX: ISRG, DISH, SBUX, WCRX, SYMC, HANS, FSLR, CEPH, CELG, YHOO, VRTX, WYNN, PPDI, ERTS, HOLX, DTV, ILMN, ATVI, LBTYA, MXIM, LLTC, GILD, TEVA, FLIR, ADSK, AKAM, GRMN, APOL, MCHP, MRVL and SIAL.
Stocks to Watch on Monday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
CTSH, AAPL, PETS, USD, JOSB, CAM, EBAY, PCLN, SNHY, TDG, WAB, PCP, RBN, VAR, CLB, BIIB, GES, ESRX, NTLS, ICE, NIHD, K, FLS, GXDX, BAP, FAS, FUQI, GME, PWRD, WRC, UYG, BIDU, HDB, JW.A, ATW, EZPW, JOYG, X, URE, TRLG, EBAY, GPRO, PPD, SWN, DECK, VPRT, AMZN, GMCR, ACN, SPWRA, SLGN, AFAM, FSLR, JCOM, NFLX, HANS, DV, AMED, ESI, GILD, STRA, MCD
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
CPLA, DLTR, ICE, RIMM, WCG
Staying Below 30 DMA
ALGT, BDX, CBST, CHL, DLB, HLF, JEC, MHS, MUR, PSYS, RCI, APEI, BKC, BLUD, GR, MYGN, PWR, SNA, SYNA, MOS, AMX, BYI, ORCL, WMT, MON, FAZ
Intermediate Term Market Trend: DJIA = Neutral, Nasdaq, RUT, SPX = Up
Short Term Market Trend: Down
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2 comments:
Okay, just get me on a plane-I'm outta here . . ..
Have an awesome weekend,
Dave!
Dave:
Just wanted to express my gratitude for all you've done for me and my fellow traders.
You are a Great Trader, Coach and Mentor.
Gratefully,
Robert
CANI_212
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