Monday, November 14, 2016

Small Caps, Financial, Steel, Airlines and Cruise Stocks Continue to Climb on Monday...

Six of ten sectors moved higher on MondayXLF, XLRE and XLE were the strongest sectors while XLK was the weakest sector.  Oil futures up .60 to close at 43.72.


Breadth weakened as advancers led 1,600 to 1,478 on the NYSE and led 1,961 to 828 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – weakened, advancers led, +6
Friday – strengthened, advancers led, +5
Thursday – weakened, advancers led on NASDAQ, +6
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led, +6
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led, +10


SPY up .17 at 216.59 on 94.5 million shares, average volume
VIX up .31 at 14.48
TLT down .73 at 121.31…on 21.1 million shares, 125% above average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +1.41%, DIA +0.16%, SPY +0.08%, QQQ -1.01%,

DIA and IWM hit new all-time highs
SPY in sideways trend near resistance
QQQ in sideways trend near support
SPX unchanged at 2,164
VIX did confirm the SPX
SPY average volume
TLT again had high selling volume
Money continued to rotate from bonds and into stocks
XLF, XLI, XLV money rotates in
XLK, XLP, XLU money rotates out
XLB, XLY sideways at resistance

HAR +22.07, +25.18% on buyout from Samsung.

Steel stocks MTL, AKS, X, ATI, CLF, MT, STLD, SCHN and NUE continued rise with big gains on Monday.

Airline stocks UAL, ALK, LUV, SAVE, SKYW, JBLU, DAL, HA and AAL continued to soar on Monday.

NDX point losers: AAPL, AMZN, FB, MSFT, GOOGL, PCLN, CHTR, NVDA, AVGO, PYPL and QCOM

SPX Leaders: HAR, SWN, SNI, RF, AN, FOSL, BAC, NRG, HST, JEC, RRC, CSRA, FLR, NOV, HCP, GRMN, DGX, UAL, CMG, RL, BBY, BEN, UNH, ZION, AET, VTR, TROW, KMX, URI, SYF, SLG, KSU, NTRS, ANTM, JPM, GGP, URBN, AIZ, HCN, GPS, WY, GCI, C, ADM, ALK, CFG, LUV, COF, DRI, IP, HCA, MUR, KR, VNO, DFS, FITB, LEG, STI, HRB, CBG, MOS, MAC, NEM, MCD, FSLR, NAVI, WYN, LMT and PLD



Consider moving up stops on short term bullish trades that could pull back.  All according to your profit protection rules.

Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings. After-hours

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


2016 Q3 EPS, Oct - Nov
EPS Positive Reactions
NVDA, QVCA, JCI, MAR, SYY, FDC, RACE, CTSH, PCLN, LVS, UBNT, SLCA, SBUX, MCHP, FOSL, CAR, RIG, DDD, YELP, SHOP, ABC, SQ, HSIC, ZTS, DVN, NBL, ANTM, ADP, EA, VRSK, ADM, HRS, MOS, CHKP, COH, TSO, RCL, HBI, SRCL, HSY, EMN, VRSN, UBS, BIDU, CRUS, EXPE, MO, CVX, FFIV, WDC, COP, DOW, AKAM, JNPR, BA, NCR, OI, FLIR, ROL, TSS, LMT, KEY, FCX, VLO, BHI, SAVE, AKS, TMUS, MCD, PYPL, MSFT, MXIM, AXP, SNA, MAT, BK, STLD, WBA, ALK, URI, HAL, MS, USB, NFLX, HOG, UNH, GS, CE, DPZ, CMA, UAL, HAS, DAL, CSX, COST, RHT, FDX, ADBE

EPS Negative Reactions
NTES, TRIP, CVS, ENDP, NWSA, ALB, IFF, EXPD MNST, ATVI, FSLR, WYNN, CS, APA, FB, UVE, AIG, CHTR, PAYC, DATA, CAVM, BABA, X, GILD, HLF, ILMN, NFX, DO, SCTY, AMZN, MCK, ABC, CAH, GT, ABBV, LM, COG, CA, AMGN, AET, LITE, XOM, CLF, ORLY, NEM, POT, AAPL, EW, CMG, LUV, CMCSA, UA, P, WHR, PNRA, JBLU, GM, MMM, NLSN, WAT, SHW, MAS, PNR, MCO, EBAY, TRV, LRCX, TSCO, INTC, ISRG, ST, JNJ, IBM, AA, FAST, ILMN, MU, PAYX, CCL

EPS Neutral Reactions
SWKS, LBTYA, CI, QCOM, FOXA, GOOGL, PSX, SKYW, BX, CA, TWTR, UPS, TSLA, MO, NXPI, STT, GD, KO, ESRX, VRTX, PCAR, AAL, NUE, XLNX, CTXS, LLTC, BAC, C, JPM, PNC


______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: AKAM, EXPE, QCOM, MXIM, CHKP, GILD, NVDA, NXPI, PCLN, VRTX

Bull Flag Bounces include: SQ, HSY, MCHP, ESRX, MAR, REGN,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: SQ, BBBY, CMCSA, COST, CSCO, DISCA, DLTR, ESRX, FOXA, MAT, MU, PCAR, STX, TMUS, ULTA, WDC

Horizontal Breakouts include: MAR, NCLH, ALK, BBBY, TMUS, WFM

New Highs include: AAL, DAL, UAL, ALK, LUV, SAVE, AKS, X, SCHN, STLD, NUE, BAC, C, JPM, WFC, USB, RF, STI, ZION, GS, MS, CMA, CE, RCL, CCL, CC, MLM, HAS, ADI, ADP, CSX, REGN,

Horizontal Break of Support Setups include: MDLZ,

Break of Support: GOOGL, FB, AMZN, JD, TSLA, NEM, NTES, TRIP, ATVI, CERN,


______________________

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


The SPY MFC green line is pointed up at 81, bullish

49 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.

55 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
AMAT, LRCX, MAT

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
CA, CTXS, MSFT, SYMC

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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