Flags Flying This Week:
Flag Setups for Next Week:
Nine of ten sectors moved higher on Friday …XLU, XLP and XLI were the strongest
sectors while XLE was the weakest sector. Oil futures were down 1.98 to close at 45.96.
For the week ended November 25, nine of
ten sectors moved higher.
XLB +2.57%,
XLI +2.30%, XLE +2.24%,
XLY +2.19%, XLU +1.88%,
XLP +1.43%,
SPY +1.38%,
Lagging sectors XLK +1.35%, XLRE +1.18%,
XLF +1.13%, XLV -0.32%,
YTD 228
Leading Sectors: XLE +20.56%, XLI +18.30%,
XLF +15.81%, XLB +14.14%,
XLK +12.07%, XLU +8.96%,
SPY +8.66%,
Lagging Sectors: XLY +6.17%, XLP +1.45%,
XLV -3.54%, XLRE -4.39%
Breadth strengthened as advancers led 1,893 to 1,037 on the NYSE and led 1,693 to 937
on the NASDAQ.
Friday
– strengthened, advancers led, +9
Thursday – Thanksgiving Holiday
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led, +6
Tuesday –
steady, advancers led, +8
Monday – strengthened, advancers led, +9
SPY up .82 at 221.52 on 37.8
million shares, 59% below average volume
VIX down
.09 at 12.34
TLT up .18 at 120.82…on
3.1 million shares, 68% below average volume
Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.37%, SPY +0.37%, IWM +0.33%, QQQ +0.32%,
Friday’s
half trading day saw light trading as
expected with SPY at 37.8 million, QQQ with 6.8 million, DIA with 1.5 million and IWM with
13.4 million shares, each with less
than 50% of their average volume.
RUT,
DJIA and SPX along with their respective
ETFs IWM, DIA and SPY made new
all-time highs on Friday.
Follow
your rules and continue to move
up stops on short term bullish trades that
could pull back. All according to your profit protection rules.
IWM,
DIA and SPY continue to trend above their
horizontal resistance breakout level
SPX up 8 points at 2,213, its third
consecutive close above 2,200.
DJIA
closes 19,152, its third straight close above 19,000.
SPX Leaders: FSLR, CTSH, AWK, AES, NI, COL, CMS, HPQ, ETR, FE, XEL, FTR
QQQ
in sideways trend is nearing intermediate-term resistance
and is a horizontal
resistance breakout setup.
CTRP +4.02, +9.81%
gapped up on a positive earnings reaction.
NDX point gainers: AAPL, CSCO,
CTRP, MDLZ, INTC, MSFT, CHTR and CTSH
Steel
stocks with modest gains on Friday
were led by CLF, AKS, MT, NUE and X.
Airline
and retail stocks cooled off and were mixed on
Friday after a strong week heading into the Thanksgiving Day weekend.
Remember
breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.
Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings. After-hours
Trade
what you see, not…
Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.
2016 Q3 EPS, Oct - Nov
EPS Positive Reactions
CTRP,
DE, VEEV, GME, BURL, SINA, DLTR, WB, ADI, CPB, HRL, JEC, SIG, MRVL, ROST, INTU, BBY, NTAP, TGT, AAP, JD, NVDA, KSS, M, JWN, RL,
DDS, QVCA, JCI, MAR, SYY, FDC, RACE, CTSH, PCLN, MGM, LVS, UBNT, SLCA, SBUX, MCHP, FOSL, MHK, CAR, RIG, DDD, YELP,
SHOP, ABC, SQ, HSIC, ZTS, DVN, NBL, ANTM, ADP, EA, VRSK, ADM, HRS, MOS, CHKP,
COH, TSO, RCL, HBI, SRCL, HSY, EMN,
VRSN, UBS, BIDU, CRUS, EXPE, MO, CVX, FFIV, WDC, COP, DOW, AKAM, JNPR, BA, NCR,
OI, FLIR, ROL, TSS, LMT, KEY, FCX, VLO, BHI, SAVE, AKS, TMUS, MCD, PYPL, MSFT, MXIM, AXP, SNA, MAT,
BK, STLD, WBA, ALK, URI, HAL, MS, USB, NFLX, HOG, UNH, GS, CE, DPZ, CMA, UAL,
HAS, DAL, DRI, CSX, COST, RHT, FDX, ADBE
EPS Negative Reactions
URBN,
PDCO, MDT, TSN, CSCO, LOW, HD, TJX,
______________________
Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: STX, NTAP, WDC, AMZN, WFM, XLNX, HAL, MUR, ICE,
RCL, CE, MXIM, MGM, DISCA, JD, ADI, DLTR, JWN, FTI, SLB, ADSK, REGN, VRTX
Bull Flag Bounces include: AAPL, NCLH, LMT, WFC, MLM,
Horizontal Breakout Setups include: CSX, DAL, LUV, TSLA, AXP,
MMM, BA, JPM, UNH, UTX, PWR, ESRX, SAVE, BBBY, STI, HIG, ATI, FOSL, SWN, DVN,
RRC, CHTR, BHI, HES, APA, INCY, CTXS, WB, SINA, COST, EXPE, AKAM, LNG, CHK,
ULTA, PCLN, NFLX, CHKP, FB, GOOGL,
Horizontal Breakouts include: SQ, TGT, HAS, TRV,
New Highs include: PCAR, X, STLD, NUE, AKS, MAR, AAL, CCL, LRCX, NVDA,
MU, MCD, FDX, UPS, TXN, ZION, MS, ETFC, USB, C, BAC, RF, ADP, LUV, UAL, SKYW, TMUS,
KLAC, CMCSA, CFG, SCHN, FCX, BURL, BBY, AAP, TCK, FOXA, SBUX, FISV, CC, ALK, GS,
SCHW, CMA, PAYX, MCHP, HBAN,
Horizontal Break of Support Setups include: CSCO,
NEM, NTES, CERN, TRIP
Break of Support: ATVI,
______________________
Short-term Movers for the week:
SPX gainers: FCX, DE, MPC, CHK, WYNN, SWN, ADI, FTR, URI, ADS, ANTM, JEC,
NUE, FLR, IRM, RRC, OKE, CPB, COTY, COL, KMX, AMG, AZO, SHW, DPS, VZ, AAP VFC,
WU, MNK, FSLR, FOSL, CMI, SIG, EQT, VAR, T, HAS, BAC, CTAS, LYB, OMC, MRO, AA,
LOW, COG, DG, ETN, IPG, ALK, SCHW RIG, BBY, TDG, +10, 4, +4, 62
SPX losers: PDCO, TSN, URBN, LLY, MDT, CRM, HPQ, -4, 8
NDX gainers: DLTR, ADI, MNST, CTRP, TSLA, MAT, ULTA, AVGO, QVCA, CHTR,
MU, SYMC, ORLY, +4, 13
NDX losers: CTSH, -4, 1,
YTD: 224
SPX Leaders:
FCX, OKE, NEM, SE, MLM, PWR, SWN, CMI, NUE, NAVI, (371, +9, > 10p 257, +27)
SPX Losers: FSLR, GCI, PRGO,
AGN, PBI, HRB, MCK, EQR, UA, LB
NDX Leaders: NVDA, AMAT, CHTR, ULTA, MU, TMUS, NTAP, QCOM, TXN,
CSX, (64, +0, >10p 43, +4)
NDX Losers: ENDP, TRIP, ALXN,
SRCL, MYL, NCLH, VRTX, ILMN, REGN, GILD
DJI Leaders:
CAT, UNH, CVX, JPM, IBM, MRK, GS, WMT, MMM, UTX, (25, +2, >10p 13, +1)
DJI Losers: NKE, DIS, KO, PFE, HD
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and
continue to move your profit protection stops. Continue to follow your rules.
The SPY MFC green line is pointed up at
97.99, bullish.
75 of 100
NDX stocks closed higher and one was
unchanged on Friday.
70
NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.
NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 7
CTRP, CTSH, LVNTA, MDLZ,
NXPI, TSLA, VIAB,
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
6-month Intermediate
Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
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