Monday, January 25, 2016

Oil Gives Back Friday's Gains...Stocks Move Down on Lower Volume...AAPL Reports on Tuesday...

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All nine sectors moved lower on MondayXLU, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest sector.  Oil fell $2.45 to close at 29.80, giving back Friday’s gains.
                         
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 5.44 to 1 on the NYSE and as 3.01 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday- strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led


SPY down 2.88 at 187.64 on 130.3 million shares, 15% below average volume
VIX up 1.81 at 24.15…
TNX down .26 at 20.22…
TLT up .68 at 126.02…on 5.7 million shares, 36% below average volume
XLF down .43 at 20.85…on 64.1 million shares, 11% above average volume

AAPL down 1.98 at 99.44 on 51.7 million shares, average volume
FB down .93 at 97.01 on 32.4 million shares, 19% above average volume

Technical Commentary:
DIA -1.30%, QQQ -1.48%, SPY -1.51%, IWM -2.22%.

SPX breaks below Friday’s low following two day rally as oil pulls back.  Potential hedge and bear flag entry day on many charts.  Volume was lower on SPY, DIA, QQQ and IWM on Monday.

MCD hits new all-time intra-day high following earnings.  PG, JNJ, DD, MMM report before the open on Tuesday and AAPL reports after the close.


Earnings this week:
Monday: MCD, HAL, KMB,
Tuesday: DD, JNJ, MMM, PG, AAPL, CA,
Wednesday:  BA, BIIB, LRCX, CTXS, EBAY, FB, PYPL, QCOM, SNDK, TSCO, TXN, UTX, VRTX
Thursday:  CAT, CELG, CHKP, CVX, V, AMGN, AMZN, EA, KLAC, MSFT, SWKS, WDC
Friday:  AAL, PCAR, STX

YTD:
SPX Leaders:  M, SWN, SE, EQT, TWX, FLIR, TYC, BXLT, SNI, ED (50)
SPX Losers: ESV, FCX, MRO, BWA, CHK, APC, AA, CF, WRK, WDC
                        
NDX Leaders:  DISCK, ISRG, VIAB, EA, KHC, CTSH, XLNX (7)
NDX Losers: WDC, STX, INCY, VRTX, MU, ADSK, LBTYA, NTAP, NCLH, ALXN

DJI Leaders:  WMT, VZ, MCD
DJI Losers: AXP, DD, GS, JPM, CAT, CSCO, BA, INTC, UTX, IBM


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is pointed up at 21. 


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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CPB, XLNX, EA, CTSH, CAH, CRM, DAL, EAT, NKE, SEDG, SONC, W, EBAY, FSLR
Bull Flag: TLT, VXX, FINL, RRC, VIAB, SNI, M, HAS
Bear Flag: SINA, WUBA, YELP, AVGO, TSL, TPX, QRVO, PLAY, CSIQ, AA, SPWR,
At Support: KMB,


Moves
D Breakout: DRI
Bounce: ROST,
Gap Up: SPY, QQQ, SE, YNDX, COST,
Bear Flag: CMCSA, BIDU, MNST, TBT, SONC, SLCA, CRM, AIG, SVXY

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11 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.

8 NDX stock is above its 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MAT

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
DISCA, ENDP, FISV, PCAR, QCOM, ROST


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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