Monday, November 17, 2014

Stocks End Mostly Lower...S&P 500 Has Marginal Gain To Close At Record High...Japan Hints At R-Word...Recession...

Three out of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLU, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…1.25 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.93 to 1 on the NASDAQ


Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led NYSE
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – mixed, mixed


SPY up .19 at 204.43 on 80.4 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .68 at 13.99…
TNX up .20 at 23.40…
TLT down .20 at 119.29...
XLF unchanged… at 24.06 on 16.1 million shares

AAPL down .37 at 113.81 on 46.7 million shares
FB down .65 at 74.23…on 28.6 million shares, below average volume

Technical Commentary:
 DIA + 0.14%, SPY + 0.09%, QQQ – 0.26%, IWM -0.68%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 204.61, 207.33...
QQQ = 103.37, 106.94
IWM = 117.48, 119.37, 121.27…

Support Levels
SPY = 201.90, 199.61, 198.06...
QQQ = 100.56, 99.59
IWM = 115.04, 113.35...

Earnings this weekCMGE, CRM, GME, JASO, JD, MBLY, SPLK,


Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – GOGO, RAX, NTES, XONE, YOKU, VJET, BABA, MNST, WFM, ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE, FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL, PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR,  AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB, LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO, TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - GOGO, RAX, WFM, GPRO, GPRN, LNKD, BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – SINA, YY, SWKS, FEYE, FSLR, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, SCTY, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, Z, ZU, AEM, CHRW, COH, FB, GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA, BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P, UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% - CSIQ, FSLR, UBNT, ZU, AEM, P, TPX,

Reversal in progress – P, PCLN, TPX, NFLX, COH, GRMN, KO, MDC, VMW,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AMZN, FEYE, SWKS, Z, BA, BAC, CHRW, CMG, COF, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, EBAY, F, GM, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JNPR, JPM, KEY, LMT, LUV, MAT, NDAQ, UA, WFC, XRX, ADBE, ALTR, ALTR, AXP, AZO, BTU, K, KKD, KRFT, MRK, PNRA,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 92.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AA, HPQ, IBM, AVGO, BRCM, EXPE, INTC, MYL, STX,  
Diagonal Breakout: GPRO, X, JNPR, CMCSA,
Bull Flag: BBRY, CRM, DAL, MS, SCSS, SPLK,
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up
Gap Down: 
Bear Flag:  
At Support: LOCO, SPWR, ZU,
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs: SPY, EMC, MFRM, NTES, ESRX, MNST, YHOO,
H Breakout: EMC,  
D Breakout:     
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce:  
Bounce: CAR, KNDI, Z, JASO,
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
Gap Up: UNG, DDD,    
Gap Down:   
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: GOOGL,

______________________


42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: STX, CHTR, MNST, MYL, XLNX, VIAB, VOD, ESRX, LMCK

Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, DISCA, BIDU, ADBE, TRIP, TSLA, BILD, KLAC, AMZN, EXPE

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: UNG, KNDI, Z, AMBA, XONE, WLT, CAR, GPRO

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JD, P, CMG, LOCO, SPLK, LNKD, GOGO, FEYE, SOHU, SFUN, TWTR, YELP, BBRY, CRM, QIHU


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 91
GMCR, ROST, CHRW, GRMN, MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN, ADP, ALXN, BIDU, COST, ORLY, TSCO, VRTX, XLNX, AAPL, AMGN, BBBY, CELG, ESRX, FISV, HSIC, ILMN, KRFT, MAR, PCAR, SPLS, SYMC, TXN, BRCM, YHOO, CA, CERN, CHKP, CTSH, EXPD, INTU, LBTYA, NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, STX, ADBE, ADSK,  KLAC, LMCA, MDLZ, MSFT, VRSK, AMAT, LMCK, MU, WFM, AVGO, FFIV, NTAP, NXPI, VOD, WDC, AKAM, BIIB, CTRX, DISH, EQIX, SIRI, ADI, ALTR, ATVI, CSCO, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, FAST, INTC, LLTC, MAT, MXIM, SNDK, FOXA, QCOM, TSLA, CTXS, PCLN, SIAL, AMZN, CHTR, VIAB, WYNN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
                                                                                                                                          

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0

                                                                                       
Staying Below 30 DMA
BIIB, GILD, GOOG, QCOM, VIP, TRIP, DISCA, FB, NFLX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up




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