Seven out of nine
sectors moved higher on Friday…XLE, XLU and XLB were the strongest sectors
while XLV was the
weakest.
Breadth strengthened on the NYSE where
advancers led decliners…1.58 to 1 and weakened on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers 1.03 to 1.
Friday – mixed, mixed
Thursday – mixed,
advancers led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened,
decliners led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
SPY up .19 at 203.34 on 89.5 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .54 at 13.12…
TNX down .63 at 23.12…
TLT up 1.36 at 119.75...
XLF up .01 at 24.15 on 26.9 million shares, below average volume
AAPL up .31 at 109.01 on 33.6 million shares
FB up .34 at 75.60…on 20.7 million shares, below average volume
Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.17%,
IWM +0.15%, SPY +0.09%, QQQ -0.09%.
SPY rose for the third
consecutive week gaining 1.68, 0.83% which was significantly
less the $7 plus and $5 plus of the previous two weeks.
Semiconductors very weak
on Friday following the QCOM negative
earnings reaction on Thursday and the SWKS
-2.26, -2.64% earnings reaction on Friday notwithstanding a
positive report and Q4 guidance. SWKS had gained more than $10 and 20%
following raised guidance in October.
Other weak
semiconductors which lost more than one percent on Friday included AVGO, ARMH, NVDA, ASML, SUNE, BRCM, KLAC
and MU.
Coal stocks have been on
a strong run since the election including ANR,
BTU, ACI, CNX and WLT.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and
continue to move your profit protection stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 204.61, 207.33...
QQQ = 103.37, 106.94…
IWM = 117.48, 119.37, 121.27…
Support Levels
SPY = 201.90, 199.61, 198.06...
QQQ = 100.56, 99.59…
IWM = 115.04, 113.35...
Earnings this week: CTRP, NTAP, DDD, JCP, SINA, VJET, CMGE, CSIQ, GOGO, NTES, RAX, XONE,
YOKU, YY
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BABA,
MNST, WFM, ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE,
FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL,
PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR, AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT,
CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB,
LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO,
TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS,
MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX,
LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,
More than 10% - WFM, GPRO, GPRN, LNKD,
BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,
Negative Reactions – SWKS,
FEYE, FSLR, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, SCTY, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, Z, ZU, AEM, CHRW, COH, FB,
GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA,
BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P,
UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY,
MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,
More than -10% - FSLR,
UBNT, ZU, AEM, P, TPX,
Reversal in progress – AZO,
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – AXP, ALTR, KKD, MRK, BBRY, MU,
The SPY Market Forecast is at 97.
___________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AVGO,
FFIV, GMCR, ROST, SBUX, BAC, BBY, C, CAR, GME, PANW,
Diagonal Breakout: GRMN,
TSLA, DGLY, HOG, MTW, SPWR, SUNE, SWI, YNDX,
Bull Flag: BIDU, BRCM,
CELG, CMCSA, GILD, GOOGL, ILMN, INTC, MU, MYL, NFLX, SNDK, STX, WDC, XLNX, AA, CIEN,
ETFC, GLW, GPRO, IWM, JSDU, LNKD, NKE, QIHU, RCL, TSL, UAL,
Bear Flag: TRIP, FEYE,
At Support: QCOM,
Moves
New Highs: BABA, SPY,
AAPL, FAS, ADSK, COST, MNST, MSFT, WFM, YHOO, AAL, MFRM, MS, SCSS, V,
H Breakout: BX, UA,
Breakout Test: UNG,
Bull Flag Bounce: AKAM,
EXPE, MAR, SINA, AMBA, BBRY, CRM, SOHU, SPLK, X,
Bounce: AMZN, ATI, Z
MACD Divergence Bounce:
IBM,
Gap Up: MNST, GLD,
Gap Down: FSLR, UBNT
______________________
39 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged
on Friday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MNST, WFM, SBAC, CTSH, LBTYA, YHOO, VIP, EXPE,
CA, FFIV
Lagging NDX stocks included: AVGO, NVDA, NTAP, FOXA, QCOM, ILMN, ISRG, STX,
CHTR, CERN
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday:
JCP, ATI, X, P, Z, SPLK, , GLD, BX, BABA, YOKU, BBRY, AMBA, SOHU, MFRM, GOGO
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
UBNT, FSLR, SWKS, SFUN, SSYS, UAL, ETFC, GME, MBLY
Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 87
GMCR, ROST, CHRW, GRMN,
MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN, ADP, ALXN, BIDU, COST, ORLY, TSCO,
VRTX, XLNX, AAPL, AMGN, BBBY, CELG, ESRX, FISV, GILD, HSIC, ILMN, KRFT, MAR,
PCAR, SPLS, SYMC, TXN, BRCM, YHOO, CA, CERN, CHKP, CTSH, EXPD, INTU, LBTYA,
NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, STX, ADBE, ADSK, CMCSA, KLAC, LMCA, MDLZ, MSFT, VRSK, AMAT,
LMCK, MU, WFM, AVGO, FFIV, NTAP, NXPI, VOD, WDC, AKAM, BIIB, CTRX, DISH, EQIX,
SIRI, ADI, ALTR, ATVI, CSCO, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, FAST, INTC, LLTC, MAT, MXIM,
SNDK, FOXA, QCOM, TSLA
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
CTXS,
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
QCOM, TSLA, GOOG, WYNN, PCLN, SIAL, TRIP, DISCA, FB, NFLX, VIAB, AMZN
6-month Intermediate
Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
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