Tuesday, November 4, 2014

SPY, QQQ, IWM Pull Back...Flags Form...BABA, YHOO, TXN, MSFT, DAL...Make New Highs...

Three of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLP, XLF and XLV were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…1.48 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.32 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .70 at 201.07 on 93.3 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .16 at 14.87…
TNX down .06 at 23.42…
TLT up .37 at 119.33...
XLF up .01 at 23.94 on 29.8 million shares

AAPL down 0.80 at 108.60 on 41.5 million shares
FB up 1.88 at 75.76…on 39.3 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.06%, SPY -0.35%, QQQ -0.37%, IWM -0.46%.

Broad indexes paused on the day that BABA released its first public earnings stating that revenues grew 54%.  YHOO, MSFT, TXN, COST, BIDU and airline stocks DAL, AAL, UAL LUV and ALK made new highs.  PCLN gapped lower after earnings.

After the close earning reports caused FEYE, ZU and TRIP gapped lower while CTRP was higher.

Look for bounce opportunities in bull flags this week.

TSLA, SCTY, Z and QCOM release earnings on Wednesday.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 201.90...
QQQ = 103.37
IWM = 117.48…

Support Levels
SPY = 199.61, 198.06...
QQQ = 100.26, 99.59
IWM = 115.04, 113.35...

Earnings this week
Monday: AIG,
Tuesday: BABA, CTRP, PCLN, FEYE, ZU, TRIP,
Wednesday: SCTY, SSYS, Z, QCOM, TSLA, WFM,
Thursday: FSLR, LOCO, SFUN, SUNE, SWKS, UBNT, DTV, MNST,
Friday:

Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE, FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL, PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR,  AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB, LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO, TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - GPRO, GPRN, LNKD, BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – AEM, CHRW, COH, FB, GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA, BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P, UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% - AEM, P, TPX,

Reversal in progress – AZO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AXP, ALTR, KKD, MRK, BBRY, MU,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 91.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AMBA, BAC, BBY, BX, GPRO, JDSU, ADSK,
Diagonal Breakout: JD, PANW,
Bull Flag: IWM, SPY, QQQ, BBRY, C, CMGE, CRM, CSIQ, CTRP, ETFC, GME, HOG, MS, QIHU, RCL, SPLK, SPWR, STI, VRSN, X, YNDX, AKAM, AMZN, AVGO, BRCM, CELG, EXPE, GILD, GMCR, GOOGL, ILMN, MAR, MYL, ROST, SNDK, XLNX,
Gap Up: CTRP,
Gap Down: TRIP, ZU, FEYE,

Moves
New Highs: AAL, BABA, DAL, FAS, GLW, KKD, LNKD, NKE, UAL, V, ADBE, BIDU, COST, FFIV, INTC, MSFT, TXN, YHOO,
Breakout Test: AMBA,
Bull Flag Bounce: SBUX,  
Bounce: FB,
Gap Up: DAL,   
Gap Down: PCLN,

______________________

43 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and one was unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: FB, ATVI, BIDU, COST, ADP, ADBE, YHOO, VRTXS, CTSH, EBAY

Lagging NDX stocks included: TRIP, PCLN, DISCA, REGN, DISH, EXPE, WYNN, ILMN, FOXA, CMCSA

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: BABA, DAL, LOCO = 3

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ZU, XONE, X, LVS, AMBA, GPRO, CSIQ, ATI, CMGE, RCL, SCTY, MTW, SPWR, TSL, FSLR, RAX, UBNT, YELP, AA, CAR = 20


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 88
GMCR, ROST, CHRW, GRMN, MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN, ADP, ALXN, BIDU, COST, ORLY, TSCO, VRTX, XLNX, AAPL, AMGN, BBBY, CELG, ESTX, FISV, GILD, HSIC, ILMN, KRFT, MAR, PCAR, QCOM, SPLS, SYMC, TXN, WYNN, BRCM, YHOO, CA, CERN, CHKP, CTSH, EXPD, INTU, LBTYA, NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, STX, ADBE, ADSK, CMCSA, KLAC, LMC, MDLZ, MSFT, VRSK, AMAT, LMCK, MU, WFM, AVGO, FFIV, NTAP, NXPI, VOD, WDC, AKAM, BIIB, CTRX, DISH, EQIX, SIRI, ADI, ALTR, ATVI, CSCO, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, FAST, GOOG, INTC, LLTC, MAT, MXIM, SNDK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
FOXA, PCLN, TSLA
                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
SIAL, TRIP, DISCA, FB, NFLX, CTXS, VIAB, AMZN, VIP

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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