Thursday, September 25, 2014

Stocks Weaken...DIA...QQQ At Support...SPY Breaks Support...Out Of 100 NASDAQ Stocks 98 Close Down...Largest Sell Off Since End Of July...NKE Tops Earnings And Closes Up 5.64%...

All nine sectors moved lower on Thursday… XLK, XLV and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened… decliners led advancers…4.83 to 1 on the NYSE and 4.25 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 2.84 at 196.72 on 150 million shares, above average volume
VIX up 2.37 at 15.64…
TNX down .58 at 25.11…
TLT up 1.37 at 116.18...
XLF down .35 at 23.11 on 54 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down 3.60 at 98.15 on 99.9 million shares, above average volume
FB down 1.26 at 77.28…on 37.4 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ – 1.89%, IWM – 1.44%, SPY – 1.42%, DIA – 1.26%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 200.00, 201.37, 204.32...
QQQ = 99.75, 101.13…
IWM = 115.73, 117.06, 118.76...

Support Levels
SPY = 197.46, 196.24, 195.16...
QQQ = 98.87, 97.82, 96.94…
IWM = 112.89, 111.56, 109.86...

Earnings this Week: AZO, BBBY, BBRY, CCL, MU, NKE, PAYX

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BBBY, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK, AVGO, CRM, GPS, TFM, FL, AMAT, CSIQ, GME, HPQ, PCLN, NTES, ROST, SINA, NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU, AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,

More than 10% - ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM, SPLK, TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X

Negative Reactions – AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN, BBY, QIHU, TSL,  ADSK, CREE, GOGO, JASO, JDSU, JWN, M, RAX, YOKU, SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM,  BWLD, BZH, CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL, UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,

More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,


Reversal in progress – AMZN, ATI, FAST, GIS, GRMN, ILMN, KO, KRFT, LLTC, P, RYL, SNDK, STX, XLNX

Reversal of Initial Reaction – KKD, AET, AKAM, ALXN, BA, BAC, BBY, BBBY, BZH, CELG, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FDO, GOGO, JNJ, JWN, KLAC, KO, LNG, M, NFLX, RAX, SLCA, STI, TPX, TRV, TSL, UPL, USB, VRTX, YELP, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is at 68.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: ZU, FB, GILD,
Diagonal Breakout: UA, MU,  
Bull Flag:  AMBA, BAC, BBY, CSIQ, ETFC, RCL, SCHW, X, MAR, AMGN, KLAC,
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: CTRP, EMC, FSLR, GOGO, IWM, JASO, JCP, LNKD, P, SPLK, SSYS, CREE, JNPR, VJET, CMCSA, QCOM, SNDK, STX, WFM, ADP, CTRX, LLTC, MSFT, QCOM, WFM,
C- Pattern:                                                                          

Moves
New Highs: NKE,  
H Breakout: NKE,  
D Breakout: 
Bull Flag Bounce: ESI,    
Gap Up:     
Gap Down:     
Bounce: RAX,     
MACD Divergence Bounce: GLD,   
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag:
Support Break: SPY, AIG, BBRY, CAR, CRM, FAS, FEYE, IBM, NTES, TSL, V, Z, AKAM, ILMN, AAPL, AKAM, CA, FAST, FISV, ILMN, VIP,




______________________

Only 2 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, BRCM

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, BIIB, AAPL, TRIP, NXPI, AKAM, CELG, AVGO, NTAP, LBYTA

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: NKE, GPRO,

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: BBRY, GOGO, CAR, KNDI, SRUN, UPL, SUNE, TSL, FAS, ATI, Z, NTES

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 31
NTAP, COST, CERN, AMGN, MSFT, PAYX, ROST, MAR, AVGO, KLAC, ALTR, BRCM, TXN, NXPI, SNDK, DTV, GMCR, VRTX, SPLS, DLTR, INTU, QCOM, AAPL, ADSK, FB, REGN, XLNX, GILD, SIAL, BBBY, CELG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3  
CSCO, MU, YHOO,                                                  

Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
ADP, AKAM, ALXN, BIDU, CHKP, CTXS, FAST, FISV, GOOG, INTC, LBTYA

                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
CA, CHTR, CMCSA, FFIV, LLTC, SBAC, WFM, AMAT, CHRW, ESRX, EXPD, ISRG, LMCA, MXIM, MYL, NVDA, SIRI, SYMC, TRIP, VIAB, VRSK, DISH, EQIX, ILMN, MDLZ, ORLY, CTRX, EXPE,KRFT, ADBE, NFLX, STX, TSLA, VIP, AMZN, ATVI, FOXA, LINTA, HSIC, EBAY, MAAT, SBUX, SRCL, TSCO, DISCA, ADI, VOD, WDC, GRMN, PCLN, PCAR, CTSH, WYNN

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Down


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