Tuesday, September 9, 2014

AAPL Unveils IPhone 6, 6 Plus, ApplePay and Apple Watch...QQQ, SPY, IWM Fall as AAPL Closes Lower...

All nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday…XLP, XLV and XLI were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 3.32 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.20 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday - mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 1.27 at 199.32 on 88.5 million shares, average volume
VIX up .84 at 13.50…
TNX up .31 at 25.00…
TLT down .09 at 115.69...
XLF down .24 at 23.23 on 31.3 million shares

AAPL down .37 at 97.99 on 189.6 million shares
FB down 1.22 at 76.67…on 28.8 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.55%, SPY -0.63%, QQQ -0.83%, IWM -1.18%.

Broad stock indexes traded in a range as AAPL stock traded higher until about 2 pm ET when AAPL and the indexes rolled over closing lower.  AAPL announced iPhone 6 and 6 Plus, ApplePay and Apple Watch.  Sellers took control following the presentation.  EBAY -1.50, -2.77% fell as ApplePay represents competition to EBAY’s PayPal.

PANW +3.38, +3.79% gained in after-hours on a positive earnings reaction.

KKD -0.96, -5.45% fell after earnings missed estimates.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 200.00, 201.37, 204.32...
QQQ = 99.75, 101.13…
IWM = 115.73, 117.06, 118.76...

Support Levels
SPY = 197.59, 196.24, 195.16...
QQQ = 99.08, 97.99, 97.51…
IWM = 115.51, 114.31, 113.49...

Earnings this Week: KKD, PANW, LULU, VRA

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – MFRM, SPLK, AVGO, CRM, GPS, TFM, FL, AMAT, CSIQ, GME, HPQ, PCLN, NTES, ROST, SINA, NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU, AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,

More than 10% - MFRM, SPLK, TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X

Negative Reactions – CIEN, BBY, QIHU, TSL,  ADSK, CREE, GOGO, JASO, JDSU, JWN, M, RAX, YOKU, SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM,  BWLD, BZH, CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL, UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,

More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,


Reversal in progress – AET, AKAM, ALXN, AMZN, ATI, EA, GIS, GRMN, ILMN, KO, KRFT, LNG, P, RYL, STX, TPX, VRTX,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBY, TSL, BBBY, BZH, BBBY, CELG, DNKN, ETFC, KLAC, NFLX, RAX, SLCA, UPL, YELP, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is at 89.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AA, FEYE, SCSS, SWI, UPL, 
Diagonal Breakout: ATI, ETFC, GOGO, IWM, SCHW, SWKS, V,
Bull Flag: AIG, BBRY, BBY, CAR, CSIQ, CTRP, FAS, FSLR, GME, HPQ, IBM, JCP, JD, RCL, SFUN, SPLK, VRSN, X, YELP,
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:  
At Support: C, Z,
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs: GPRO, MBLY, MFRM, MSFT,
H Breakout:
D Breakout:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Gap Up: UNG,
Gap Down:
Bounce:
MACD Divergence Bounce:
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag: GTAT, P, QIHU, SUNE,
Support Break: KNDI,    
______________________

15 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CMCSA, SYMC, VIP, DLTR, MSFT, LBTYA, MDLZ, VOD, AVGO, SNDK

Lagging NDX stocks included: AMZN, DISCA, MU, GRMN, TRIP, ILMN, EBAY, YHOO, EXPE, VIAB

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: MBLY

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: GTAT, KNDI, SUNE, JASO, QIHU, TSL, GOGO, SPLK, SPWR, CSIQ, UA, CTRP, MS, FAS, TWTR, X, GME, P, SFUN

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 74
INTC, SYMC, GILD, SBAC, NTAP, COST, FB, BBBY, CERN, EXPE, REGN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, ISRG, YHOO, ESRX, TSLA, FOXA, MSFT, NFLX, ADP, CTRX, MNST, NVDA, ROST, WFM, ATVI, CHKP, MAR, PAYX, EQIX, CELG, FISV, SIAL, SIRI, VRSK, AKAM, AVGO, DISH, HSIC, KLAC, LMCA, ORLY, STX, VIP, ALTR, AMAT, BRCM, TXN, ADBE, ILMN, LINTA, TSCO, FAST, NXPI, SNDK, GMCR, AMZN, CMCSA, DTV, KRFT, VRTX, MXIM, SPLS, LLTC, XLNX, BIDU, CA, CHTR, DLTR, GOOG, CHRW, EXPD, MU, QCOM, TRIP, INTU, SBUX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
                                                     

Moving Below 30 DMA = 9
ADSK, CHRW, EBAY, MYL, SBUX, SRCL, TRIP, TSCO, WFM
                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, ALXN, DISCA, MAT, ADI, VOD, BIIB, WDC, LBTYA, GRMN, PCLN, PCAR, CTSH, WYNN, CSCO, MDLZ, VIAB

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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