All nine sectors moved
lower on Tuesday…XLK, XLU and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLP
was the weakest sector.
Breadth strengthened… decliners
led advancers for the
third straight day…2.45 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.36 to 1 on the
NASDAQ.
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – mixed,
advancers led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
SPY down 1.14 at 198.01 on 111.1 million shares
TNX down .31 at 25.35…
TLT up .71 at 115.45...
XLF down .16 at 23.33 on 32.3 million shares
AAPL up 1.58 at 102.64 on 63.2 million shares
FB up 1.49 at 78.29…on 36.6 million shares
Technical Commentary:
QQQ -0.27%, SPY
-0.57%, DIA -0.70%, IWM
-0.93%.
Futures were lower
following a better than expected China PMI and a lower European PMI. After an early morning rally broad indexes
pulled back and finished lower. NDX was the strongest on big moves in FB, AAPL and MU.
Breadth strengthened but
was still negative on Tuesday. FB, GPRO and AMBA made new all-time closing
highs and several other stocks strengthened.
DIA and QQQ
are clearly still a bull flag pattern and QQQ formed an inverted hammer.
SPY is also a bull flag
pattern but getting close to a similar low.
The SPY also formed an inverted
hammer. If SPY makes a similar low we will look for a bullish divergence. If the SPY breaks support,
we will shift to defensive so be on alert.
Five sectors XLB, XLF, XLK, XLP and XLV are also in
a bull flag pattern and have positive structure. XLU,
XLY and XLI are neutral near support.
XLE is down trending.
Did you see the setups posted during the day? If not, look in the day post and comment.
BABA -2.72, -3.03% fell on day three of
trading. BABA closed at 87.17, -5.53 below
its opening price of 92.70 on Friday.
BBBY +4.86, +7.75% after the close on a positive earnings
reaction.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading
and continue to move your profit protection stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 200.00, 201.37, 204.32...
QQQ = 99.75,
101.13…
IWM = 115.73, 117.06, 118.76...
Support Levels
SPY = 197.46, 196.24,
195.16...
QQQ = 98.87, 97.82, 96.94…
IWM = 112.89, 111.56, 109.86...
Earnings this Week: AZO, BBBY, BBRY, CCL, MU, NKE, PAYX,
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM,
SPLK, AVGO, CRM, GPS, TFM, FL, AMAT, CSIQ, GME, HPQ, PCLN, NTES,
ROST, SINA, NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU,
AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA,
CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK,
OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON,
INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS,
KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,
More than 10% - ULTA,
LULU, PANW, MFRM, SPLK, TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN,
SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X
Negative Reactions – AZO,
ADBE, KKD, CIEN, BBY, QIHU, TSL, ADSK, CREE, GOGO, JASO, JDSU, JWN, M,
RAX, YOKU, SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM, BWLD, BZH,
CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL,
UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI,
ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB,
KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V,
XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST,
FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,
More than -10% - AMD,
ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,
Reversal in progress – AMZN, ATI, FAST, GIS, GRMN,
ILMN, KO, KRFT, LLTC, P, RYL, SNDK, STX, XLNX
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – KKD, AET, AKAM, ALXN, BA, BAC, BBY, BBBY, BZH, CELG, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FDO,
GOGO, JNJ, JWN, KLAC, KO, LNG, M, NFLX, RAX, SLCA, STI, TPX, TRV, TSL, UPL, USB,
VRTX, YELP, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,
The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed down at 83.
____________________
Setups for Wednesday
Horizontal Breakout: FB, AAPL, AMBA, MBLY, GOGO, NTAP
Diagonal Breakout: CELG, GILD, TWTR
Bull Flag: BBY, SWKS, NXPI,
AVGO, X, SNDK, TXN, XLNX, C, MS, STI, ZU, ADSK, ETFC, IBM, RCL, SCHW, YHOO, TSL
Potential Bullish
Divergence: UA, AMZN, GRMN, NFLX, SBUX,
WDC
Gap Up: BBBY
At Support: AIG, BX, CAR, CRM, FEYE, GME, HPQ, JASO, SWI, TSLA
______________________
24 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Tuesday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, FB, NXPI, AAPL, YHOO, CELG, VIP, ADBE,
WYNN, BIIB
Lagging NDX stocks included: CHTR, DISCA, VIAB, EQIX, MAT, MNST, ATVI,
ILMN, LINTA, WFM
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday
included: GPRO, MBLY,
GOGO, SFUN, YY
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
BBRY, BABA, GME, FAS
Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 36
NTAP, COST,
CERN, AMGN, CTXS, MSFT, MNST, ADP, MNST, ROST, MAR, PAYX, FISV, AVGO, KLAC,
ALTR, BRCM, TXN, NXPI, SNDK, GMCR, DTV, VRTX, SPLS, DLTR, QCOM, INTU, AAPL, LBTYA,
ADSK, FB, GILD, GOOG, REGN, XLNX, SIAL
Moving Above 30 DMA =
1
CELG
Moving Below 30 DMA = 10
AKAM, CHKP,
CHTR, CMCSA, CSCO, FAST, FFIV, INTC, LLTC, WFM,
Staying Below 30 DMA
ADP, AMAT,
BIDU, CA, CHRW, ESRX, EXPD, ISRG, LMCA, MXIM, MYL, SBAC, SYMC, TRIP, VIAB,
VRSK, YHOO, BBBY, DISH, EQIX, ILMN, MDLZ, MU, NVDA,
ORLY, SIRI, CTRX, EXPE, KRFT, ADBE, AMZN, ATVI, FOXA, LINTA, NFLX, STX, TSLA,
VIP, ALXN, HSIC, EBAY, SBUX, SRCL, TSCO, DISCA, MAT, ADI, VOD, BIIB, WDC, GRMN,
PCLN, PCAR, CTSH, WYNN
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Down
1 comment:
Dave,
Although I scan through the market intraday, your uncanny sense of the market always amazes me.I looked at most of the same charts earlier in the day and had been adjusting the AAPL diag breakout set-up for a few days now and it filled today. You're comments last night on shortening the time in a trade while the market is going sideways struck a chord with me. Keep up the good work and thank you so much for taking the time to post here. I'm still interested in learning how to trade futures!!
Gary
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