Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Stocks React To Fed Minutes...SPY New All-time High...NDX Flat...YOKU Earnings Disappoint...Gaps Down...Closes Down 9.29%...

Six out of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLI, XLY and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLP was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.05 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.66 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Wednesday – weakened, mixed
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .53 at 198.92 on 72.5 million shares
VIX down .43 at 11.78…
TNX up .21 at 24.26…
TLT down .19 at 115.99...
XLF up .06 at 22.93 on 26.5 million shares

AAPL up .06 at 100.57 on 52.5 million shares
FB down .48 at 74.81…on 22.8 million shares, below average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM – 0.49%, QQQ + 0.00%, SPY + 0.27%, DIA + .42%.

SPY made a new all-time high close the day after QQQ made a new high close.  DIA moved closer to its July 16 high while IWM had a pulled back after breaking out of a reversal pattern.

Traders continue to follow your entry rules.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 194.30, 195.78, 196.62, 198.05...
QQQ = 96.31, 97.52, 98.28
IWM = 112.23, 114.31...

Support Levels
SPY = 191.57, 189.51...
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 110.15, 108.86...

Earnings season is winding down while retail earnings began this week. 

This week:  GME, HPQ, JASO, YOKU, ROST,

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AMAT, CSIQ, PCLN, NTES, SINA, NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU, AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,

More than 10% - TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X

Negative Reactions – ADSK, CREE, GOGO, JDSU, JWN, M, RAX, SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM,  BWLD, BZH, CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL, UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,

More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,


Reversal in progress – AET, AKAM, ALXN, AMZN, ATI, EA, GIS, GRMN, ILMN, KO, KRFT, LNG, P, RYL, STX, TPX, VRTX,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, BZH, BBBY, CELG, DNKN, ETFC, KLAC, NFLX, RAX, SLCA, UPL, YELP, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed UP at 78.

____________________


Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, BBRY, BBY, C, FAS, GOGO, JD, KNDI, NKE, QIHU, SCHW, SUNE, TSL, UA, CRM, HOG, JNPR, KKD, AKAM, CTXS, INTC, MSFT, NFLX, ROST, STX,
Diagonal Breakout: AAL, ADBE, GMCR,  
Bull Flag: CTRP, EMC, NTES, SINA, TLT, X, EXPE, NTAP, PCLN, TSLA,  
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:   
At Support:   
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs: SWKS, YELP, FFIV, MAR,   
H Breakout: DAL, UAL, CIEN, AVGO, DTV,  
D Breakout: AIG, SPWR, MU,
Bull Flag Bounce
Gap Up:  
Gap Down: YOKU,
Bounce:   
MACD Divergence Bounce:   
C- Pattern
Support Break:      


______________________

60 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MYL, MU, SNDK, FFIV, QCOM, GRMN, NXPI, TSCO, ILMN, PCAR, SBAC

Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, WFM, ADBE, ISRG, MAT, BIIB, YHOO, MSFT, PAYX, EXPD

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: KNDI, UAL, BBRY, DAL, JD, HOG

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: YOKU, JASO, GTAT, WLT, SPLK

Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 76
CHRW, BIDU, INTC, WDC, SYMC, GILD, SBAC, NTAP, EBAY, COST, FB, BBBY, CERN, EXPE, REGN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, PCLN, ISRG, YHOO, SPLS, ESRX, TSLA, FOXA, MSFT, NFLX, ADP, CTRX, DISCA, MNST, NVDA, ROST, WFM, AAPL, ATVI, CHKP, INTU, MAR, PAYX, BIIB, EQIX, ALXN, CELG, FISV, SIAL, SIRI, VRSK, AKAM, AMZN, AVGO, CMCSA, DISH, HSIC, KLAC, LBTYA, LMCA, ORLY,SRCL, STX, VIP, ALTR, AMAT, BRCM, TXN, ADBE, GOOG, ILMN, LINTA, TSCO, VOD, ADI, FAST, LLTC, MU, SBUX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
DLTR, GRMN, NXPI, PCAR, QCOM, SNDK              

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
                                                                                                            

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, CTSH, WYNN, CA, DTV, CHTR, CSCO, VRTX, MDLZ, EXPD, MYL, TRIP, GMCR, KRFT, VIAB, XLNX, MAT, MXIM

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up






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