Monday, August 11, 2014

Day 2 Of Gains As Investors See Geopolitical Concerns Ease...TSLA Closes At Record High...Investors Sleep Easy As MFRM Rises 13.58%...SFUN Closes Up 11.09%...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLP, XLK and XLY were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 2.79 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.69 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led



SPY up .55 at 193.79 on 74.4 million shares, below average volume
VIX down 1.54 at 14.23…
TNX up .05 at 24.20…
TLT down .01 at 115.51...
XLF up .02 at 22.40 on 22.7 million shares, below average volume

AAPL up 1.25 at 95.99 on 36.4 million shares
FB up .38 at 73.44…on 24.5 million shares


Technical Commentary:

IWM + 0.95%, QQQ + 0.59%, SPY + 0.29%, DIA + 0.13%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 194.30, 195.78...
QQQ = 96.31, 97.52, 98.28
IWM = 112.23, 114.31...

Support Levels
SPY = 191.57, 189.51...
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 110.15, 108.86...

Earnings season is winding down while the ramp up for retail earnings begins.  Next week starts with PCLN and GOGO on Monday morning.

This week:  PCLN, GOGO, CSIQ, JDSU, CREE, RAX, VJET, XONE, SINA, NTES, ADSK, NTAP, JCP

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU, AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,

More than 10% - TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X

Negative Reactions – SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM,  BWLD, BZH, CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL, UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,

More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,


Reversal in progress – GIS, WAG,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed UP at 19.

____________________


Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BBRY, BBY, CTRP, JD, SFUN, UA, VRSN, YOKU, CREE, JCP, PANW, AVGO, COST, CTXS, ESRX, NFLX, NTAP,  
Diagonal Breakout: AA, AIG, CSIQ, DAL, JASO, RCL, SOHU, SWKS, TSL, CRM, HOG, UPL, VJET, YNDX, ADSK,
Bull Flag: WDC,
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs:     
H Breakout: P, QIHU, ANR, WLT, FFIV, PCLN,
D Breakout: ETFC, CIEN, BIDU, MAR, TXN,
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Gap Up: BX, GLW, IWM, SCSS, SPY, TPX, MFRM, KKD, TSLA,
Gap Down:
Bounce: FEYE, IBM, ANGI, RAX, AAPL, EXPE, GMCR, MAR, MU, SNDK,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: AAL, GME, JDSU,   
C- Pattern:
Support Break:  GOGO,  


______________________

80 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSLA, MU, PCLN, FFIV, GMCR, ALXN, EXPE, SYMC, BIDU, AAPL, INTC, NFLX, AMAT, MAR

Lagging NDX stocks included: ILMN, BIIB, MYL, DLTR,

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: SFUN, SCTY, P, JASO, UBNT, TSL, TPX, FEYE, QIHU, CTRP, CSIQ, KNDI, MFRM, GTAT, ANGI, YELP, RAX, XONE, CIEN, JCP, PANW, SPLK

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: GOGO, LOCO, Z,


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 38
CHRW, BIDU, INTC, WDC, SYMC, GILD, SBAC, NTAP, EBAY, COST, FB, BBBY, CERN, EXPE, REGN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, PCLN, ISRG, YHOO, SPLS, ESRX, DLTR, TSLA, FOXA, MSFT, NFLX, ADP, CTRX, DISCA, MNST, NVDA, ORLY, ROST, SIRI, TSCO, WFM

Moving Above 30 DMA = 8
AAPL, ATVI, CHKP, FISV, INTU, MAR, PAYX, SIAL

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
BIIB, SRCL                                                                                            

Staying Below 30 DMA
DTV, EQIX, AKAM, ALXN, CHTR, CMCSA, CSCO, GOOG, LMCA,SBUX, VOD, VRTX, ADBE, MDLZ, VRSK, EXPD, PCAR, MU, MYL, ADSK, AMZN, HSIC, KLAC, LINTA, AVGO, DISH, ILMN, QCOM, TRIP, ALTR, GMCR, KRFT, LLTC, NXPI, TXN, VIAB, XLNX, AMAT, LBTYA, VIP, SNDK, MAT, ADI, GRMN, FAST, MXIM,

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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