Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Indexes Pause Following Two-day Rally as MSFT, BIIB, GILD, INTC and AMZN Lead NDX...

Just two of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLB, XLF and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.43 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.15 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .26 at 193.53 on 73.6 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .10 at 14.13…
TNX up .22 at 24.42…
TLT down .75 at 114.76...
XLF up .05 at 22.45 on 22 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down .02 at 95.97 on 33.8 million shares
FB down .61 at 72.83…on 27.4 million shares


Technical Commentary:
QQQ -0.04%, DIA -0.04%, SPY -0.14%, IWM -0.69%.

The SPY Market Forecast green line hit 25.54 today, even as the broad indexes spent most of the day lower.  Only one time, Nov 2012, in the last two years has the SPY MF green line been below 20, rallied to 25 and then turned lower temporarily.  All the other instances of below 20 rise to 25 have been continuation moves to the upside.


Traders follow your entry rules, now.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 194.30, 195.78...
QQQ = 96.31, 97.52, 98.28
IWM = 112.23, 114.31...

Support Levels
SPY = 191.57, 189.51...
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 110.15, 108.86...

Earnings season is winding down while the ramp up for retail earnings begins. 

This week:  PCLN, GOGO, CSIQ, JDSU, CREE, RAX, VJET, XONE, SINA, NTES, ADSK, NTAP, JCP

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – PCLN, NVDA, MNST, ANR, FSLR, GTAT, LNKD, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, YOKU, AKS, AMGN, CHRW, ESRX, HCA, HES, LRCX, TSN, TWTR, WYNN, X, YNDX, CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK, DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD, SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,

More than 10% - TWTR, CMG, BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, LNKD, OSTK, SWI, SFUN, SSYS, SUNE, UA, VRSN, X

Negative Reactions – GOGO, RAX, SCTY, YELP, CTSH, MYL, AEM, AET, AKAM,  BWLD, BZH, CL, CMI, COP, DDD, ESI, GLW, GRMN, HLF, JEC, KRFT, LNG, MTW, RYL, SLCA, UPL, UPS, VRTX, XOM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG, ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T, TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,

More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, BWLD, CAMP, DHI, HLF, MXIM, P, SNDK, XLNX,

Reversal in progress – GIS, WAG,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is pointed UP at 24.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, QQQ, SOXL, AAL, AIG, CTRP, ETFC, FAS, IBM, MS, SCSS, SFUN, SOHU, SWI, SWKS, TPX, VRSN, AAPL, CELG, CMCSA, ESRX, EXPE, GILD, MAR, NFLX, SBUX,
Diagonal Breakout: IWM, AA, DAL, EMC, LOCO, RCL, SSYS, CTXS, MU, STX, TXN,
Bull Flag: SCTY, TLT, TWTR, UA, Z, BIDU, EBAY, FB, INTC, ROST, WDC,
Potential Bullish Divergence: FEYE
Gap Down: CREE,

C- Pattern: YELP, NXPI, AVGO, TXN, KLAC, TER, MU, SNDK, SOXL, SPY, FAS, EA

Moves
New Highs: LNKD, MFRM, X, TSLA, CAR, YY, BITA
Bull Flag Bounce: MSFT,
MACD Divergence Bounce: MU,
C- Pattern: GTAT,

______________________

39 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and three were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ISRG, BIIB, NXPI, FAST, FOXA, MNST, MSFT, VIP, EXPE, VOD

Lagging NDX stocks included: FFIV, WDC, MAT, GMCR, NFLX, PCLN, CTRX, SNDK, TRIP, VRTX

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included:


Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: KNDI, TSL, LOCO, GOGO, JASO, CSIQ, SUNE, SCTY, P, SPWR, Z, FEYE


Stocks to Watch on Wedesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 43
CHRW, BIDU, INTC, WDC, SYMC, GILD, SBAC, NTAP, EBAY, COST, FB, BBBY, CERN, EXPE, REGN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, PCLN, ISRG, YHOO, SPLS, ESRX, DLTR, TSLA, FOXA, MSFT, NFLX, ADP, CTRX, DISCA, MNST, NVDA, ORLY, ROST, TSCO, WFM, AAPL, ATVI, CHKP, INTU, MAR, PAYX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
BIIB, EQIX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
FISV, SIAL, SIRI                                                                                           

Staying Below 30 DMA
SRCL, DTV, AKAM, ALXN, CHTR, CMCSA, CSCO, GOOG, LMCA,SBUX, VOD, VRTX, ADBE, MDLZ, VRSK, EXPD, PCAR, MU, MYL, ADSK, AMZN, HSIC, KLAC, LINTA, AVGO, DISH, ILMN, QCOM, TRIP, ALTR, GMCR, KRFT, LLTC, NXPI, TXN, VIAB, XLNX, AMAT, LBTYA, VIP, SNDK, MAT, ADI, GRMN, FAST, MXIM,

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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