Monday, August 5, 2013

IWM, FB, TSLA All-time High Close...Broad Markets Consolidate...AAPL Higher...NFLX Bounces...

Two sectors moved higher on Monday… XLK, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.
 
Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…1.42 to 1 on the NYSE and strengthened 1.33 to 1 on the NASDAQ where advancers led decliners…
 
Monday - mixed
Friday – mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
 
 
SPY down .25…volume 54 million shares
VIX down .14at 11.84…
TNX up .38 at 26.40…
TLT down .82 at 105.70...
XLF down .04 at 20.77…volume 21 million shares
 
AAPL up 6.91 at 469.45volume 11.3 million shares
FB up 1.14 at 39.19volume 79.9 million shares
 
Technical Commentary:
 
IWM + 0.34%, QQQ + 0.06%, DIA – 0.26%, SPY – 0.15%.
 
IWM small caps lead stocks higher.  AAPL, FB and PCLN lead NDX higher while BIDU, MSFT, AMZN, AMGN and GILD weigh down.
 
FB +1.14, +2.99% makes all-time high close at 39.19 on 79.994 million shares on $3.099 billion.  Big money continues to expand FB position.
 
NFLX +7.66, +3.11% bounces off support, channel resistance at 270.
 
TSLA +6.68, +4.84% another all-time high on 10.2 million shares on $1.448 billion.
 
 
Earnings announcements continue as the fifth week of earnings season begins on Monday.  Chart Signals is focusing on stocks with announcements and stocks that have had a positive earnings reactions over the past two weeks.
 
This Week Earnings of Interest
Tuesday – ADM, CAR, CHRW, DIS, DISH, EXPD, FSLR, FOSL, LINTA, LMCA, MGM, Z
Wednesday – AGU, BOFI, GMCR, GRPN, SCTY, SUNE, TSLA, TWX,
Thursday – AAP, FWLT, MCP, MNST, NVDA, RAX, SGMS, SSYS, TMUS,
Friday – JRCC
 
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – EAT, VIAB, YOKU, AIG, CTRX, CHK, COP, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG, CMCSA, CTRP, GRMN, HES, MA, MCHP, SODA, YELP, QCOR, FISV, BWLD, MTW, VRTX, WYNN, SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC
 
Negative Reactions – ANR, CVX, CME, XOM, K, DTV, RVBD, X, COH, DISCA, ESRX, SOHU, DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line and is in the upper zone. 
 
____________________
 
Setups
H Breakout: CTSH, MNST, MU, NUAN, NVDA, WFM, C, CIEN, CRM, FAS, GMCR, GRPN, JNPR, LVS, P, STI,
 
Diagonal Breakout: DTV, ESRX, INTC, NTAP, FSLR, GLD, SSYS, TLT, XONE, ZION
 
Bull Flag: AKAM, AMZN, ATVI, CELG, CMCSA, GILD, GRMN, ROST, SYMC, XLNX, BAC, CMG, DDD, NTES, RCL,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
 
Gap Up: 
 
Gap Down: 
 
Bear Flag:   
 
At Support: VECO, WLT,   
 
 
Moves
New Highs: BBBY, COST, CSCO, FB, MYL, TSLA, SPLK, Z
 
Gap Up:  
 
Gap Down:    
 
H&D Breakout: AAPL, PCLN, WYNN, ESI, GS, MFRM, SCTY,
 
Breakout Test: 
 
Bounce: BBRY, NFLX,
 
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break: 
 
______________________
 
 
42 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Monday and one was unchanged.
 
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, TSLA, EXPE, NFLX, FB, SBAC, PCLN, FISV, LINTA, WFM, AAPL, MYL, SPLS
 
Lagging NDX stocks included:  FOSL, BIDU, SHLD, EXPD, ATVI, FAST, KRFT, LMCA, SNDK, AMGN
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: ESI, BBRY, TSLA, HLF, TSL, GMCR, RVBD, NFLX, GRPN, CRUS, ANR, LDK, DECK, CLF
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: YELP, UAL, JDSU
 
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 78
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, BBBY, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, LINTA, ORLY, PCAR, ROST, VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA,CMCSA, HSIC, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTA, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, REGN, ADSK, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, GOLD, QCOM, AAPL, FAST, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN, SHLD, CERN, NVDA, BIIB, MNST, FOXA, GOOG, NUAN, DISCA, DELL
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MU
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
FOSL, WDC

 
Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, DTV, SBAC, EXPE, VRTX, SNDK, EQIX, STX, AVGO, EBAY, MSFT, BRCM, MAT, ISRG, INTC
 
Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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