Wednesday, August 14, 2013

AAPL Rises but Breadth Weakness Sends Stocks Lower...CSCO Hit After Earnings...Coal Stocks Stronger...

All nine sectors moved lower on Wednesday…However XLK, XLB and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLY was the weakest sector.
 
Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…2.09 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.39 to 1 on the NASDAQ…
 
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened – advancers led
Monday – strengthened – advancers led
Friday – weakened – decliners led
Thursday – strengthened – advancers led
 
 
SPY down .87…volume 79.7 million shares
VIX up .73…at 13.04…
TNX down .03 at 27.12…
TLT up .16 at 105.15...
XLF down .08 at 20.36…volume 30.3 million shares
 
AAPL up 8.93 at 498.50volume 26.9 million shares
FB down .37 at 36.65volume 48.3 million shares
 
Technical Commentary:
 
QQQ – 0.38%, IWM – 0.39%, SPY – 0.51%, DIA – 0.72%.  
 
Broad stock indexes were weak on Wednesday as NDX stocks were led lower by GOOG, CMCSA, AMZN and GILD.  AAPL and MSFT gave lift but the large number of losers on the day took the NDX lower.  While the SPY is still short-term neutral price in nearing support and traders need to be ready to trade down on a break of support.
 
CREE -22.35% and XONE -11.14% gapped lower following earning late Tuesday.
 
CSCO -2.53, -9.62% was down in after-hours after releasing earnings.
 
Coal stocks WLT, JRCC, ANR, BTU, ACI, CLF, CNX and ETF KOL were higher running counter to the broader market pullback. 
 
GLD +0.99% rose as bonds and interest closed near unchanged.
 
PWRD +5.89% made a bull flag bounce.
 
 
With the majority of companies quarterly earnings behind traders can now focus on the technical setup rather than avoiding setups due to a pending earnings release.
 
 
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – JRCC, RAX, SSYS, TMUS, SGMS, FWLT, MNST, GRPN, TSLA, AGU, BOFI, FOSL, ADM, MGM, DSW, WPO, CNK, KORS, SATS, MGM, EAT, VIAB, YOKU, AIG, CTRX, CHK, COP, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG, CMCSA, CTRP, GRMN, HES, MA, MCHP, SODA, YELP, QCOR, FISV, BWLD, MTW, VRTX, WYNN, SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC
 
Negative Reactions – CREE, MCP, GMCR, SCTY, SUNE, Z, CAR, CHRW, FSLR, LINTA, ANR, CVX, CME, XOM, K, DTV, RVBD, X, COH, DISCA, ESRX, SOHU, DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper zone. 
 
____________________
 
Setups
H Breakout: ADSK, NFLX, WDC, WYNN, ANR, C, GLW, WLT,
 
Diagonal Breakout: ESRX, INTC, FIVE, PWRD, STI,
 
Bull Flag: AMGN, AMZN, CELG, CMCSA, COST, FAST, FB, GILD, NTAP, PCLN, SBUX, TSLA, TXN, XLNX, ATI, CLF, CMG, CNX, CRM, ESI, GRPN, KKD, RAX, TSLA, YELP,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
 
Gap Up: 
 
Gap Down: 
 
Bear Flag:   
 
At Support:  GOOG, MNST, WFM, UAL,
 
 
Moves
New Highs:  
 
Gap Up:   
 
Gap Down: ROST, CREE,    
 
H&D Breakout: AMAT, NVDA, BAC, NTES, RCL,  
 
Breakout Test: 
 
Bounce:  
 
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break: BBBY, SCTY, TPX,
 
______________________
 
 
19 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and two were unchanged.
 
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NVDA, GOLD, AAPL, NFLX, VRTX, WYNN
 
Lagging NDX stocks included:  TSLA, CMCSA, BIDU, AVGO, ALTR, MNST, EQIX, CHKP, ROST, LBTYA, WFM, BBBY, COST
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: ANR, CDE, CLF, HLF
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: CREE, LDK, TSLA, JDSU, CRUS, TPX, SWI, CIEN, ZAGG, LNKD, UAL, NKE, ESI, SSYS
 
Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 62
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, GRMN, INTU, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, ORLY,  VOD, VIAB, FB, LMCA, HSIC, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, NTAP, SYMC, NFLX, BMC, CELG, FISV, LLTC, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CTXS, EXPD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, SIRI, AKAM, YHOO, AMGN, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, QCOM, AAPL, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN, FOXA, NUAN, DELL, MU, FOSL, ADSK, GOLD, WDC, KLAC, EBAY
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
NVDA                                                  
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
AVGO, BBBY, CMCSA, DLTR, ESRX, GILD, PCAR, ROST, WFM, DISCA, VRSK                                                                                          
               
Staying Below 30 DMA
MNST, FAST,  ADBE, COST, LBTYA, AMAT, AMZN, BIIB, CERN, CHRW, KRFT, GOOG, LINTA, REGN, SHLD, DTV, SBAC, EXPE, VRTX, EQIX, SNDK, STX, MSFT, BRCM, MAT, ISRG, INTC
 
Eight-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
10-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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