Friday, September 14, 2012

SPY, AAPL, GOOG, AMZN Make New High as Euro, Interest Rates Rise...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLE, XLB and XLF were the strongest sectors. 

Breadth weakened slightly Friday as advancers led decliners 2.20 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.77 to 1 on the NASDAQ… 

Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ 


Advancers     2,084       1,583
Decliners         944          892

SPY up 65 cents at 147.24...volume 169.7 million shares 

VIX up +0.46 at 14.51
Euro up 141 pips at 1.3126
TNX gained 1.14 at 18.70
TLT down -3.23 at 118.30…
XLF up 13cents at 16.28…
Gold up 4.10 at 1,773.50
Oil up 97 cents at 99.06

AAPL up 8.30 at 691.28volume 21.4 million shares
FB up 1.29 at 22.00… volume 72.7 million shares…


The Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone.


YTD At a Glance
                       Friday             YTD
SPY                +0.44%          +18.45%

AAPL              +1.22%          +71.42%
EXPE              +0.55%          +93.96%
STX                 +0.54%          +89.32%
EBAY              +2.24%          +64.75% 

Technical Commentary:

SPY makes new high close with higher high and higher low
SPY closes in bottom half of range forming potential shooting star candle after reaching the 261.8 Fib Target of 147.88 following the Sept 6 horizontal breakout
The Euro and interest rates TNX rose 

Numerous stocks like SPY, DIA, XLF, AAPL, ANR, JRCC and MS formed a potential shooting star or tombstone doji pattern and still others like GOOG, AMZN and GS formed a neutral doji pattern that could be the second day of an evening star pattern if confirmed on Monday.  The patterns become potential short term reversal patterns if price closes below Friday’s body on Monday.

(click image to enlarge)

Be mindful that most stocks in our lists have already bounced or broken out of resistance and that profits should be protected according to your rules.
 

New Chart Targets:
SPY = 147.88 2.61 Fib 
ES = 1,466.00 2.61 Fib on ESZ2 
Eur/Usd = 1.3095 1.60 Fib, 1.3345 S&R Measuring.


Short-term support at
144.39, 143.09 = SPY
1,438.75, 1,421.50 = ES
2,802.50, 2,775, 2,750 = NQ

Setups:
Flag/Pennant:  SWKS, LCC, STX, ALTR, LLTC, VRSN, BMC

Breakout:  JNPR, SOHU, AKS

30 DMA Potential Breakout: WDC, TSL, CHL, NTES, LDK


Friday Bounce: SWI, CRUS, COH, LINTA, EBAY, AKAM, LIFE
Thursday Bounce: NTES, TIF, SCHN, ESRX, PAYX, ORCL, GOOG, AMZN, AAPL,

Breakout:  WLT, ACI
Thursday:  MCP, BTU, ANR, JRCC


79 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: FOSL, FSLR, BIDU, GOLD, NFLX, VRTX, FFIV, FAST, SHLD, GILD

Lagging NDX stocks included: SBUX, CHKP, AMGN, CERN, ORLY, GMCR, VOD, VMED, HSIC, COST

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: GRPN, DECK, CDE, FB, ATI, CRUS, MCP, TBT, CLF, CIEN, SWK, JDSU, ANR, RVBD, STI, CREE, A, VECO, LNKD, TSLA, INFA, LVS, VMW, SOHU, SLB, TIF, HLF, HUM ICE, SWKS, ESI, GES, FAS, ANF, SWI, DE, FCX, GLW = 38

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: AKS, WDC, TLT, NKE, FAZ, ZAGG = 6


Stocks to Watch on Monday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 57 
UCO, TPX, GS, RVBD, SWI, CROX, CRUS, CREE, C, FAS, FCX, JDSU, NKE, RCL, STI, TIF, BAC, CDE, CRM, SINA, SOHU, F, ZION, ANF, INFA, ICE, LVS, LNKD, HUM, URE, COH, GLW, CSTR, MOS, UAL, CMG, DE, DHR, ESI, IBM, SWK, TBT, VMW, AKS, ANR, ATI, VECO,
CLF, JNPR, MCP, SLB, V, X, FB, ZAGG, A, HLF, TSLA

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
DECK, DLR, GRPN, SMH, SWKS

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1

NKE

Staying Below 30 DMA 
WDC, TLT, CIEN, TSL, GES, CHL, NTES, FAZ, LDK


Fifteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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