Thursday, May 19, 2011

SPX Inches Higher as Financials, Interest Rates Fail to Move Higher...

The SPX formed a white spinning top and closed +2.92 at 1,343.60, a horizontal resistance level.  The VIX fell to 15.52 confirming the move higher.
(click image to enlarge)

SPX spinning top, close above 30 DMA +0.22%
INDU spinning top, close above 30 DMA +0.36%
COMPQ doji, close above 30 DMA +0.30%
RUT potential hanging man, at 30 DMA +0.21%

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.45 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.01 to 1 on the NASDAQ

Exchange       NYSE        NASDAQ
Advancers      1,774            1,316
Decliners        1,220            1,306

Index              Chg.    Close   Direction    Confirmation
VIX                 -0.71     15.52      Down           Yes – SPX
SOX               -3.72   433.87      Down           No – COMPQ

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included SINA, MCP, FWLT, IAG, UAL, RVBD, CIEN

Losing stocks < -2.0% included NETL, LDK, TSL, MOS, POT, UNG, ATI, UCO, WLT

Key Earnings this week:  ADSK, ANF, ARUN, CRM, DE, DELL, HPQ, LDK, TSL, HD, JCP, LOW, WMT, GME, SHLD, TGT

Positives – VIX, breadth and sectors were positive, AMZN, BIDU, QCOM

Negatives – TNX, breadth and sectors weakened

Interest rates TNX +0.00 was unchanged and bond ETF TLT moved down 4 cents.  Financial stocks XLF closed unchanged. The Euro moved up 61 pips to 1.4309 at 5 pm on Thursday.

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday.  Industrials XLI +0.64% and Consumer Staples XLP +0.56% were the strongest sectors.  Financials XLF closed unchanged.

SPX
Resistance: 1,344, 1,352, 1,367
Support: 1,330, 1321, 1310

The short term 3 day trend is up.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.

AAPL +0.66 – potential hanging man, below 30DMA
AMZN +1.71 – spinning top, above 30 DMA
BIDU +4.04 – large white candle, below 30 DMA
GOOG +1.44 – potential shooting star, below 30 DMA
NFLX +0.19 – spinning top, close above 30 DMA
PCLN +3.72 – potential shooting star, below 30 DMA
QCOM +0.85 – white candle, above 30 DMA

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include CTRP, BIDU, INTU, DLTR, YHOO, EXPE, LINTA, VOD, ORCL, NTAP, FLIR, ADBE, QCOM, ATVI and SBUX.

Stocks weaker than the NDX include KLAC, ORLY, RIMM, SHLD, DELL, BRCM, STX, ALTR, ALXN, NVDA, INTC, ROST, LRCX, AMAT and VRTX.

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA
HUM, HLF, CSTR, DHR, A, ANF, DLR, TIF, V, URE, TLT, MHS, GES, SMH, UNP, VECO, HAS, UAL, GMCR, RVBD, FAZ, JNPR, ACN, ICE, CMG, SWN, VMW, ARUN, ATW, CF, CREE, JDSU, STI, SWK
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
CRM, IAG
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
AMD
Staying Below 30 DMA
ESI, GLW, SNDK, ATI, CIEN, NYX, CHL, DOW, F, NVDA, FWLT, ZION, CAT, IL, NDAQ, SWKS, VLO, WDC, MCP, SINA, WLT, FAS, LVS, SOHU, UNG, UCO, DE, NETL, NGLS, PCX, AGU, AKS, FCX, IPI, LDK, SLB, TSL, CLF, DECK, NTES, POT, JEC, SLW, GS, CDE, TBT, MOS, X, CAM, BAC, CRUS

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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